Honest-Guidance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$254

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

857

Trades

1,253

lifetime

Volume

$29.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-28 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 89% -$205

Other

24% 39% -$50

Sports

0% 44% +$2

Politics

0% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+20	$2	6¢	$1	-$1	09-12 19:38
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+50	$1	2¢	$1	$0	09-26 22:15
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+25	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	09-29 20:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	+10	$0	0¢	$0	+$1	09-26 02:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cricipl guj kol 2026 04 17	5	$602	314	314	+1	Gujarat Titans	+$16	04-17 18:24
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Zdenek Kolar	3	$206	184	109	+75	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	+$12	05-03 11:47
La Bisbal: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Tamara Korpatsch	5	$205	114	113	+0	Tamara Korpatsch	+$5	04-27 14:23
Madrid Open: Mariano Navone vs Alexander Zverev	2	$203	103	103	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$3	04-25 16:48
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners total 7pt5	2	$202	103	103	+0	Over	+$2	06-30 17:34
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners total 9pt5	2	$202	102	102	+0	Over	+$2	06-30 17:44
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	2	$202	102	102	+0	Over	+$2	06-26 00:55
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 corners total 7pt5	2	$202	103	103	+0	Over	+$2	06-24 23:40
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 corners total 6pt5	3	$202	102	102	+0	Over	+$2	06-24 23:30
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 corners total 10pt5	2	$201	101	101	+0	Under	+$1	06-24 20:57
fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 corners total 7pt5	2	$201	101	101	+0	Under	+$1	06-27 02:02
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 11pt5	2	$201	101	101	+0	Under	+$1	06-24 00:56
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 btts first half	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	06-25 23:56
fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 corners total 7pt5	2	$201	101	101	+0	Under	+$1	06-28 01:34
Japan to score first vs. Sweden?	2	$201	101	101	+0	Yes	+$1	06-26 00:18
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatsch	3	$200	173	111	+62	Daria Kasatkina	+$22	05-03 11:46
Huzhou: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Han Shi	2	$197	100	100	+0	Alevtina Ibragimova	+$3	04-27 12:11
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobolli	2	$196	100	100	+0	Flavio Cobolli	+$4	04-25 17:33
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar	3	$193	100	100	+0	Mirra Andreeva	+$7	04-27 16:01
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar	2	$193	100	100	+0	Rafael Jodar	+$7	04-26 23:27
Saint-Malo: Lulu Sun vs Yue Yuan	2	$188	100	100	+0	Yue Yuan	+$12	04-27 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$182	185	0	+185	Up	+$4	04-25 22:34
fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 corners total 11pt5	2	$181	91	91	+0	Under	+$1	06-28 01:26
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 corners total 7pt5	2	$180	92	92	+0	Over	+$4	06-26 00:44
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Moyuka Uchijima	3	$176	198	73	+125	Moyuka Uchijima	-$30	05-03 15:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 23:50 UTC	1	$173	180	0	+180	Up	-$173	04-19 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 23:45 UTC	1	$168	174	0	+174	Up	+$5	04-19 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 23:10 UTC	1	$164	169	0	+169	Up	+$5	04-19 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:45 UTC	1	$160	164	0	+164	Down	+$3	04-19 21:49
Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullin	3	$159	165	70	+95	Roman Safiullin	-$19	05-03 15:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:00:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xcd5d10…
10-28 17:57:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc90f2c…
09-29 20:43:09	Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x05158f…
09-26 22:15:48	Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x73c925…
09-26 02:13:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x690f8f…
09-16 18:00:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf8ad72…
09-12 19:38:39	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xbde28b…
09-12 19:23:37	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x37b275…
09-11 19:39:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x79bf3a…
09-11 15:00:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9436f7…
09-11 14:59:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xfdabb7…
09-10 13:34:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2c6e7c…
09-10 12:59:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x321f2a…
09-10 10:04:39	LAPTOP FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xead81d…
09-09 23:14:37	laptop fdv above 5b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe48d4d…
09-09 18:05:34	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x439995…
09-09 17:42:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe87c63…
09-09 17:08:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc76035…
09-09 14:00:22	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xbf2826…
09-08 05:25:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4b3d57…
09-07 17:22:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc92ccf…
09-04 14:10:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x0ec106…
09-03 16:52:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x9c4f93…
09-03 16:38:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe96043…
09-03 02:32:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x67d20d…
09-02 10:40:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x468ef0…
09-02 06:32:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3a8cd9…
08-31 18:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb280d0…
