Waterlogged-Inverse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$85

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

243

Trades

307

lifetime

Volume

$77.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$253

Open exposure

$386

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 180 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 94% +$84

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No		+387	$385	100¢	$386	+$1	10-26 04:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 96k on january 25	11	$944	13,068	12,769	+298	No	+$0	01-25 01:27
bitcoin above 90k on february 4	6	$710	41,633	41,633	+0	No	$0	02-04 13:35
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 30	2	$678	339	339	+0	No	+$0	03-29 22:14
ethereum above 2300 on february 22	2	$643	322	322	+0	No	+$0	02-21 23:40
bitcoin above 84k on february 7	6	$642	11,354	11,354	+0	No	$0	02-07 00:18
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 2 8	2	$640	321	321	+0	No	+$1	03-08 09:52
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$629	315	315	+0	No	+$1	02-27 23:33
bitcoin above 76k on february 27	2	$629	315	315	+0	No	+$0	02-26 23:58
bitcoin above 88k on february 6	2	$628	315	315	+0	No	+$1	02-05 22:38
bitcoin above 72k on february 25	2	$626	313	313	+0	No	+$0	02-25 01:21
bitcoin above 80k on january 27	2	$624	312	312	+0	Yes	+$0	01-27 11:29
will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 29	2	$623	312	312	+0	No	+$0	01-28 14:31
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 28	2	$623	312	312	+0	No	+$0	01-28 13:30
bitcoin above 82k on january 28	2	$623	312	312	+0	Yes	+$0	01-28 13:23
ethereum above 3300 on january 25	2	$621	311	311	+0	No	+$0	01-25 00:07
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	2	$617	309	309	+0	Yes	+$0	01-19 11:17
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 12 18	2	$617	309	309	+0	No	+$0	01-18 06:12
ethereum above 2700 on january 12	2	$613	307	307	+0	Yes	+$0	01-12 14:12
will bitcoin reach 98k january 5 11	2	$612	307	307	+0	No	+$1	01-11 23:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	3	$611	306	306	+0	No	$0	01-11 00:09
will the price of ethereum be less than 2700 on january 10	2	$611	306	306	+0	No	+$0	01-09 22:32
bitcoin above 90k on february 3	5	$410	22,927	22,613	+314	No	+$0	02-02 23:39
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	1	$385	387	0	+387	open	—	10-26 04:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?	1	$384	384	0	+384	Yes	+$0	10-19 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22?	1	$384	384	0	+384	Yes	+$0	10-22 06:49
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 19-25?	1	$382	384	0	+384	No	+$2	10-23 23:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 16?	1	$381	382	0	+382	No	+$1	10-16 12:20
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?	1	$381	382	0	+382	No	+$1	10-16 22:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15?	1	$381	381	0	+381	Yes	+$0	10-15 13:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 13?	1	$381	381	0	+381	No	+$0	10-13 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 04:16:29	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	387	100¢	$385	0x10717e…
10-23 23:46:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 19-25?	No	BUY	384	100¢	$382	0x2dcd96…
10-22 06:49:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	384	100¢	$384	0x2e495a…
10-19 14:32:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	384	100¢	$384	0x3bfcfb…
10-16 22:19:24	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?	No	BUY	382	100¢	$381	0xbf5cff…
10-16 12:20:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 16?	No	BUY	382	100¢	$381	0x6d07ca…
10-15 13:01:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	381	100¢	$381	0xd6175b…
10-13 05:29:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	381	100¢	$381	0xf23cdb…
10-08 23:02:02	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?	No	BUY	380	100¢	$378	0x2e4166…
10-05 08:45:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	379	100¢	$379	0xe47e35…
10-04 10:29:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	378	100¢	$378	0x4725b1…
10-03 14:27:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0x20a5f3…
10-03 14:26:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x286cc0…
09-29 21:28:24	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	378	100¢	$377	0xceeb85…
09-29 06:44:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	377	100¢	$377	0xd8ac16…
09-28 00:54:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1c575d…
09-28 00:52:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2c5a12…
09-27 23:34:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0xcb4ef9…
09-26 01:37:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	376	100¢	$376	0x7effe5…
09-24 21:22:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	375	100¢	$374	0x582422…
09-24 07:04:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	375	100¢	$375	0x0fb397…
09-23 00:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	374	100¢	$374	0x4f7970…
09-22 04:38:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	374	100¢	$374	0x51c630…
09-21 09:30:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	374	100¢	$374	0x9dee32…
09-20 21:51:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 14-20?	No	BUY	373	100¢	$373	0x6fd56a…
09-19 22:35:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	373	100¢	$373	0x00090f…
09-19 09:32:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	373	100¢	$373	0x582d32…
09-18 08:49:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	372	100¢	$372	0xc27ad4…
09-16 23:11:18	will ethereum reach 2750 on september 16 2026	No	BUY	372	100¢	$372	0x23c1f8…
09-16 13:30:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	371	100¢	$371	0xdb7c0e…
09-15 00:40:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	371	100¢	$371	0x11f659…
08-30 23:01:55	Will Solana reach $150 in August?	No	BUY	371	100¢	$371	0x883880…
08-28 08:05:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	371	100¢	$371	0x296f09…
08-27 16:00:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	370	100¢	$370	0xa48b97…
08-25 18:55:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	370	100¢	$370	0x02e445…
08-23 18:05:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0xa6961e…
08-23 18:03:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xb4097b…
08-22 09:29:52	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 22?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0xc2a53a…
08-21 09:39:28	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on August 24?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9403b1…
