Sneaky-Stance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

381

Trades

449

lifetime

Volume

$1.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 09-11 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

93% 77% -$24

Politics

5% 68% -$15

Crypto

2% 86% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$33	32	32	+0	No	-$17	02-07 02:51
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 140 164	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-15 11:23
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 165 189	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-18 03:46
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 90 114	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	+$2	02-08 09:42
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	4	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	-$8	03-07 09:55
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	3	$13	13	11	+2	Yes	-$1	02-28 09:54
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 140 164	2	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	02-27 02:47
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	2	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-04 23:47
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 140 164	3	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	02-22 14:09
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	3	$10	10	6	+4	Yes	-$1	03-02 02:56
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	-$3	03-06 02:43
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 115 139	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$1	02-13 08:46
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 90 114	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-03 02:11
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-13 02:57
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-27 02:46
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 23 2026 25c	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-22 03:51
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 115 139	2	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	03-01 08:10
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	2	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	02-24 02:58
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	2	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$1	03-07 09:56
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	03-24 01:00
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	1	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	02-07 02:52
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	2	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-08 03:10
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 140 164	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-18 03:45
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 165 189	2	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-21 22:25
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 65 89	3	$7	9	3	+6	No	-$1	03-14 04:32
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	2	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-06 02:46
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 65 89	3	$7	8	2	+6	No	-$1	03-09 02:54
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 90 114	3	$7	10	4	+6	No	$0	03-15 20:28
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	-$2	03-31 10:03
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-03 02:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 13:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 12?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x75d174…
09-11 13:58:39	Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 11?	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x20b656…
09-11 13:58:15	xauusd up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc37b26…
09-11 13:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcfe4c7…
09-11 13:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x9152a1…
07-13 00:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe7e892…
07-13 00:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1ba741…
07-13 00:07:37	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfe2ac1…
07-13 00:07:26	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe0af28…
07-13 00:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf04273…
07-13 00:04:32	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x274292…
07-13 00:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6af6d3…
07-13 00:04:19	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x283468…
07-13 00:03:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x96d4ac…
07-13 00:03:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x270f45…
07-11 00:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 12?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcd7e09…
07-11 00:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 12?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xaa9351…
07-11 00:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 11?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfd3f2c…
07-10 23:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 12?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x247e1c…
07-10 23:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe82b2f…
07-10 23:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x89795c…
07-10 23:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 11?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe1e1db…
07-10 23:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 12?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x61cd07…
07-10 23:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 11?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9ca019…
07-10 23:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 12?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe48688…
07-10 23:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x878a7a…
07-10 23:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x05b717…
07-10 23:55:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x615fda…
07-10 23:55:43	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x05e797…
07-10 23:55:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc6d797…
07-10 23:55:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x39b9ef…
07-10 23:53:56	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3fcf5d…
07-10 23:53:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8bff1d…
07-10 23:53:43	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xce2b81…
07-10 23:53:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xee285f…
07-10 23:51:20	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x798c89…
07-10 23:51:13	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfd44bb…
06-30 16:28:46	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc93999…
06-30 16:28:16	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6aa1b0…
06-30 16:28:05	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x394dea…
06-30 16:27:40	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe73674…
06-30 16:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 1?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0bb6df…
06-30 16:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 2?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x60772e…
06-30 16:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 2?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x27a09e…
06-30 16:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 1?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2d910a…
06-30 16:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 1?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe352ca…
06-30 16:24:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7a429e…
06-30 16:23:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x88ad1b…
06-30 16:23:25	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x9dca61…
06-30 16:22:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe707b8…
06-30 16:22:35	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x13d35a…
06-30 16:21:55	open up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc6c5cc…
06-30 16:21:34	msft up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xbe1141…
06-27 02:57:58	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6c11ba…
06-27 02:57:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6d1b5c…
06-27 02:57:34	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa1b631…
06-27 02:57:20	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf1c8af…
06-27 02:57:11	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0305f2…
06-27 02:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xeaad83…
06-27 02:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 28?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x350522…
06-27 02:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa49c48…
06-27 02:55:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5b8205…
06-27 02:55:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x71a3c8…
06-27 02:54:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf51275…
06-27 02:54:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe9ef10…
06-27 02:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xffcab0…
06-27 02:54:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x3de476…
06-27 02:53:50	will banksy create a new mural or street artwork by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x5c0556…
06-02 09:39:41	Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0f0317…
06-02 09:39:13	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd9fb91…
06-02 09:36:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4bdb4f…
06-02 09:35:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbcb08b…
06-02 09:35:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xce1062…
06-02 09:31:14	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3c4fec…
06-02 09:30:58	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5ad87b…
06-02 09:30:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa01db6…
06-02 09:29:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x07d096…
05-22 21:57:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe4bb64…
05-22 21:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x10be01…
05-22 21:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 23?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xe2830a…
05-22 21:54:54	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xef01e1…
05-22 21:54:42	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x36c41b…
05-22 15:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf03a1d…
05-22 15:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 24?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe0d943…
05-22 15:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf197b3…
05-22 15:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1680c4…
05-22 15:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc5f7e9…
05-22 15:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x641d05…
05-22 15:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5f4100…
05-22 15:01:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x21a361…
05-22 15:01:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1e18a7…
05-22 15:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe1caf5…
05-22 15:01:01	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x453ee0…
05-22 14:59:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8b65a3…
05-22 14:59:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd6d478…
05-22 14:58:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5420c0…
05-22 14:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc03a07…
05-22 14:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xafed9a…
05-22 14:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x812db4…
05-22 14:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 23?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4953b2…