Knowing-Windscreen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

971

Trades

1,941

lifetime

Volume

$1.12M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$577

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-13 20:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

52% 72% -$14,286

Crypto

40% 87% -$13,320

Sports

6% 50% -$4,323

Tech

1% 100% +$464

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+23	$5	24¢	$5	+$0	10-13 20:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba cle mil 2026 03 17	5	$17.4K	9,730	9,145	+585	Cavaliers	+$1,307	03-18 02:32
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	10	$16.1K	8,410	8,410	+0	Yes	+$464	03-28 14:13
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	8	$14.0K	16,444	0	+16,444	No	-$14,000	07-02 22:15
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29?	7	$13.7K	16,886	8,561	+8,326	No	+$7,523	05-29 18:21
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	5	$12.7K	11,456	11,456	+0	No	-$8,537	07-07 17:36
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	4	$12.6K	6,700	6,700	+0	Yes	+$606	07-03 01:06
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	5	$12.4K	12,614	0	+12,614	Jannik Sinner	+$214	05-22 20:39
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$11.7K	47,809	47,809	+0	No	-$598	07-11 18:44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	6	$10.0K	9,179	9,179	+0	No	+$2,846	05-19 19:24
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	8	$10.0K	10,220	0	+10,220	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	-$10,000	05-27 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 14:05 UTC	3	$9.5K	16,748	0	+16,748	Up	-$9,174	03-28 14:10
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?	4	$9.2K	18,182	18,182	+0	No	-$2,791	05-24 20:30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?	2	$9.0K	9,089	0	+9,089	Yes	+$89	05-16 14:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 18:30 UTC	2	$8.7K	8,859	0	+8,859	Up	+$113	03-29 18:34
lal rea elc 2026 03 14 rea	2	$8.4K	4,241	4,241	+0	Yes	+$124	03-14 21:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:35 UTC	2	$8.2K	8,349	0	+8,349	Down	+$148	03-27 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:45 UTC	1	$8.2K	8,299	0	+8,299	Up	+$115	03-27 19:49
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie	1	$8.0K	8,427	0	+8,427	Jannik Sinner	+$427	04-27 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 21:55 UTC	1	$8.0K	8,172	0	+8,172	Up	+$172	03-28 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 17:50 UTC	3	$8.0K	8,037	0	+8,037	Up	+$80	03-27 17:54
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 gal	3	$7.9K	8,169	578	+7,591	No	+$688	03-18 16:09
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$7.9K	29,711	29,711	+0	Yes	-$1,327	07-02 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:50 UTC	2	$7.8K	8,001	0	+8,001	Up	+$229	03-28 13:54
atp augeral sinner 2026 04 10	7	$7.8K	8,655	0	+8,655	Jannik Sinner	+$900	04-10 05:57
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	4	$7.6K	7,994	0	+7,994	Spain	+$394	07-02 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:15 UTC	1	$7.5K	7,604	0	+7,604	Down	+$76	03-28 18:19
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 total 2pt5	6	$7.5K	8,565	0	+8,565	Under	+$1,065	04-07 20:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 18:10 UTC	4	$7.5K	7,748	0	+7,748	Down	+$258	03-26 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:20 UTC	1	$7.5K	7,531	0	+7,531	Down	+$75	03-27 18:24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	6	$7.3K	7,399	0	+7,399	Jannik Sinner	+$136	05-14 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 20:32:01	Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xe4a1dc…
10-13 20:24:22	Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x63aed7…
10-13 20:24:01	Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?	No	SELL	46	75¢	$35	0xebb074…
10-13 20:19:39	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0xe91001…
10-13 20:14:43	Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	77	14¢	$11	0xc6cb8f…
10-13 20:11:09	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	795	88¢	$700	0xe3b97d…
10-13 20:07:27	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xbc14e7…
10-13 20:05:16	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x5f5101…
10-13 20:05:07	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xead3b5…
10-13 20:04:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x41518b…
10-13 19:44:34	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	1,133	90¢	$1,020	0x217eaa…
10-13 19:26:51	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	627	83¢	$521	0xe038a2…
10-13 19:24:21	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	167	86¢	$143	0xd33196…
10-13 19:21:40	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	262	80¢	$210	0x0b269f…
10-13 19:20:06	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x036e61…
10-13 19:11:07	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	794	88¢	$700	0x445c2d…
10-13 18:26:07	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	928	97¢	$900	0xef8ddd…
10-13 18:23:18	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0x8d0d96…
10-13 18:22:51	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	632	95¢	$600	0x3af005…
10-13 17:09:34	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	563	44¢	$248	0xb53e62…
10-13 17:00:22	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	563	71¢	$400	0xed5486…
10-13 16:10:33	Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x525c6f…
10-13 16:10:13	Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x84b225…
10-13 14:52:16	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0xf8dc4e…
10-13 14:52:01	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x6b616c…
10-13 14:50:47	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	444	90¢	$400	0xf67776…
10-13 14:50:35	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x832acd…
10-13 14:21:25	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x5944f4…
