Hearty-Gosling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$109

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$522

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 06-08 06:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

92% 0% $-50

Sports

5% 100% +$136

Crypto

1% 100% +$23

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$8.2K	6,281	4,281	+2,000	open	—	06-08 06:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$3.3K	1,720	1,720	+0	open	—	06-06 17:36
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$664	800	0	+800	Thunder	+$136	05-11 21:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$284	158	158	+0	open	—	05-11 20:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	3	$169	96	96	+0	Yes	+$23	05-08 16:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$128	76	76	+0	open	—	05-11 15:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$100	63	63	+0	open	—	05-04 03:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$50	71	0	+71	Yes	$-50	05-02 13:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	05-01 19:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$44	31	31	+0	open	—	05-09 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 06:27:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	86¢	$1,720	0x7209e2…
06-07 20:21:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,098	82¢	$1,720	0xb4033e…
06-06 21:11:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,098	81¢	$1,699	0xb7a6b6…
06-06 17:36:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	384	99¢	$379	0xa037c3…
06-06 17:36:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	1,336	99¢	$1,317	0x875faf…
06-02 11:25:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,720	95¢	$1,634	0x95231c…
06-01 12:30:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,183	75¢	$1,637	0xb383e5…
05-30 10:04:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,183	67¢	$1,463	0x1f06b8…
05-11 21:28:30	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	800	83¢	$664	0xa08e68…
05-11 20:04:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x56cd97…
05-11 20:03:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	158	90¢	$142	0x5223a3…
05-11 15:05:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	76	97¢	$73	0xdcf0a3…
05-09 10:02:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	158	90¢	$142	0xe9d961…
05-09 08:58:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0xa8fe31…
05-08 16:11:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x3608ca…
05-06 11:20:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x3cdd93…
05-06 08:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	41	76¢	$31	0x3f6922…
05-06 08:10:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	55	76¢	$42	0x86658c…
05-04 03:57:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	63	79¢	$50	0x9f574f…
05-04 01:09:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x0f2b35…
05-02 13:54:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xae1eee…
05-01 19:12:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x33a443…
05-01 19:07:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x308a92…
05-01 15:53:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x5bb042…
05-01 15:39:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x4971f5…