Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.14K

Unrealized P&L

-$513

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$277

7 positions

First seen

2026-10-21

last 10-26 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

97% 0% -$1,144

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,100	$273	5¢	$105	-$168	10-21 23:30
Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	+8,000	$240	1¢	$52	-$188	10-23 22:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	+5,784	$48	1¢	$46	-$1	10-22 05:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	+700	$63	4¢	$32	-$32	10-25 22:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	+10,044	$50	0¢	$15	-$35	10-22 10:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	+1,420	$91	1¢	$14	-$77	10-23 00:39
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+911	$25	1¢	$13	-$12	10-21 23:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	26	$2.2K	18,783	6,166	+12,617	open	—	10-26 08:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	18	$1.3K	24,777	4,777	+20,000	Yes	-$1,036	10-25 23:22
Iran leadership change by October 31?	3	$417	9,957	1,957	+8,000	open	—	10-23 22:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	4	$273	1,600	900	+700	open	—	10-25 22:00
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	1	$273	2,100	0	+2,100	open	—	10-21 23:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	9	$155	30,388	5,878	+24,510	Yes	-$108	10-22 05:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$91	1,420	0	+1,420	open	—	10-23 00:39
Will Iran target Egypt by October 31, 2026?	2	$75	400	65	+335	open	—	10-22 01:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	3	$50	10,044	0	+10,044	open	—	10-22 10:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	2	$48	5,784	0	+5,784	open	—	10-22 05:20
Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?	2	$43	808	0	+808	open	—	10-22 05:23
Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?	4	$27	276	206	+70	open	—	10-22 07:35
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?	2	$25	911	0	+911	open	—	10-21 23:58
Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026?	1	$1	27	0	+27	open	—	10-21 23:57
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	1	$1	730	0	+730	open	—	10-21 23:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:37:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x9758c0…
10-26 03:40:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	3,000	1¢	$21	0x05dc92…
10-26 02:47:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2,000	1¢	$18	0x740e48…
10-26 01:31:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	3,000	1¢	$27	0x26ba9e…
10-26 01:19:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0xb21aa6…
10-25 23:34:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	1,597	1¢	$16	0x5d0054…
10-25 23:34:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	473	1¢	$5	0x03dbea…
10-25 23:22:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	2,777	2¢	$69	0xf31297…
10-25 22:00:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x7928a1…
10-25 07:15:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	800	10¢	$80	0x00daeb…
10-25 04:32:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	800	10¢	$80	0x9f6c61…
10-24 21:35:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	800	11¢	$88	0x2cdc2b…
10-23 22:33:23	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,957	4¢	$88	0x4f6ea4…
10-23 05:41:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x7cbe36…
10-23 01:02:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	237	2¢	$5	0x5eac7d…
10-23 00:39:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	600	7¢	$42	0xb2400d…
10-22 23:53:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	1,763	2¢	$41	0x3576ea…
10-22 19:45:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	831	9¢	$75	0x199b49…
10-22 19:41:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x51e893…
10-22 19:41:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xb17cc0…
10-22 19:40:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	217	8¢	$17	0x071e03…
10-22 19:34:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x10b90c…
10-22 19:34:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	68	8¢	$5	0x2f1568…
10-22 19:29:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5,000	1¢	$65	0x249ec6…
10-22 17:38:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xb3e6d7…
10-22 17:34:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	3,000	11¢	$337	0xe7e904…
10-22 17:31:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	67	2¢	$2	0x5c5673…
10-22 17:27:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2c4cb5…
10-22 17:26:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	143	12¢	$17	0x6c989d…
10-22 17:25:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	666	12¢	$80	0x832daf…
10-22 17:23:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	205	3¢	$6	0xd9074b…
10-22 10:05:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	353	0¢	$2	0xe10571…
10-22 07:52:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	820	6¢	$49	0x5b2ee9…
10-22 07:35:38	Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	7¢	$6	0xc4b6dc…
10-22 07:22:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	147	0¢	$1	0x69e9d7…
10-22 06:58:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	607	5¢	$30	0x5c4bb5…
10-22 06:55:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	397	5¢	$20	0xfefa91…
10-22 06:54:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x444043…
10-22 06:54:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	598	5¢	$30	0x81a32d…
10-22 05:23:53	Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	6¢	$9	0x73e939…
10-22 05:23:08	Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	690	6¢	$41	0x6e69f5…
10-22 05:21:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0x7c16ed…
10-22 05:20:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,403	1¢	$13	0xe75aa4…
10-22 05:14:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	5,878	0¢	$24	0xf16f48…
10-22 05:11:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	9,084	5¢	$500	0xa21426…
10-22 05:01:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xca5cd8…
10-22 05:01:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x18728b…
10-22 04:55:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	902	6¢	$50	0xac5ad0…
10-22 03:57:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x74e6a0…
10-22 03:57:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x1c2cbe…
10-22 03:57:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb30c2e…
10-22 03:57:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x5338f6…
10-22 03:47:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa26665…
10-22 03:39:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	6,873	0¢	$21	0x5f3570…
10-22 01:52:18	Will Iran target Egypt by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	4¢	$3	0x6e8d3d…
10-22 01:50:48	Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	6¢	$7	0x919a5a…
10-22 00:26:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	2,357	18¢	$424	0x095d9c…
10-22 00:03:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	666	18¢	$120	0xae9df9…
10-22 00:02:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2,000	18¢	$360	0x0b0da1…
10-21 23:58:14	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$1	0xa35acb…
10-21 23:57:05	Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x43b309…
10-21 23:55:56	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	730	0¢	$1	0xaf97b7…
10-21 23:50:23	Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0xb6436a…
10-21 23:48:38	Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	3¢	$4	0xf4c553…
10-21 23:47:47	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	857	3¢	$23	0x534ced…
10-21 23:46:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	4,381	1¢	$35	0xec14de…
10-21 23:43:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9,544	0¢	$48	0x69ec89…
10-21 23:42:00	Will Iran target Egypt by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	18¢	$72	0xe5d136…
10-21 23:39:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x0e04c3…
10-21 23:38:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x3bf40a…
10-21 23:38:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x726ba3…
10-21 23:37:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0xd53938…
10-21 23:36:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	1,500	19¢	$285	0x14768f…
10-21 23:34:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	13,441	1¢	$81	0x690a70…
10-21 23:32:09	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x9d2b4f…
10-21 23:32:02	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9,887	3¢	$326	0xa31e73…
10-21 23:30:56	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,100	13¢	$273	0xdd3218…
10-21 23:26:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2,803	13¢	$373	0x5c9e9f…