Squiggly-Pavement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$255

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

844

Trades

1,225

lifetime

Volume

$7.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-14 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

59% 74% -$130

Crypto

30% 54% -$93

Sports

11% 49% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mls sdg stl 2026 03 01 sdg	3	$108	55	55	+0	Yes	+$2	03-02 04:26
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	2	$97	52	52	+0	Yes	+$7	06-28 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:35 UTC	1	$95	102	0	+102	Up	+$7	04-08 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 14:55 UTC	1	$93	108	0	+108	Up	-$93	04-08 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 16:35 UTC	1	$84	85	0	+85	Up	+$2	04-06 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 01:00 UTC	1	$83	87	0	+87	Down	+$4	04-07 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 22:00 UTC	1	$82	83	0	+83	Down	+$2	04-06 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 16:00 UTC	1	$81	84	0	+84	Down	+$3	04-06 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 14:15 UTC	1	$80	81	0	+81	Up	+$2	04-06 14:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:45 UTC	3	$76	74	14	+60	Down	-$2	04-13 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 18:05 UTC	1	$70	76	0	+76	Up	+$6	04-04 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 17:50 UTC	1	$68	70	0	+70	Up	+$2	04-04 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 17:40 UTC	1	$68	68	0	+68	Down	+$1	04-04 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 17:10 UTC	1	$67	68	0	+68	Up	+$1	04-04 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 16:50 UTC	1	$61	69	0	+69	Up	+$8	04-04 16:54
mls hou laf 2026 02 28 laf	3	$54	33	33	+0	Yes	+$12	03-01 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:50 UTC	1	$53	62	0	+62	Down	+$9	04-04 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12?	3	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$1	06-12 07:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:40 UTC	1	$46	54	0	+54	Up	+$8	04-04 14:44
ucl ata1 bvb 2026 02 25 total 2pt5	2	$46	26	26	+0	Over	+$6	02-25 19:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:30 UTC	3	$44	102	0	+102	Up	-$25	04-13 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 21?	9	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-21 21:33
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 30?	5	$40	33	33	+0	No	-$18	06-30 23:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC	1	$39	46	0	+46	Up	+$8	04-04 14:04
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	2	$36	33	33	+0	Yes	+$30	02-24 22:14
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 29?	4	$36	41	10	+31	Yes	+$2	06-29 23:12
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	3	$36	52	52	+0	No	-$32	03-11 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:20 UTC	2	$35	34	34	+0	Up	-$15	06-30 23:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?	4	$35	30	30	+0	No	-$5	07-05 21:33
uel cel4 pao1 2026 02 26 cel4	2	$34	18	18	+0	Yes	+$2	02-26 22:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 20:09:42	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xf592e3…
10-12 15:32:05	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x33911e…
10-11 00:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0e5255…
10-11 00:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x705f3b…
10-09 02:09:50	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x731ca8…
10-09 02:09:36	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcf9ae1…
10-08 23:37:59	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-08?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb4cc02…
10-07 23:26:32	Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-10-07?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x04ad52…
10-05 20:19:23	Will Montenegro vs. Armenia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5a8841…
10-05 20:19:08	Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0xcc90a7…
10-05 17:16:50	Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcb7f2c…
10-05 05:10:05	Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa24c89…
10-05 05:08:52	Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeff0c6…
10-05 04:36:07	Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe0a77c…
10-05 01:33:41	nba gsw lac 2026 10 04 spread away 2pt5	Warriors	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xed65c3…
10-04 23:32:13	Will Trinidad and Tobago vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x829d7d…
10-04 23:31:47	Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7e4cf9…
10-04 20:12:04	Spread: Warriors (-2.5)	Warriors	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5591b7…
10-04 10:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf07c20…
10-04 10:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x42ef5e…
10-04 10:10:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1e881e…
10-04 10:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x12229a…
10-04 10:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5076ed…
10-04 10:05:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x6abea1…
10-04 10:05:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x200e4a…
10-04 10:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc80781…
10-04 10:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xaf4002…
10-04 09:55:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x5099eb…
10-04 09:55:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x33f054…
10-04 09:55:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6e7fd5…
10-04 09:50:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6a24b9…
10-04 09:50:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x662d57…
10-04 09:45:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6b3929…
10-04 09:45:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x21a0f1…
10-04 09:40:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7e5252…
10-04 09:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x6d57b4…
10-04 09:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4b66ff…
10-04 09:35:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe47431…
10-04 09:30:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1a5629…
10-04 09:30:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4934ba…
10-04 09:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3639a9…
10-04 09:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xeae550…
10-04 09:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe7338c…
10-04 09:20:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x496f3f…
10-04 09:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa673ea…
10-04 09:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x40b768…
10-04 09:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x428f46…
10-04 09:15:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x198ae4…
10-04 09:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x2f680f…
10-04 09:15:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x474591…
10-04 09:10:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd5c7ef…
10-04 09:10:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc16c93…
10-04 09:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdce3fb…
10-04 09:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc06dc3…
10-04 09:00:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x26705e…
10-04 09:00:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x150e15…
10-04 09:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa7952a…
10-04 08:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe0e50c…
10-04 08:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeacd03…
10-04 08:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x55ae94…
10-04 08:50:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x108ec9…
10-04 08:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe1f028…
10-04 08:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x46cd08…
10-04 08:45:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbe3391…
10-04 08:45:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1e0833…
10-04 08:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x296016…
10-04 08:40:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa3749e…
10-04 08:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x719e5f…
10-04 08:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x02cf99…
10-04 08:30:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xec1428…
10-04 08:30:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd5ded5…
10-04 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7a0c26…
10-04 08:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaf653f…
10-04 08:20:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc489fc…
10-04 08:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x340f60…
10-04 08:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7fe931…
10-04 08:15:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa9fd81…
10-04 08:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd41911…
10-04 08:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x57fbf9…
10-04 08:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x886985…
10-04 08:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x312387…
10-04 08:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9630ea…
10-04 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x94a5a2…
10-04 07:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0518cb…
10-04 07:55:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x18f922…
10-04 07:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x51b643…
10-04 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x73fd84…
10-04 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x280885…
10-04 07:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe67ead…
10-04 07:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb91530…
10-04 07:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe39458…
10-04 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x77c549…
10-04 07:35:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9e7c10…
10-04 07:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x5ddaec…
10-04 07:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x32d051…
10-04 07:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcf7926…
10-04 07:30:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc61a63…
10-04 07:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9dcac1…
10-04 07:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x798000…
10-04 07:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82825f…