Drab-Zero — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

32.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$443

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-20 06:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 40% $-2

Politics

26% 0% $-12

Other

24% — —

Sports

8% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+10	$8	97¢	$10	+$1	06-11 19:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$29	37	37	+0	open	—	05-31 06:40
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$26	16	23	-8	open	—	05-06 14:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	4	$22	13	13	+0	No	+$2	05-05 15:53
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	06-15 17:39
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	3	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	06-11 03:39
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	1	$20	0	22	-22	open	—	05-08 18:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	2	$19	20	20	+0	Yes	$-1	05-08 10:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$18	6	16	-10	open	—	05-31 07:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	6	$16	93	93	+0	No	$-3	05-05 14:45
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	06-09 10:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$15	88	88	+0	No	$-2	05-06 10:24
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$14	30	30	+0	open	—	05-05 17:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 13:27
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-31 07:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-27 04:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	21	0	+21	Yes	$-10	05-09 04:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	06-15 00:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	2	$9	8	8	+0	No	$-1	05-06 14:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-06 09:40
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 19:08
starmer out by june 26 2026	1	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	06-20 06:40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	06-11 19:57
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	3	$8	104	104	+0	open	—	05-31 08:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	05-31 19:20
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	2	$8	13	13	+0	open	—	06-12 11:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-06 14:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-06 14:08
atp altmaie medvede 2026 06 19	1	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	06-19 15:39
atp shelton shimabu 2026 06 12	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	06-13 06:29
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	06-04 00:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 06:40:23	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xa13a12…
06-19 18:39:37	mlb mil atl 2026 06 19	Atlanta Braves	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x687de5…
06-19 15:39:22	atp altmaie medvede 2026 06 19	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xe40563…
06-15 17:39:07	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x22b921…
06-15 03:32:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	No	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x0cdbf8…
06-15 00:26:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x2e68a6…
06-13 06:29:16	atp shelton shimabu 2026 06 12	Ben Shelton	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xd725da…
06-12 11:52:13	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	T1	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x08d609…
06-12 00:27:13	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x6ebc0d…
06-11 19:57:13	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x3a8d2a…
06-11 03:39:04	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcf675f…
06-11 03:35:01	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x068de0…
06-09 21:23:43	mlb lad pit 2026 06 09	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xc1aa89…
06-09 10:50:15	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x2962cc…
06-08 15:24:01	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	T1	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x7172b5…
06-07 03:19:39	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0xb428da…
06-05 07:20:46	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x709a54…
06-04 00:46:33	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x4d7c7b…
06-01 12:07:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x2ac9df…
06-01 08:47:33	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xb1b02d…
05-31 19:20:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x70c3c7…
05-31 19:15:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x4022cf…
05-31 08:16:54	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x97a276…
05-31 07:44:58	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x28d727…
05-31 07:44:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	83¢	$13	0x352557…
05-31 07:39:47	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	104	3¢	$3	0x8297fb…
05-31 06:40:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0xb6a1f0…
05-31 06:06:04	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x52e330…
05-30 17:06:18	Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7e804d…
05-28 14:08:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x371f46…
05-28 11:13:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x73fdbd…
05-27 04:01:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6ebcbb…
05-27 03:57:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x71ed68…
05-26 17:44:08	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe09975…
05-26 16:01:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xb60841…
05-24 07:59:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0xe66c79…
05-21 03:11:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x49efbf…
05-09 04:30:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x079db7…
05-09 03:17:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x4406a2…
05-09 01:15:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x65f5b0…
05-08 18:11:34	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xb72b42…
05-08 10:38:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x5676bf…
05-08 09:15:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7be573…
05-06 14:46:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0x60c1c2…
05-06 14:44:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb9f4c5…
05-06 14:08:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x3998ad…
05-06 14:08:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x2aa5aa…
05-06 14:08:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x668af0…
05-06 11:05:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xb07343…
05-06 10:24:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	83	4¢	$3	0xdcd362…
05-06 09:40:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x60a3a8…
05-06 05:41:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5d353b…
05-06 04:58:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x329067…
05-06 03:22:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xc3c0f1…
05-05 17:00:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	12¢	$3	0xbbd691…
05-05 16:57:18	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x07ab6f…
05-05 16:45:12	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x8449f1…
05-05 16:35:20	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe4928a…
05-05 15:53:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb649f0…
05-05 15:07:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x35b5da…
05-05 14:45:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x420d40…
05-05 14:45:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x1c2d41…
05-05 14:41:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xd99ebb…
05-05 14:40:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x1a772b…
05-05 14:40:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x4e7747…
05-05 14:30:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x4d44ea…
05-05 14:23:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x51b360…
05-05 14:14:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x4b9168…
05-05 13:50:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xcb5ae1…
05-05 13:27:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xaa50d3…
05-05 11:54:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcc91cc…
05-05 11:20:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe15925…
05-04 19:11:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x70b709…
05-04 19:08:54	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x3604e0…
05-04 10:41:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd123bf…
05-04 10:20:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x64e5e2…
05-04 05:22:04	Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in May?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x35e6f7…
05-04 01:24:50	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd538a5…
05-04 01:24:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x29a7eb…
05-04 01:15:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x901f49…
05-04 00:46:02	Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in May?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xce508c…