Interesting-Thrush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-29 16:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 0% -$99

Pop-Culture

13% 50% +$31

Other

7% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	21	$752	859	845	+14	Yes	-$24	03-14 12:28
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	3	$216	237	237	+0	No	-$64	10-29 16:01
Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?	2	$83	113	113	+0	No	-$44	05-15 01:01
Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	6	$75	150	0	+150	No	+$75	05-15 02:32
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$47	55	55	+0	No	-$4	05-14 17:43
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$28	48	48	+0	No	-$2	05-12 02:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:55 UTC	1	$5	84	0	+84	Down	-$5	03-11 11:57
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$5	29	0	+29	No	-$5	02-19 21:13
RC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?	2	$4	8	8	+0	No	$0	04-26 15:43
Torino FC leading at halftime?	2	$4	14	14	+0	No	$0	04-26 15:43
Sevilla FC leading at halftime?	2	$4	9	9	+0	No	$0	04-26 15:43
Paris FC leading at halftime?	2	$2	9	9	+0	No	-$2	04-26 15:42
FC Metz leading at halftime?	2	$2	11	11	+0	No	-$2	04-26 15:33
SC Freiburg leading at halftime?	2	$2	13	12	+0	No	-$2	04-26 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:01:08	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	237	32¢	$76	0x8c77ed…
10-28 20:30:58	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xa154a2…
10-28 19:59:20	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0x35c97d…
05-15 02:32:45	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xd533f0…
05-15 02:26:03	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x16269b…
05-15 02:13:02	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x7cc05b…
05-15 01:20:39	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x3caef0…
05-15 01:10:11	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x96437d…
05-15 01:06:15	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0x7d5582…
05-15 01:01:33	Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	113	17¢	$20	0xa55d9e…
05-14 23:17:43	Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	113	56¢	$63	0x398c31…
05-14 17:43:54	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0xca09e2…
05-12 02:57:40	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	48	26¢	$13	0x951a10…
05-12 02:32:33	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x36ddcb…
05-12 02:32:19	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xed7a72…
04-26 15:43:52	Torino FC leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x0dff1a…
04-26 15:43:40	SC Freiburg leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xe778d3…
04-26 15:43:20	RC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x800f58…
04-26 15:43:00	Sevilla FC leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xaf1db6…
04-26 15:42:54	Paris FC leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xd3c21c…
04-26 15:33:48	FC Metz leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x9a4980…
04-26 14:31:06	SC Freiburg leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x2c9000…
04-26 14:29:36	Torino FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x00d4c3…
04-26 14:27:26	RC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xb342d6…
04-26 14:27:04	Sevilla FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xced3f5…
04-26 14:25:36	FC Metz leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x1f9543…
04-26 14:25:24	Paris FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xa68ce3…
04-22 14:18:30	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	32	45¢	$14	0xa3d3de…
04-22 04:25:16	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	32	48¢	$15	0x22ea38…
03-14 12:28:07	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	411	40¢	$164	0x69d536…
03-13 09:22:25	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	207	51¢	$105	0x7b23ab…
03-13 02:30:33	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	53¢	$12	0x2ec299…
03-13 02:19:37	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	73	51¢	$37	0xdf5f1e…
03-13 02:14:57	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	107	46¢	$49	0xeeadfe…
03-12 22:05:51	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	240	43¢	$103	0xe4999e…
03-12 20:49:41	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	47¢	$38	0xc6a689…
03-12 18:51:41	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	48	47¢	$22	0xd5eaf5…
03-12 16:39:27	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	32	47¢	$15	0x2034df…
03-12 16:20:57	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xfe6c01…
03-12 14:28:47	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	72	42¢	$31	0x03eb57…
03-12 11:05:23	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35	41¢	$15	0x64f274…
03-11 19:45:03	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0xb18901…
03-11 12:26:07	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	92	39¢	$36	0x12b33e…
03-11 11:57:59	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	65	40¢	$26	0xe45df7…
03-11 11:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0xa3aa8d…
03-10 18:51:15	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	39	44¢	$17	0x3949bc…
03-08 23:45:01	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x7b2454…
03-08 23:40:59	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xb4fcb6…
03-08 23:29:19	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	94	48¢	$45	0x70d1ea…
02-19 21:14:12	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x1d20eb…
02-19 21:13:52	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xa11bd9…
02-19 21:13:40	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x81ec8c…
02-19 21:13:28	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x532d9a…