Insignificant-Lobby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,671

lifetime

Volume

$2.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 08-21 22:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 61% $-11

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775835000	4	$61	40	39	+1	open	—	04-10 15:45
btc updown 15m 1775834100	4	$59	46	45	+1	open	—	04-10 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	6	$15	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	05-16 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	05-16 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$10	22	22	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	4	$10	35	35	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 10:23
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	03-11 13:18
btc updown 15m 1786201200	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	08-08 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Up	$-2	05-13 22:12
btc updown 15m 1787222700	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	08-20 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$8	8	8	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 07:29
btc updown 5m 1780721100	4	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	06-06 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 19:27
btc updown 5m 1781698500	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-17 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Up	$-3	05-06 18:14
btc updown 5m 1781699100	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	06-17 12:27
btc updown 5m 1781698200	2	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	06-17 12:13
btc updown 5m 1781697900	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	06-17 12:06
btc updown 5m 1781696400	4	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	06-17 11:43
btc updown 5m 1781697000	3	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	06-17 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	Down	$-3	05-07 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	3	$7	7	5	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	05-16 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	05-16 18:54
btc updown 15m 1787365800	3	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	08-22 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-16 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 03:41:10	btc updown 5m 1787370000	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6ce6e1…
08-22 03:38:45	btc updown 15m 1787369400	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xedfe09…
08-22 03:12:54	btc updown 15m 1787367600	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x093ee6…
08-22 02:58:52	btc updown 15m 1787366700	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbc7c95…
08-22 02:57:52	btc updown 15m 1787366700	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0xe09c2e…
08-22 02:47:16	btc updown 15m 1787366700	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x036744…
08-22 02:43:51	btc updown 15m 1787365800	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xe0e293…
08-22 02:43:28	btc updown 5m 1787366400	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1ce82f…
08-22 02:34:27	btc updown 15m 1787365800	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc1e9b1…
08-22 02:29:15	btc updown 15m 1787365800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaaa09a…
08-22 02:25:33	btc updown 15m 1787364900	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2b8051…
08-22 02:13:22	btc updown 5m 1787364600	Down	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x528d4c…
08-22 02:11:36	btc updown 5m 1787364600	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc2adab…
08-21 22:42:27	btc updown 5m 1787352000	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xadf2c2…
08-21 21:10:55	btc updown 5m 1787346600	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfeeaa3…
08-21 19:12:42	btc updown 5m 1787339400	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1ffe9d…
08-21 15:27:22	btc updown 5m 1787325900	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc91ab5…
08-21 11:27:21	btc updown 5m 1787311500	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd1ce1f…
08-21 11:18:51	btc updown 15m 1787310900	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb23bab…
08-21 10:00:33	btc updown 15m 1787306400	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9eb2d4…
08-21 06:45:51	btc updown 15m 1787294700	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc3cd28…
08-21 06:45:49	btc updown 15m 1787294700	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd8131e…
08-21 05:40:22	btc updown 5m 1787290800	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x55a4e8…
08-21 04:25:52	btc updown 5m 1787286300	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1f3545…
08-20 21:55:34	btc updown 5m 1787262900	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x62354d…
08-20 19:56:15	btc updown 5m 1787255700	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x9ee579…
08-20 10:53:16	btc updown 15m 1787222700	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x51b4b5…
08-20 10:53:15	btc updown 15m 1787222700	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x48c49e…
08-20 00:41:19	btc updown 5m 1787186400	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfe99a7…
08-19 18:42:06	btc updown 5m 1787164800	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb3b18c…
08-19 14:18:15	btc updown 15m 1787148900	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5a838a…
08-19 14:18:13	btc updown 15m 1787148900	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6301ca…
08-19 10:56:03	btc updown 5m 1787136900	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb09b92…
08-19 08:11:22	btc updown 15m 1787126400	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe5c702…
08-19 08:11:04	btc updown 5m 1787127000	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc8a4d4…
08-19 01:26:12	btc updown 5m 1787102700	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xa12fb6…
08-18 22:25:10	btc updown 5m 1787091900	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x925d74…
08-18 07:02:58	btc updown 15m 1787036400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa30de0…
