Yawning-Greatgrandfather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

300

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-09 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:53
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:52
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-27 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-25 10:41
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 08:55
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:40
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:51
highest temperature in los angeles on april 22 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-23 02:09
highest temperature in tokyo on april 22 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-22 09:30
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:50
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:48
highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 70 71f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 03:05
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:35
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:37
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:46
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 01:38
highest temperature in chongqing on april 18 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:26
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:37
highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:39
highest temperature in san francisco on april 16 2026 66 67f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 02:00
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 16 2026 36c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:20
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 07:35
highest temperature in toronto on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:03
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 15 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 10:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 08:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6bba93…
11-08 11:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x388125…
11-07 02:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x875e76…
11-05 16:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb8c4f8…
11-04 02:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x47dc5f…
11-03 12:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6b90ea…
11-02 13:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xa97fa0…
11-01 04:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe63cba…
10-31 09:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a42ec…
10-30 09:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc21fe5…
10-29 17:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18d865…
10-29 08:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdc49f…
10-28 05:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11b3de…
10-27 08:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5a8cf…
10-26 08:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f6433…
10-24 09:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9dbc96…
10-22 10:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73ff48…
10-20 04:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf05ec9…
10-19 08:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa56a83…
10-18 08:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x474b1d…
10-17 08:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2da236…
10-16 08:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b7faa…
10-15 08:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49fd3f…
10-14 08:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77c69b…
10-13 08:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d67d0…
10-12 07:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf902d…
10-11 07:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1012f6…
10-08 07:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6ac73…
10-07 13:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x449805…
10-06 07:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53d7a4…
10-04 10:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7950ab…
10-03 05:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf929d1…
10-02 07:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ce21b…
10-01 08:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd27203…
09-30 11:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5072bd…
09-29 09:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a3138…
09-28 09:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bae4b…
09-27 08:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b3376…
09-25 08:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3fafa…
09-24 08:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x153762…
09-23 05:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc283f4…
09-22 07:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f8e4a…
09-21 08:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8541f3…
09-20 05:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x417df0…
09-19 07:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x455fb9…
09-18 01:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf94763…
09-17 03:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8cc95…
09-16 07:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc769d3…
09-15 08:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe61bf4…
09-14 07:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x884226…
09-13 09:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33b8db…
09-12 10:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd344f2…
09-11 07:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81baef…
09-10 02:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96ab88…
09-09 01:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6daa92…
09-08 01:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1081f0…
09-07 03:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3f0d5…
09-06 17:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba81ac…
09-06 08:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1462f0…
09-05 09:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb009b0…
09-04 08:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x808e7a…
09-03 07:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6f082…
09-01 01:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf3296…
08-30 07:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd68750…
08-29 06:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9964b6…
08-28 06:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40d1ea…
08-27 06:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe64f65…
08-26 08:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x248d95…
08-25 06:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x861e8d…
08-24 09:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26f47e…
08-23 07:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75bb67…
08-22 07:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4aa1d…
08-21 03:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7294b5…
08-20 08:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c5cc3…
08-19 08:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e6033…
08-18 04:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7ba14…
08-17 06:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d0433…
08-16 10:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39ab80…
08-15 08:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e7e0e…
08-14 06:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae58ca…
08-13 07:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1085b2…
08-12 07:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b9ce8…
08-11 00:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc16c2a…
08-10 00:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdadd7d…
08-09 01:09:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x729649…
08-08 07:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fd18e…
08-07 00:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3660d…
08-06 00:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9296cc…
08-05 07:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x545a11…
08-04 07:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cb644…
08-03 01:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ac193…
08-02 01:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0b6ad…
08-01 00:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19439b…
07-31 07:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ec4c1…
07-30 01:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x197a8b…
07-29 05:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x952269…
07-28 05:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78bf03…
07-27 07:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a7bac…
07-26 06:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x972dc1…
07-25 00:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14f543…