10-13 14:04:07	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd8db39…
10-13 13:00:31	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	169	77¢	$130	0x2a3a57…
10-13 13:00:14	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x40d60f…
10-12 20:54:38	Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x3f081e…
10-12 20:48:23	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	610	99¢	$605	0x6e302f…
10-12 20:41:21	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	610	98¢	$600	0x933135…
10-12 20:38:29	Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xadac36…
10-12 17:51:18	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	149	95¢	$141	0x61140a…
10-12 17:40:09	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	2,950	99¢	$2,931	0xe5e931…
10-12 16:48:09	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	508	98¢	$500	0xc291f0…
10-12 16:47:51	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	508	98¢	$500	0x12bec4…
10-12 16:47:41	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	508	98¢	$500	0x6e092c…
10-12 16:47:24	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	149	94¢	$140	0x7440a5…
10-12 16:47:11	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	609	99¢	$600	0x20342d…
10-12 16:46:59	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x7490c5…
10-12 16:46:47	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	609	99¢	$600	0x7767d6…
10-12 16:28:08	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x083aee…
10-12 14:58:09	Catania: Gabriele Piraino vs Felix Gill	Felix Gill	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x5979b8…
10-12 14:56:33	Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xb3fae8…
10-12 14:28:38	Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xe5ccb2…
10-12 14:28:24	Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	137	95¢	$130	0x3e1941…
10-12 14:28:12	Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xb00b27…
10-12 13:17:44	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x75c649…
10-12 13:16:57	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x9684fc…
10-12 13:16:47	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xee28e4…
10-12 13:16:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xf7e7a0…
10-12 13:16:26	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x1877c5…
10-12 13:16:14	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xb1b5ff…
10-12 13:16:05	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x997675…
10-12 13:15:54	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xdae39f…
10-12 13:15:27	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x865e5f…
10-11 20:48:02	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xe47668…
10-11 20:47:49	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	415	96¢	$400	0x9aaccd…
10-11 20:44:51	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	SELL	119	86¢	$102	0x5f2d8d…
10-11 20:37:04	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xf376e2…
10-11 15:00:27	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x8c654d…
10-11 14:58:42	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0xba87bb…
10-11 13:34:42	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0x3a57d7…
10-11 13:34:15	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	430	93¢	$400	0x72c0d5…
10-11 13:34:03	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0x377515…
10-11 13:33:52	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0x2f70fc…
10-11 13:33:42	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0x608e1a…
10-11 13:32:45	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x523764…
10-11 13:32:36	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc72464…
10-11 13:32:22	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x19a6f4…
10-11 13:11:16	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0x2c71dc…
10-11 00:28:25	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xaf552b…
10-10 23:54:57	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0x8215fd…
10-10 23:54:40	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xdb5d14…
10-10 20:31:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	750	80¢	$600	0x5c2229…
10-10 20:26:39	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	571	70¢	$400	0x1fdebf…
10-10 20:26:27	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0xd32927…
10-10 20:26:13	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	488	86¢	$420	0xab6351…
10-10 20:21:33	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xd41a85…
10-10 20:21:18	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x2ed00c…
10-10 20:20:40	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x5dc741…
10-10 20:19:46	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	340	88¢	$300	0x292d3a…
10-10 18:45:15	Will CD Cobresal win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xce8166…
10-10 18:01:07	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	782	23¢	$180	0x38e5b8…
10-10 17:50:46	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	335	62¢	$208	0x7512be…
10-10 17:44:16	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	334	62¢	$207	0x627bf8…
10-10 16:43:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0xa437a8…
10-10 16:39:42	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x5a93cc…
10-10 16:38:34	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0xeec2a5…
10-10 16:37:54	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0x815c9f…
10-10 12:57:04	Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	44	24¢	$11	0x2dbab6…
10-10 12:56:24	Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	220	24¢	$53	0x5859a7…
10-10 12:53:24	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	339	58¢	$197	0xb629c5…
10-10 12:48:39	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xeb92ad…
10-10 12:48:18	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xb55ccd…
10-10 12:34:51	Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	264	87¢	$230	0xff5574…
10-10 12:31:39	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	112	55¢	$61	0x604706…