Nervous-Volume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

113

Trades

820

lifetime

Volume

$6.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 06-10 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 55% -$118

Politics

3% 100% +$23

Other

0% 0% -$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	14	$363	264	264	+0	Up	+$43	05-21 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	48	$286	901	134	+767	Down	-$104	05-21 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	49	$232	222	222	+0	Down	+$10	05-21 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	14	$227	150	150	+0	Up	+$27	05-21 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	31	$220	200	200	+0	Up	+$16	05-21 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	20	$197	168	168	+0	Down	+$9	05-25 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	24	$191	146	146	+0	Up	+$11	05-25 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$180	117	117	+0	Up	+$50	05-21 23:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	5	$172	3,341	3,165	+176	No	+$22	05-20 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	9	$145	234	0	+234	Down	-$145	05-21 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	13	$144	96	96	+0	Down	+$4	05-22 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	12	$142	127	127	+0	Up	+$72	05-21 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	13	$126	87	87	+0	Down	+$16	05-22 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	16	$120	73	73	+0	Up	+$0	05-25 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	8	$119	72	72	+0	Up	+$19	05-22 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	10	$115	85	85	+0	Up	+$5	05-25 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$103	99	99	+0	Up	+$93	05-20 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	12	$103	77	77	+0	Up	+$13	05-20 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	8	$99	77	76	+0	Down	-$1	05-21 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	12	$97	63	55	+8	Up	-$3	05-25 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	12	$86	79	79	+0	Down	+$6	05-22 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	10	$81	154	78	+75	Up	+$1	05-20 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	8	$78	51	51	+0	Up	+$8	05-25 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	9	$77	72	72	+0	Down	+$17	05-21 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	6	$76	80	80	+0	Up	+$26	05-20 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	7	$74	55	55	+0	Up	+$14	05-22 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	10	$74	65	65	+0	Up	+$4	05-22 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	6	$72	228	50	+178	Down	-$8	05-20 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	7	$71	54	54	+0	Up	+$11	05-22 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	8	$68	46	46	+0	Down	+$8	05-20 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 20:52:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x9743fe…
06-10 20:50:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6427d6…
06-10 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xb017ab…
06-10 20:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xda3418…
05-26 00:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x4fe4a6…
05-26 00:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x103cc7…
05-26 00:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xe60817…
05-26 00:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb9229f…
05-26 00:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xdf9811…
05-26 00:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd55b57…
05-26 00:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xa4311c…
05-26 00:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd546c8…
05-26 00:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x275104…
05-26 00:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xd01786…
05-26 00:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xde6e7a…
05-26 00:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe36b8f…
05-25 23:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x6336e8…
05-25 23:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	21	63¢	$14	0x3261f2…
05-25 23:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x91046a…
05-25 23:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x96c829…
05-25 23:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x38ed3b…
05-25 23:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0d2a91…
05-25 23:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x5eca34…
05-25 23:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7cca39…
05-25 23:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa1424a…
05-25 23:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x2d037d…
05-25 23:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x754e48…
05-25 23:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbffe5c…
05-25 23:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8bc917…
05-25 23:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4473fb…
05-25 23:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3c8461…
05-25 23:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xda1e82…
05-25 23:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x97bf4e…
05-25 23:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	68¢	$11	0xb08952…
05-25 23:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa07ccf…
05-25 23:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x675add…
05-25 23:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb101a3…
05-25 23:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	66¢	$10	0xe8af11…
05-25 23:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x08a9a4…
05-25 23:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xda6a9d…
05-25 23:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	61	78¢	$47	0x41729a…
05-25 23:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x42434b…
05-25 23:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x9cf024…
05-25 23:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x6d14ad…
05-25 23:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa191c9…
05-25 23:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x482a46…
05-25 23:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd19d5d…
05-25 23:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	51	84¢	$43	0x09eaf1…
05-25 23:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3c7a46…
05-25 23:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc88ba5…
05-25 23:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb5952e…
05-25 23:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x40d3fb…
05-25 23:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x257b58…
05-25 23:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf6a38f…
05-25 23:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdc6b82…
05-25 23:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x40c029…
05-25 23:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb419f6…
05-25 23:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x899192…
05-25 23:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0xdfe29d…
05-25 23:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x83ec4f…
05-25 23:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4b5c99…
05-25 23:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x3655a7…
05-25 23:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x597b76…
05-25 23:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4c9c88…
05-25 23:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	62	61¢	$38	0xfc085d…
05-25 23:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x553eeb…
05-25 23:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5bb412…
05-25 23:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd9853d…
05-25 23:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	49	77¢	$38	0x9cf1fd…
05-25 23:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa43851…
05-25 23:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6a4a98…
05-25 23:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe5d6f3…
05-25 23:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3ba412…
05-25 23:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0c4fc4…
05-25 23:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4b5357…
05-25 23:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x2e1f7e…
05-25 23:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd3cef1…
05-25 23:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfc5ff5…
05-25 23:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc27554…
05-25 23:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8adcd3…
05-25 23:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x46d0a4…
05-25 23:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd22d5d…
05-25 23:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	35	58¢	$20	0x1702d3…
05-25 23:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb5ede5…
05-25 23:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x738af4…
05-25 23:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe61b29…
05-25 23:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1bb148…
05-25 23:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x5a2727…
05-25 23:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x37bf4f…
05-25 23:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf4b29b…
05-25 23:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x56b3f0…
05-25 23:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xad9b50…
05-25 23:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5a71d7…
05-25 23:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xef3300…
05-25 23:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc28508…
05-25 23:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbc907b…
05-25 23:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x177ee5…
05-25 23:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc0051d…
05-25 23:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7142a8…
05-25 23:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x9ca7aa…