Greedy-Chateau — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.1%

Resolved

Trades

218

lifetime

Volume

$33.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$152

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 08-28 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

78% 31% -$120

Politics

14% 56% -$1,038

Pop-Culture

6% 0% -$12

Sports

1% 100% +$100

Crypto

0% 100% +$3

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$6.1K	3,113	3,113	+0	No	-$1	02-15 19:03
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	36	$5.5K	2,643	3,443	-800	Yes	+$5	02-02 15:20
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	15	$2.4K	11,800	1,800	+10,000	No	-$25	02-03 21:44
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	3	$2.3K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$0	01-31 21:48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$2.1K	1,063	1,063	+0	Yes	+$12	05-25 20:08
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?	5	$2.1K	1,067	1,067	+0	Yes	-$4	05-24 19:39
aapl up or down on february 2 2026	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$10	02-02 16:07
meta up or down on february 2 2026	4	$1.6K	1,253	553	+700	Down	+$42	02-02 20:57
tsla up or down on february 3 2026	2	$1.6K	500	1,200	-700	Up	+$634	02-03 19:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	1	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	No	-$1,075	05-25 20:09
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$821	439	439	+0	No	-$4	02-18 12:06
spx opens up or down on february 4 2026	4	$750	444	444	+0	Up	+$4	02-04 13:55
coin up or down on february 4 2026	4	$742	500	500	+0	Down	+$8	02-04 16:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	11	$739	480	480	+0	Yes	$0	02-04 12:55
msft close above 420 on february 2 2026	2	$552	700	0	+700	Yes	+$48	02-02 21:01
rut up or down on february 3 2026	1	$460	500	0	+500	Up	-$460	02-03 20:19
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	4	$392	400	400	+0	No	+$8	08-28 08:53
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	4	$342	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$20	02-01 17:43
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$289	585	585	+0	No	+$94	07-06 18:18
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$204	110	110	+0	Yes	-$1	02-18 12:06
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$187	194	0	+194	No	+$6	07-06 18:19
nvda close above 180 on february 3 2026	2	$186	200	0	+200	Yes	-$186	02-03 20:19
tsla close above 420 on february 3 2026	1	$180	200	0	+200	Yes	-$180	02-03 19:11
Will Bernie say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" in Maine?	2	$93	400	0	+400	Yes	+$7	05-24 23:30
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	2	$52	28	28	+0	No	+$0	01-31 20:33
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$50	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$2	01-31 22:16
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	4	$48	212	212	+0	No	-$2	01-31 21:48
amzn up or down on february 2 2026	3	$42	400	400	+0	Up	+$6	02-02 20:55
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	6	$40	51	51	+0	Yes	$0	05-24 19:40
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$39	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	01-31 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 08:53:57	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x98aae2…
08-28 08:53:48	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	SELL	200	3¢	$5	0xf15141…
08-27 17:14:51	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?	No	BUY	138	0¢	$0	0x5f0c5c…
08-27 16:41:01	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?	No	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x346fbb…
08-27 16:14:12	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?	No	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xab3330…
08-25 05:06:57	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xa00b82…
08-24 13:30:58	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xc507c2…
08-24 08:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x915360…
08-24 08:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x28cb9e…
08-24 08:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x205f32…
07-06 18:19:25	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	194	97¢	$187	0x88fa68…
07-06 18:18:56	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	585	33¢	$191	0x9ba7f7…
05-31 16:13:54	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xd94095…
05-28 20:33:14	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	585	17¢	$98	0xd70f7f…
05-25 20:09:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,083	99¢	$1,075	0x9573f4…
05-25 20:08:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1,063	100¢	$1,062	0x39ef89…
05-25 14:33:39	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xd1b065…
05-25 07:01:03	Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x5c409d…
05-25 06:36:15	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	1,193	0¢	$1	0x887250…
05-25 06:32:24	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x65b826…
05-25 06:32:09	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	445	0¢	$0	0xf17acd…
05-25 02:53:22	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfa689e…
05-25 02:53:08	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xdb0160…
05-25 01:14:33	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x56244b…
05-25 01:14:21	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x497167…
05-25 01:14:21	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x47af28…
05-25 01:14:21	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x157545…
05-25 01:14:19	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x512b33…
05-25 01:14:19	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x14f5bf…
05-25 01:10:35	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	792	0¢	$1	0x0333b0…
05-25 00:32:29	Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?	No	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0xb1d748…
05-24 23:53:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,063	99¢	$1,050	0x52b9b8…
05-24 23:33:45	Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?	No	BUY	143	0¢	$0	0xf4dbfc…
