Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$4.29K

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

Trades

285

lifetime

Volume

$189.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$665

Open exposure

$8.10K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 11-07 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

89% 83% +$12,682

Other

11% 100% +$393

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	-5,644	-$5,038	98¢	$-5523	-$485	05-01 20:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+5,000	$3,250	30¢	$1.5K	-$1,725	11-03 13:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	+5,000	$3,100	20¢	$1.0K	-$2,075	11-03 08:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	+54	$37	54¢	$30	-$8	11-01 06:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	11	$35.6K	17,868	17,868	+0	Yes	+$45	03-02 19:54
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	13	$30.7K	17,828	12,922	+4,907	No	+$43	03-01 07:24
Will the US strike Somalia next?	77	$18.1K	18,445	0	+18,445	Yes	+$393	03-01 21:35
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	21	$10.2K	10,472	0	+10,472	Yes	+$231	03-01 09:16
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	1	$8.8K	8,822	0	+8,822	No	+$9	03-02 05:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	8	$8.3K	13,193	0	+13,193	No	+$4,913	11-02 15:11
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$8.0K	12,555	0	+12,555	Yes	+$4,527	02-19 04:42
will iran strike saudi arabia in march	17	$7.5K	7,676	0	+7,676	Yes	+$183	03-03 06:17
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	10	$7.4K	8,186	0	+8,186	No	+$816	03-14 06:58
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	4	$5.0K	0	5,644	-5,644	open	—	05-01 20:41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	35	$5.0K	4,957	5,000	-43	Yes	-$22	02-18 23:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$4.5K	5,148	5,148	+0	Yes	-$1,606	02-01 20:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	2	$4.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	11-07 06:50
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	21	$3.7K	2,115	2,115	+0	No	+$0	03-06 03:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	4	$3.6K	4,900	0	+4,900	No	+$1,274	10-31 23:29
will iran strike uae in march	6	$3.3K	3,353	0	+3,353	Yes	+$39	03-03 04:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	7	$3.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	11-03 13:48
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	3	$3.2K	1,706	1,706	+0	Yes	+$163	04-16 06:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	2	$3.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	11-03 08:47
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$3.0K	5,085	0	+5,085	Yes	+$2,085	01-28 22:02
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$210	03-05 20:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$2.5K	1,578	1,578	+0	Yes	+$63	03-04 22:44
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	1	$2.4K	3,173	0	+3,173	Yes	+$730	03-29 06:31
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	6	$2.4K	6,150	6,150	+0	No	-$1,146	10-28 04:47
will iran strike bahrain in march	12	$1.3K	1,401	0	+1,401	Yes	+$70	03-03 04:31
will iran strike jordan in march 375	2	$564	348	348	+0	Yes	+$0	03-02 20:46
will iran strike qatar in march	2	$541	544	0	+544	Yes	+$3	03-03 04:44
will iran strike kuwait in march	2	$106	54	54	+0	Yes	+$1	03-04 22:45
israel x iran ceasefire broken by june 30 2026 438 193	2	$80	132	0	+132	Yes	+$52	02-19 04:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	3	$37	54	0	+54	open	—	11-01 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 06:50:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	5,000	36¢	$1,800	0xf87eca…
11-03 13:48:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	1,818	65¢	$1,181	0x8abbe3…
11-03 13:41:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x026363…
11-03 13:40:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x87a8cc…
11-03 13:32:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	24	65¢	$16	0xeb573d…
11-03 13:32:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	3,000	65¢	$1,950	0x487250…
11-03 13:32:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	76	65¢	$49	0x9c4f2a…
11-03 13:32:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	42	65¢	$27	0xa48c7b…
11-03 08:47:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	BUY	4,921	62¢	$3,051	0x3cbfe7…
11-03 08:47:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	5,000	53¢	$2,650	0xf8ded3…
11-03 08:04:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	BUY	79	62¢	$49	0xaaf182…
11-02 15:11:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	4,559	62¢	$2,826	0x69e187…
11-02 15:07:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	3,000	62¢	$1,860	0xf63676…
11-02 15:06:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	380	62¢	$236	0xa1edf4…
11-02 15:01:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	208	62¢	$129	0xe018ac…
11-02 14:51:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	47	62¢	$29	0xb02891…
11-01 06:00:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xc7d43f…
10-31 23:29:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	4,670	74¢	$3,456	0x08ca31…
10-31 23:16:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	115	74¢	$85	0xc832f5…
10-31 23:11:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x6c810f…
10-31 23:10:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	103	74¢	$76	0xbb1b3f…
10-31 21:03:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x2ebe05…
10-30 16:27:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xb8a58d…
10-28 04:47:40	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	6,150	10¢	$615	0xb24a54…
10-24 17:31:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	4,006	64¢	$2,564	0x96f966…
10-24 12:34:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x9227b8…
10-24 12:34:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	974	64¢	$623	0xebc2b8…
10-24 04:26:39	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	4,000	29¢	$1,160	0x94e2ab…
10-24 04:25:59	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x3c5102…
10-24 04:15:23	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x2638eb…