08-31 18:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x94e817…
08-31 18:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x88cc1f…
08-31 13:20:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7b2a78…
08-31 12:51:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xbab808…
08-29 16:30:06	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x025f91…
08-28 12:20:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xa74577…
08-27 15:21:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x634af2…
08-27 13:44:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x27e817…
08-26 19:35:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x91f249…
08-26 15:28:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x9aa317…
08-26 12:12:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xb40f7a…
08-26 12:12:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x609a86…
08-26 12:12:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x663e93…
08-26 10:00:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x084be4…
08-26 09:46:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xfc910b…
08-26 09:41:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe66848…
08-24 16:35:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xd3703b…
08-24 12:50:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc08c9b…
08-24 12:49:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x249b6e…
08-24 12:49:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe995ae…
08-24 12:49:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9d31d2…
08-23 16:17:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc8cdc…
08-23 16:04:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x1bd317…
08-23 16:02:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x0ee0c0…
08-23 16:00:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf32dbe…
08-22 14:08:03	atp tseng kumstat 2026 08 22	Chun-Hsin Tseng	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xcce974…
08-22 14:07:48	atp tseng kumstat 2026 08 22	Chun-Hsin Tseng	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0xf623a5…
08-22 14:07:27	atp tseng kumstat 2026 08 22	Chun-Hsin Tseng	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0xb5fa36…
08-21 13:56:30	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x03e072…
08-20 14:50:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x4af222…
08-19 15:19:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe6b6c8…
08-19 15:19:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x608c46…
08-19 15:08:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xa18842…
08-19 14:51:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9f15e1…
08-16 16:00:09	wta oliynyk andreev 2026 08 16	Oleksandra Oliynykova	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7b9341…
08-14 14:45:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x885eb9…
08-14 14:21:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x6d82de…
08-14 14:21:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xc554f5…
08-09 04:36:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa3e8e8…
07-31 17:54:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x292e48…
07-31 13:09:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x015394…
07-30 16:03:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x97c591…
07-30 16:03:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xfadd5d…
07-30 16:03:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xb9e7ca…
07-30 15:08:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x232567…
07-30 06:36:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd7a37a…
07-28 22:24:05	wta brengle vagramo 2026 07 26	Alexandra Vagramov	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb82143…
07-28 18:05:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x799a80…
07-27 13:34:21	atp boitan debru 2026 07 27	Gabi Boitan	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x39b62f…
07-26 18:07:09	atp svajda hewitt 2026 07 26	Cruz Hewitt	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x84c42e…
07-26 17:56:58	atp svajda hewitt 2026 07 26	Cruz Hewitt	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4bfcba…
07-26 17:30:51	atp svajda hewitt 2026 07 26	Cruz Hewitt	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xf62d04…
07-26 17:24:25	atp svajda hewitt 2026 07 26	Cruz Hewitt	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x017faa…
07-26 17:23:27	atp svajda hewitt 2026 07 26	Cruz Hewitt	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2cd745…
07-25 20:58:48	wta thandi johnson 2026 07 25	Karman Thandi	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x052847…
07-25 20:46:24	wta thandi johnson 2026 07 25	Karman Thandi	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x0e6757…
07-25 20:46:07	wta thandi johnson 2026 07 25	Karman Thandi	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf7007d…
07-25 15:57:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xeb1d9c…
07-25 15:38:15	wta pareja iatcenk 2026 07 25	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x77bb1a…
07-25 14:51:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x511cdc…
07-25 12:41:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe375ca…
07-25 12:01:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x5721ad…
07-25 11:12:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf0f0e4…
07-25 01:44:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x251610…
07-25 01:00:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xaa2aa1…
07-25 00:25:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xaea034…
07-25 00:15:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x6fc419…
07-24 20:44:46	wta ferro hodzic 2026 07 24	Mina Hodzic	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xeb61f6…
07-24 16:48:36	wta salkova krejcik 2026 07 24	Dominika Salkova	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x033344…
07-24 16:44:57	wta salkova krejcik 2026 07 24	Dominika Salkova	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x119a6b…
07-24 12:51:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x7a88e4…
07-24 12:21:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xac88c2…