Disguised-Criterion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

3,631

Trades

4,643

lifetime

Volume

$6.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 11-02 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 54% -$100

Other

14% 49% -$31

Sports

10% 52% -$2

Politics

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:00 UTC	23	$43	87	0	+87	Down	-$3	08-24 13:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:05 UTC	18	$42	85	0	+85	Up	-$2	08-24 13:07
atp fery bu 2026 03 17	4	$34	24	24	+0	Arthur Fery	+$14	03-17 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	16	$34	67	0	+67	Down	-$2	09-03 12:17
es2 cor and 2026 03 02 cor	2	$31	22	22	+0	No	+$12	03-02 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	14	$29	58	0	+58	Up	-$4	09-04 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	11	$26	51	0	+51	Down	$0	09-03 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	13	$24	50	0	+50	Up	+$1	09-04 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	12	$23	47	0	+47	Down	$0	09-04 07:15
highest temperature in paris on march 1 2026 12c	6	$22	13	13	+0	No	$0	03-01 10:24
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	3	$21	13	13	+0	Duke Blue Devils	+$1	03-19 21:22
highest temperature in ankara on february 27 2026 5c	2	$21	17	17	+0	Yes	+$13	02-27 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 14:40 UTC	9	$20	40	0	+40	Down	$0	08-22 14:43
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	2	$20	14	14	+0	No	$0	03-17 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	14	$20	49	0	+49	Up	-$10	08-23 18:55
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 27 2026 24c	6	$19	23	23	+0	No	-$1	02-27 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	11	$19	40	0	+40	Down	-$4	08-23 19:46
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 2	8	$17	39	39	+0	No	-$2	03-02 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:15 UTC	9	$16	35	0	+35	Down	-$1	08-24 13:15
atp majchrz kecmano 2026 03 18	2	$16	16	10	+6	Kamil Majchrzak	-$4	03-19 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	7	$16	30	0	+30	Down	-$1	08-24 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 13:05 UTC	7	$16	30	0	+30	Up	-$1	08-20 13:06
highest temperature in ankara on february 27 2026 4c	3	$15	23	6	+17	No	-$10	02-27 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:05 UTC	6	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	08-21 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 15:05 UTC	8	$15	29	0	+29	Up	+$0	08-30 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:55 UTC	6	$15	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	08-21 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:55 UTC	7	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	08-24 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Up	-$4	09-02 14:14
highest temperature in atlanta on february 27 2026 68 69f	2	$14	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	02-27 11:34
will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on march 2	4	$13	41	41	+0	No	-$3	03-02 12:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 08:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbaa4a4…
10-31 15:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5abadf…
10-31 15:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3818c3…
10-31 11:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeb0180…
10-29 02:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2e3c6c…
10-29 02:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4c2c05…
10-29 00:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x34765d…
10-28 20:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf9bc90…
10-28 19:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe3680c…
10-28 19:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4df5fd…
10-28 18:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8ae3e1…
10-28 18:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfb3dd2…
10-28 18:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6f495b…
10-28 18:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x007d6e…
10-28 18:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcd368e…
10-28 18:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa82692…
10-28 08:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xacfa18…
10-28 02:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x08fa4e…
10-27 20:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xb9eeb0…
10-27 20:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x42b6c1…
10-27 20:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xef2214…
10-27 19:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8f4a90…
10-27 19:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xea7911…
10-27 14:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6de2fb…
10-27 14:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8ffc61…
10-27 13:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1c17ea…
10-27 06:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9ec02b…
10-27 06:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x0f1263…
10-27 05:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x195df0…
10-27 03:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x8667ae…
10-27 03:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x64e987…
10-27 03:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbc5ee0…
10-27 01:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf224e5…
10-27 01:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe89768…
10-27 01:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8d42d9…
10-27 00:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7b4e8c…
10-27 00:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x012e33…
10-27 00:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb69ab3…
10-27 00:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x634f2f…
10-26 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x32a917…
10-26 22:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb4910b…
10-26 22:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x88c462…
10-26 22:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x45f394…
10-26 22:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x22509e…
10-26 22:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb8b033…
10-26 22:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf30f18…
10-26 22:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3cf739…
10-26 22:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa4cc65…
10-26 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa7b94d…
10-26 22:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2e1efe…
10-26 22:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x794e9f…
10-26 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc3047b…
10-26 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x971bf0…
10-26 21:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x14c8b9…
10-26 21:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfb9fad…
10-26 21:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xca4fa2…
10-26 21:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x14ea9c…
10-26 21:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x22049e…
10-26 21:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xf0dff2…
10-26 21:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc1cec6…
10-26 21:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x9478eb…
10-26 21:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x57fcd3…
10-26 21:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x9a898d…
10-26 21:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x43316f…
10-26 21:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5a7a56…
10-26 21:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4e2db0…
10-26 21:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa9011c…
10-26 21:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x96a64e…
10-26 21:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9df924…
10-26 21:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4a1f64…
10-26 21:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2623e3…
10-26 21:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xeed770…
10-26 21:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3e7b29…
10-26 21:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa2415f…
10-26 21:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe8735d…
10-26 21:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x941a83…
10-26 20:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd3e912…
10-26 20:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdb364a…
10-26 20:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd65e25…
10-26 20:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x993a44…
10-26 20:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8a085f…
10-26 20:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc3feef…
10-26 20:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xda3281…
10-26 20:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x265c28…
10-26 20:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xbe1fca…
10-26 20:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1bc6cf…
10-26 20:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x177734…
10-26 20:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfcc6df…
10-26 20:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x221ddb…
10-26 20:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x18c9e8…
10-26 20:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5844a9…
10-26 20:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xff48c5…
10-26 20:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xb50283…
10-26 20:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xaed609…
10-26 20:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd5ba4c…
10-26 20:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6e1bca…
10-26 20:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe8cd56…
10-26 20:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9efd31…
10-26 20:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x94e513…
10-26 19:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7c040d…