05-24 23:30:10	Will Bernie say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" in Maine?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xd96383…
05-24 23:19:36	Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8b9949…
05-24 23:13:53	Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xfa393d…
05-24 23:06:08	Will Bernie say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x6dfd7a…
05-24 23:04:51	Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?	No	BUY	817	0¢	$1	0x39fd46…
05-24 19:40:06	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x643374…
05-24 19:39:48	Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?	Yes	SELL	167	95¢	$158	0xcd23ff…
05-24 19:31:40	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x8d36ee…
05-24 19:30:42	Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?	Yes	BUY	167	95¢	$159	0x6f1a84…
05-24 19:03:15	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x3de8a8…
05-24 19:00:05	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x3d468e…
05-24 18:59:58	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x693e88…
05-24 18:59:24	Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?	Yes	SELL	900	97¢	$877	0xefe076…
05-24 16:52:55	Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?	Yes	BUY	400	98¢	$391	0xd994ff…
05-24 15:29:09	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x0bf2c2…
05-24 15:12:54	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbd186e…
04-17 15:05:42	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	No	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0xa71756…
03-20 09:00:37	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x8b90d2…
03-04 12:06:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x1dfff8…
03-01 02:06:39	cdr fcb atm 2026 03 03 atm	No	BUY	19	82¢	$15	0xd8319d…
02-18 12:06:28	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	329	93¢	$306	0xd64515…
02-18 12:06:18	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	110	92¢	$101	0x2612b6…
02-16 17:50:57	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0x7956e1…
02-16 17:50:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	110	93¢	$102	0x42e9c4…
02-15 19:04:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	439	94¢	$413	0x7d19e2…
02-15 19:03:35	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	390	99¢	$387	0xc29308…
02-04 17:02:23	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	390	98¢	$383	0x73d821…
02-04 16:07:49	coin up or down on february 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x62a606…
02-04 16:02:49	coin up or down on february 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x41e4d0…
02-04 15:09:32	coin up or down on february 4 2026	Down	SELL	400	93¢	$372	0x71c21d…
02-04 15:04:32	coin up or down on february 4 2026	Down	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x845d82…
02-04 14:58:26	meta up or down on february 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1b5388…
02-04 13:55:58	spx opens up or down on february 4 2026	Up	SELL	444	85¢	$377	0xf36813…
02-04 13:50:16	spx opens up or down on february 4 2026	Up	BUY	424	84¢	$356	0x037500…
02-04 13:50:12	spx opens up or down on february 4 2026	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xde7aa5…
02-04 13:50:12	spx opens up or down on february 4 2026	Up	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x3504ca…
02-04 12:55:22	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	24	77¢	$19	0x35071d…
02-04 12:51:34	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0xdea9ce…
02-04 12:39:04	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0xe4d821…
02-04 12:27:02	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x70efb8…
02-04 12:23:58	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x34f42f…
02-04 12:23:56	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xa4ddc6…
02-04 12:23:54	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0xb9d5f0…
02-04 12:22:26	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0x824bf3…
02-04 12:22:22	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x6efbff…
02-04 12:22:20	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x91345f…
02-04 12:06:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	480	77¢	$370	0x653706…
02-03 22:16:26	meta close above 700 on february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xfa5c98…
02-03 21:44:04	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x6aac31…
02-03 20:56:56	amzn up or down on february 3 2026	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9c97bf…
02-03 20:56:46	meta up or down on february 3 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3d852f…
02-03 20:55:44	googl up or down on february 3 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x79973f…
02-03 20:19:52	nvda close above 180 on february 3 2026	No	BUY	146	93¢	$136	0xd165c4…
02-03 20:19:36	nvda close above 180 on february 3 2026	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x447495…
02-03 20:19:30	rut up or down on february 3 2026	Down	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xd18d34…
02-03 20:12:32	open up or down on february 3 2026	Down	BUY	176	0¢	$0	0xc1c6f3…
02-03 20:11:46	open up or down on february 3 2026	Down	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xd1e6d2…
02-03 19:54:26	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$986	0xa60222…
02-03 19:51:26	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0x79a39a…
02-03 19:45:50	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	BUY	452	99¢	$447	0xa45a4d…
02-03 19:45:50	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8a090e…
02-03 19:45:46	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8785b4…
02-03 19:45:42	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	BUY	348	99¢	$344	0x7af136…
02-03 19:45:38	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0e638b…
02-03 19:45:34	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xda541f…
02-03 19:39:42	tsla up or down on february 3 2026	Down	SELL	1,200	92¢	$1,104	0x2f23c8…
02-03 19:19:34	tsla up or down on february 3 2026	Down	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x41abb6…