Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

1,011

Trades

12,931

lifetime

Volume

$141.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$110

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-09

last 11-14 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

100% 27% +$12,971

Politics

0% 100% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?	Yes	+61	$42	60¢	$37	-$6	09-15 10:04
Will Hong Kong have between 35-60mm of precipitation in November?	Yes	+183	$50	20¢	$37	-$13	11-14 12:29
Will Hong Kong have between 60-95mm of precipitation in November?	Yes	+100	$18	36¢	$36	+$18	11-04 13:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?	39	$2.9K	2,961	1,153	+1,808	No	+$388	07-13 19:41
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 21?	40	$1.8K	1,135	1,135	+0	Yes	+$301	08-21 15:26
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 20?	1	$1.7K	1,717	0	+1,717	No	+$3	07-18 10:45
Will Hong Kong have between 400-425mm of precipitation in July?	3	$1.6K	810	810	+0	No	+$51	07-20 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	24	$1.6K	1,387	1,387	+0	Yes	+$598	08-01 02:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 12?	33	$1.4K	1,762	1,762	+0	No	-$9	09-12 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?	29	$1.3K	844	844	+0	Yes	+$357	07-05 22:20
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 6?	40	$1.2K	1,567	1,567	+0	No	-$735	07-06 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	16	$1.2K	842	842	+0	Yes	-$79	07-15 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?	12	$1.2K	1,022	1,022	+0	Yes	+$320	08-31 06:11
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	8	$1.2K	775	775	+0	Yes	+$241	08-07 06:33
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?	23	$1.1K	841	841	+0	Yes	+$547	09-05 13:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	30	$1.1K	1,422	1,422	+0	Yes	+$200	08-20 10:04
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?	18	$1.1K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$313	09-29 06:11
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in China?	9	$1.1K	559	559	-0	Yes	-$10	08-25 23:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?	40	$1.0K	1,625	526	+1,099	Yes	+$1,101	07-07 14:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	14	$1.0K	652	652	+0	Yes	+$284	07-11 23:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 4?	35	$998	1,037	1,037	+0	Yes	+$314	09-04 07:24
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	25	$993	10,911	911	+10,000	No	-$226	09-03 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?	27	$967	792	792	+0	Yes	+$355	07-28 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?	43	$961	653	653	+0	Yes	+$273	06-22 15:18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 6?	51	$949	877	877	+0	Yes	+$196	07-06 15:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 7?	19	$936	596	596	+0	Yes	+$212	09-07 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	30	$929	807	804	+2	No	+$170	07-17 07:40
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 9?	19	$899	589	589	+0	Yes	+$279	07-09 15:51
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?	9	$890	963	0	+963	No	+$73	07-16 15:55
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?	21	$870	710	710	+0	Yes	+$84	09-30 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?	29	$869	661	661	-0	Yes	+$382	06-28 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?	10	$867	614	614	+0	Yes	+$359	09-29 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?	24	$864	1,218	500	+718	Yes	+$844	07-29 12:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 12:29:14	Will Hong Kong have between 35-60mm of precipitation in November?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x3900c8…
11-14 04:05:40	Will Hong Kong have between 35-60mm of precipitation in November?	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x6825c3…
11-10 18:15:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x44c89e…
11-10 16:46:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x475a72…
11-10 16:46:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x4de106…
11-10 16:46:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8ff5c4…
11-10 16:46:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x827c90…
11-10 16:46:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$0	0x0a1417…
11-10 16:45:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf6b855…
11-10 16:26:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0xe9e1cb…
11-09 13:35:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x2a71c3…
11-09 13:35:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$4	0x7a63a2…
11-09 13:33:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0x21579c…
11-09 11:50:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x07f224…
11-09 09:23:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xec7cbf…
11-09 09:20:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0a2e60…
11-09 09:20:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x49cee6…
11-09 06:27:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x2fe7b5…
11-09 06:09:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xbe4d09…
11-09 06:08:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x65489d…
11-09 02:52:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xeedeb9…
11-09 02:51:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xbd0d8c…
11-09 02:24:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x1d5bd0…
11-09 02:24:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x11d18c…
11-09 02:02:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0xa82b7e…
11-04 13:46:15	Will Hong Kong have between 60-95mm of precipitation in November?	Yes	BUY	80	18¢	$14	0x02bca5…