08-20 20:44:39	will ethereum reach 2600 on august 20 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5c24a3…
08-20 20:43:34	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1fbbbb…
08-20 20:42:28	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on August 22?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x1b4487…
08-20 00:27:16	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on August 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa6bc6b…
08-20 00:25:16	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 21?	No	BUY	258	100¢	$257	0xd63789…
08-20 00:24:37	will solana dip to 70 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x20c74d…
08-14 07:33:10	solana above 100 on august 15 2026	No	BUY	368	100¢	$367	0x2376da…
08-07 14:28:36	bitcoin above 52k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	367	100¢	$367	0x5c1562…
08-06 12:45:24	bitcoin above 54k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	367	100¢	$367	0x198336…
08-05 00:21:38	bitcoin above 54k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	367	100¢	$367	0x94f040…
08-04 04:04:26	ethereum above 2200 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf67541…
08-04 02:07:03	ethereum above 2200 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x66fbf9…
08-02 22:23:54	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	366	100¢	$366	0xc0fb54…
08-01 09:19:42	ethereum above 1600 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	366	100¢	$366	0x1d04ed…
07-30 21:31:38	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	BUY	315	100¢	$315	0xeca93f…
07-29 19:49:35	xrp above 1pt3 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xa7ac5a…
07-29 19:47:20	Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on July 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9e7fd3…
07-29 19:46:59	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on July 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd26e70…
07-29 19:46:30	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on July 30?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xf134a8…
07-28 02:34:48	bitcoin above 56k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	364	100¢	$364	0xe8b75d…
07-26 22:19:03	ethereum above 2200 on july 27 2026	No	BUY	364	100¢	$364	0xf601ab…
07-19 05:19:21	bitcoin above 52k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	363	100¢	$363	0xf8da9b…
07-13 23:34:41	Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on July 15?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x899203…
07-13 23:33:56	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on July 15?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0xaacaec…
07-13 23:33:29	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on July 16?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0f2092…
07-08 02:17:20	xrp above 1pt3 on july 8 2026	No	BUY	362	100¢	$362	0x8d05fc…
07-07 13:08:10	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	362	100¢	$362	0x8ff1eb…
07-06 20:57:32	will bitcoin dip to 57k on july 6	No	BUY	362	100¢	$362	0x2a3a80…
07-06 00:50:43	bitcoin above 70k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	361	100¢	$361	0x67b17b…
07-04 19:50:22	bitcoin above 52k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	311	100¢	$311	0x25aec5…
07-03 20:24:43	solana above 120 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x40e17b…
07-03 09:10:22	bitcoin above 70k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	361	100¢	$361	0x28b34b…
07-01 08:03:01	solana above 50 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	357	100¢	$357	0xf414d0…
06-29 21:43:44	will ethereum reach 2500 in june 2026	No	BUY	360	100¢	$360	0xd5ab0c…
06-29 03:27:14	bitcoin above 70k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	360	100¢	$360	0xbefa42…
06-28 09:24:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	359	100¢	$359	0x803d58…
06-26 22:34:49	ethereum above 1900 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	359	100¢	$359	0x6cd44a…
06-25 21:56:19	ethereum above 2100 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x1b24fb…
06-23 22:19:44	xrp above 0pt6 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x7eeff2…
06-23 22:19:16	xrp above 1pt5 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x2ca5ab…
06-22 21:32:34	xrp above 0pt7 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0x36fc8e…
06-20 21:34:31	solana above 100 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd3cf31…
06-19 23:52:13	solana above 20 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x2d7ce4…
06-18 22:10:47	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on June 23?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x35999b…
06-18 22:06:19	xrp above 0pt7 on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x99eadf…
06-18 22:05:58	xrp above 1pt7 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	75	99¢	$75	0xf68489…
06-18 22:05:44	xrp above 1pt8 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	185	99¢	$184	0xd11295…
06-17 22:26:46	solana above 100 on june 19 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xfec1cc…
06-16 23:15:07	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 18?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xcd0524…
06-14 22:40:09	Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 18?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x37cfd0…
06-14 22:38:57	Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 17?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x104a8a…
06-11 22:51:30	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 14?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x7e4da0…
06-11 22:49:58	Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 16?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x4fc4e3…
06-11 22:48:40	Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 14?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x28eaa8…
06-09 19:11:54	ethereum above 2000 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	353	100¢	$353	0xc9186d…
06-08 22:52:48	bitcoin above 70k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	353	100¢	$353	0x14fefd…
06-08 04:23:12	ethereum above 2000 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	352	100¢	$352	0xdeb874…
06-08 00:37:43	will ethereum dip to 1450 on june 7	No	BUY	352	100¢	$352	0x4b25b3…
06-06 20:37:46	bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	352	100¢	$352	0x5c7535…
06-06 02:02:33	ethereum above 2000 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xfdc280…
06-06 01:48:10	ethereum above 2000 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x314439…