(anonymous) 0x493595…8fdfda
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$142
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
111
lifetime
Volume
$2.68K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.06K
24 positions
First seen
2026-06-09
last 06-10 05:53
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50% — —
Other
33% — —
Tech
16% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +869 $182 25¢ $217 +$35 06-09 12:30
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,116 $156 15¢ $162 +$6 06-10 00:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +1,020 $85 8¢ $82 $-3 06-09 13:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +191 $65 38¢ $72 +$7 06-09 08:22
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +981 $118 6¢ $64 $-54 06-09 10:43
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +183 $70 34¢ $62 $-7 06-09 18:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +245 $86 21¢ $51 $-34 06-09 08:42
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +125 $50 31¢ $39 $-11 06-09 09:14
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +45 $32 68¢ $31 $-1 06-09 16:20
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +25 $23 92¢ $23 +$0 06-09 08:59
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +25 $23 90¢ $23 $-0 06-09 09:00
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +31 $23 72¢ $23 $-0 06-09 14:56
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +26 $23 88¢ $23 $-0 06-09 08:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +28 $23 80¢ $23 $-0 06-09 09:00
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +30 $22 76¢ $23 +$0 06-09 08:22
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +29 $23 76¢ $22 $-0 06-09 09:00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +29 $23 76¢ $22 $-1 06-09 09:03
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +25 $22 86¢ $22 $-0 06-09 19:37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +28 $22 76¢ $21 $-1 06-09 08:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +88 $23 22¢ $20 $-3 06-09 09:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +31 $21 60¢ $19 $-3 06-09 09:00
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +20 $17 87¢ $17 +$0 06-09 10:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-09 08:06
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? No +340 $71 0¢ $0 $-71 06-09 14:19