08-18 03:56:39	btc updown 5m 1787025300	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4fe6ed…
08-18 03:55:00	btc updown 15m 1787024700	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x27b941…
08-18 02:55:37	btc updown 5m 1787021700	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x27b151…
08-18 01:41:15	btc updown 5m 1787017200	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xae115f…
08-18 00:40:24	btc updown 5m 1787013600	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xf33892…
08-17 21:40:34	btc updown 5m 1787002800	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5046cf…
08-17 16:28:03	btc updown 5m 1786983900	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x0b694d…
08-17 15:42:16	btc updown 5m 1786981200	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xfe98e2…
08-17 15:26:49	btc updown 5m 1786980300	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9be20d…
08-17 15:11:16	btc updown 5m 1786979400	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x51b521…
08-17 14:05:52	btc updown 15m 1786975200	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa7ebd3…
08-17 10:55:19	btc updown 5m 1786964100	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1527dc…
08-17 08:55:33	btc updown 5m 1786956900	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcc56fd…
08-17 05:25:55	btc updown 15m 1786943700	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x585a0f…
08-17 05:13:21	btc updown 15m 1786942800	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd60bb8…
08-17 04:42:13	btc updown 5m 1786941600	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x495bc9…
08-17 04:36:07	btc updown 15m 1786941000	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x915d37…
08-16 17:40:27	btc updown 5m 1786902000	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc2c0f3…
08-16 17:25:33	btc updown 5m 1786901100	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x98b1e8…
08-16 17:10:33	btc updown 5m 1786900200	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbb2635…
08-16 16:41:01	btc updown 5m 1786898400	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xae99ae…
08-16 15:45:21	btc updown 15m 1786895100	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6cd7c1…
08-16 14:40:49	btc updown 5m 1786891200	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xd59c7f…
08-16 14:38:27	btc updown 15m 1786890600	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x700777…
08-16 14:38:24	btc updown 15m 1786890600	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x81a299…
08-16 13:15:19	btc updown 15m 1786886100	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x297f27…
08-16 11:57:00	btc updown 5m 1786881300	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x02ed4b…
08-16 11:51:34	btc updown 15m 1786880700	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x48d415…
08-16 11:51:33	btc updown 15m 1786880700	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x705bf6…
08-16 11:51:30	btc updown 15m 1786880700	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x80bb1a…
08-16 11:51:24	btc updown 15m 1786880700	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x043897…
08-16 11:10:39	btc updown 5m 1786878600	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xce9a1c…
08-16 10:55:07	btc updown 5m 1786877700	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb1cf8a…
08-16 10:41:49	btc updown 5m 1786876800	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4554aa…
08-16 10:36:21	btc updown 15m 1786876200	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xd273bb…
08-16 10:33:37	btc updown 15m 1786876200	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0xe164a8…
08-16 10:33:30	btc updown 15m 1786876200	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x0fcf51…
08-16 09:32:28	btc updown 15m 1786872600	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xee2de5…
08-16 07:41:21	btc updown 15m 1786865400	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0731da…
08-16 05:21:03	btc updown 15m 1786857300	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x6cd2da…
08-15 08:40:13	btc updown 15m 1786782600	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xac60eb…
08-15 00:29:07	btc updown 15m 1786752900	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x85bc94…
08-14 04:26:42	btc updown 15m 1786680900	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x38c244…
08-14 03:08:16	btc updown 15m 1786676400	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x803497…
08-14 01:58:33	btc updown 15m 1786671900	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3a0794…
08-13 23:56:46	btc updown 15m 1786664700	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x275081…
08-13 03:26:06	btc updown 15m 1786590900	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x16f949…
08-13 03:10:55	btc updown 15m 1786590000	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x186c0c…
08-13 02:39:10	btc updown 15m 1786588200	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8ef2db…
08-12 17:18:16	btc updown 15m 1786554900	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xbc3d17…
08-12 13:07:39	btc updown 15m 1786539600	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xea327b…
08-12 07:26:42	btc updown 15m 1786518900	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3e3093…
08-12 04:58:15	btc updown 15m 1786509900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xefe6bd…
08-12 04:34:57	btc updown 15m 1786509000	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb26335…
08-12 01:04:48	btc updown 15m 1786496400	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xda36b4…
08-12 00:47:54	btc updown 15m 1786495500	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5d9736…
08-11 23:36:49	btc updown 15m 1786491000	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3f91f3…
08-11 17:34:12	btc updown 15m 1786469400	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x043276…
08-11 12:37:37	btc updown 5m 1786451700	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x411dc3…
08-11 12:25:27	btc updown 5m 1786451100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x045f70…
08-11 12:21:13	btc updown 5m 1786450800	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbb5db2…
08-11 12:12:58	btc updown 5m 1786450200	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa43565…