10-24 03:51:18	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	1,898	28¢	$531	0x3378de…
10-23 05:01:32	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0x5f12f8…
05-01 20:41:24	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	4,208	89¢	$3,745	0x4a3c06…
05-01 20:41:08	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	254	90¢	$229	0x0b1aed…
05-01 03:36:02	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	1,126	90¢	$1,013	0x5d8ac0…
04-30 20:28:40	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	56	91¢	$51	0xb6fba2…
04-16 06:10:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,706	97¢	$1,659	0xfdbb34…
04-02 01:52:57	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,296	88¢	$1,141	0xf44cc8…
04-02 01:52:45	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	409	87¢	$356	0xbd0534…
03-29 06:31:44	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,173	77¢	$2,443	0x97a716…
03-14 06:58:27	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	1,164	96¢	$1,123	0x43441b…
03-06 03:24:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	294	87¢	$256	0x849940…
03-06 03:17:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	115	87¢	$100	0xf33f7d…
03-06 03:17:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	119	87¢	$104	0x1d87cc…
03-06 03:17:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	500	87¢	$436	0x27e5a3…
03-06 03:17:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	10	87¢	$8	0x859055…
03-06 03:17:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	500	87¢	$436	0xa5955c…
03-06 03:16:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xcc76e6…
03-06 03:15:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	34	87¢	$30	0xc1961b…
03-06 03:13:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	70	87¢	$61	0x88ae0f…
03-06 03:12:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	11	87¢	$9	0x3e0a04…
03-06 02:59:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x3c9732…
03-06 02:58:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	229	87¢	$200	0x240403…
03-06 02:55:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	229	87¢	$200	0x1f3c93…
03-05 20:03:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,740	87¢	$1,517	0x66f364…
03-05 20:00:41	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	3,000	93¢	$2,790	0x888380…
03-05 20:00:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xf6ae67…
03-05 20:00:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xf7783a…
03-05 20:00:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	90	87¢	$78	0xef747c…
03-05 20:00:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x624e33…
03-05 20:00:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x464854…
03-05 19:58:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x87a858…
03-05 19:57:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xfa9bd4…
03-04 22:45:31	will iran strike kuwait in march	Yes	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x006a04…
03-04 22:44:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1,578	80¢	$1,263	0x33de07…
03-04 05:07:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	790	76¢	$600	0xf97b82…
03-04 05:06:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	210	76¢	$160	0x14ebd9…
03-04 04:59:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	578	76¢	$440	0x8bff13…
03-03 23:54:49	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0xc4bbf0…
03-03 23:45:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	135	89¢	$120	0x6890d4…
03-03 23:36:53	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x8b1e19…
03-03 23:26:27	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	207	89¢	$184	0x25cfbf…
03-03 22:11:47	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0xd8e981…
03-03 21:49:23	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xffc712…
03-03 20:47:11	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	4,771	89¢	$4,246	0x701a78…
03-03 20:46:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	497	89¢	$441	0xc0bf11…
03-03 20:46:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	1,258	89¢	$1,119	0x7b01e5…
03-03 06:17:19	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	1,028	99¢	$1,021	0x694662…
03-03 05:52:37	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	448	98¢	$439	0xc9680f…
03-03 05:52:27	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xf843c3…
03-03 05:51:17	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd58111…
03-03 05:51:11	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x78e52b…
03-03 05:24:51	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xb23823…
03-03 04:46:25	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0x9ed330…
03-03 04:44:27	will iran strike qatar in march	Yes	BUY	480	100¢	$478	0xca00ec…
03-03 04:31:27	will iran strike bahrain in march	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xca413c…
03-03 04:29:25	will iran strike uae in march	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xdc5989…
03-03 04:29:21	will iran strike uae in march	Yes	BUY	413	100¢	$411	0x7b9afd…
03-03 04:18:29	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	443	99¢	$436	0x22e787…
03-03 04:16:49	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	751	98¢	$739	0x5fd39e…
03-03 04:14:05	will iran strike bahrain in march	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0xfc1a38…
03-03 04:09:35	will iran strike bahrain in march	Yes	BUY	71	95¢	$67	0xdfba93…
03-03 04:09:31	will iran strike bahrain in march	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xa89d3c…
03-03 04:09:23	will iran strike bahrain in march	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xe90997…
03-03 04:09:07	will iran strike bahrain in march	Yes	BUY	537	93¢	$499	0xe9450b…
03-02 20:46:19	will iran strike kuwait in march	Yes	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0xdafa8c…
03-02 20:46:13	will iran strike jordan in march 375	Yes	SELL	348	81¢	$282	0xe0c968…
03-02 20:42:43	will iran strike jordan in march 375	Yes	BUY	348	81¢	$282	0xa0de5b…
03-02 20:21:51	will iran strike saudi arabia in march	Yes	BUY	94	94¢	$88	0x9c419e…
03-02 19:58:47	will iran strike uae in march	Yes	BUY	405	99¢	$400	0xd8e36f…