11-04 10:56:39	Will Hong Kong have between 60-95mm of precipitation in November?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x5858c8…
11-03 20:59:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x4a11b9…
11-03 20:52:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	57	20¢	$11	0x1e036a…
11-03 00:44:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5cec06…
11-03 00:34:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x4475c8…
11-03 00:33:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf38a8e…
11-03 00:33:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x7be38d…
11-03 00:33:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x1307b1…
11-03 00:31:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x1ddfe2…
11-03 00:31:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xb7e27f…
10-31 05:55:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xd1e2db…
10-31 05:55:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x9aea23…
10-31 04:34:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe54c96…
10-31 04:34:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x82a650…
10-31 04:34:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xc0588a…
10-31 04:34:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xb20343…
10-31 04:34:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x6b6ac3…
10-31 03:10:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x1bfeba…
10-31 02:10:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xea8ecf…
10-31 01:18:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x938a25…
10-30 19:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x8e5d82…
10-30 19:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	221	14¢	$30	0x257c8d…
10-30 19:16:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	85	15¢	$13	0x542b8f…
10-30 19:16:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	65	14¢	$9	0x5928ba…
10-29 06:14:55	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x897c64…
10-27 18:34:45	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x14f49c…
10-27 15:56:17	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x55fe73…
10-27 15:56:17	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0d60d5…
10-27 15:56:15	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x8866c8…
10-27 15:13:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	55	16¢	$9	0x0f948b…
10-17 15:26:20	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xf822f4…
10-17 07:41:56	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xb6e3f4…
10-17 07:41:56	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x3610fd…
10-15 19:13:55	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0xfa6c4a…
10-15 19:12:49	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd726cf…
10-15 19:12:49	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x668e8b…
10-15 19:12:47	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xfb069c…
10-15 19:12:47	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xf63c38…
10-15 19:12:47	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xaa0660…
10-15 19:12:47	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x96b487…
10-15 19:12:47	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x42064a…
10-15 19:12:47	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x1cc01a…
10-15 19:12:47	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x19b59a…
10-15 17:07:38	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc16f6b…
10-15 16:39:43	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0xe9b670…
10-15 15:07:34	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xc27019…
10-15 15:07:34	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x4d90fd…
10-15 00:14:34	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfec0fd…
10-15 00:14:34	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6b4a4a…
10-14 04:11:01	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf39c65…
10-14 02:56:58	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe4fc46…
10-14 02:56:58	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xdf783f…
10-14 02:56:58	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x182092…
10-14 02:56:56	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7c6a93…
10-14 02:56:56	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3d5310…
10-13 16:37:00	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xbd1e7b…
10-13 16:36:58	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xfe058a…
10-13 08:23:37	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe84ded…
10-13 03:55:50	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd08f2a…
10-11 04:33:29	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x44da61…
10-07 06:47:53	Will Hong Kong have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf3e0ac…
10-07 06:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xe5f809…
10-07 06:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0x9504dc…
10-07 06:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	99	7¢	$7	0x9d23f3…
10-07 05:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xf99d59…
10-07 05:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	80	22¢	$18	0xea374a…
10-07 05:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xcf21d4…
10-07 05:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x48f402…
10-07 05:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	96	75¢	$72	0xa3e6a5…
10-07 05:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	175	18¢	$32	0xee9f11…
10-07 05:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x7b5af3…
10-07 05:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	58	18¢	$10	0xc95cae…
10-07 05:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0xf74219…
10-07 04:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x468855…