Superb-Fingerling-Chorus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 09-03 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

56% 41% +$6

Crypto

20% 57% +$46

Sports

15% 73% -$70

Tech

8% 60% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	05-22 06:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$1.1K	556	556	+0	No	$0	04-16 02:07
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$1.0K	524	524	+0	Yes	-$1	03-30 04:38
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$1.0K	524	524	+0	No	-$1	03-31 02:56
nba orl cle 2026 03 24	7	$1.0K	522	522	+0	Cavaliers	+$19	03-25 02:37
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 25c	4	$728	365	364	+0	No	$0	04-19 01:20
nba orl phi 2026 04 15	2	$554	295	294	+1	76ers	+$6	04-16 02:09
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$548	274	274	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 04:49
mlb laa nyy 2026 04 13	11	$543	498	498	+0	New York Yankees	+$5	04-14 02:13
lol wb al 2026 04 14	4	$531	314	314	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$3	04-13 12:26
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	2	$523	262	262	+0	No	+$0	03-28 02:52
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	2	$522	262	262	+0	No	$0	04-03 02:25
ethereum above 1800 on march 28	2	$522	262	262	+0	Yes	+$1	03-28 08:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	4	$522	262	262	+0	No	+$0	04-03 08:00
will silver si hit high 120 by end of march	2	$521	261	261	+0	No	$0	03-30 04:39
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	2	$494	247	247	+0	No	+$0	03-24 06:24
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$283	283	0	+283	Yes	+$0	04-16 02:11
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	1	$267	267	0	+267	No	+$0	04-13 12:29
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$261	262	0	+262	Yes	+$0	03-25 02:39
bitcoin above 60k on march 31	1	$261	261	0	+261	Yes	+$0	03-31 02:57
highest temperature in san francisco on april 1 2026 60 61f	1	$261	261	0	+261	Yes	+$1	04-02 03:11
ethereum above 1800 on april 1	1	$260	261	0	+261	Yes	+$0	04-01 02:45
bitcoin above 62k on march 30	1	$260	261	0	+261	Yes	+$1	03-30 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 00:55 UTC	3	$254	197	107	+90	Down	+$5	04-20 00:59
highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 26c	2	$239	120	120	+0	No	$0	04-21 02:32
amzn above 185 on april 10 2026	1	$206	206	0	+206	Yes	+$0	04-10 02:09
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 17c	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	04-20 01:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$176	89	89	+0	No	$0	04-20 01:06
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	2	$176	88	88	+0	Yes	$0	04-20 01:07
nba orl det 2026 04 19	2	$166	97	96	+0	Magic	+$4	04-20 00:57
new stranger things episode released by july 31	7	$164	82	82	+0	No	+$0	07-13 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 01:16:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in September?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x4550c4…
09-01 09:19:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in September?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x7ba3c5…
08-21 04:47:42	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x9c25d9…
08-21 01:59:52	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x38f6bc…
08-20 03:57:42	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x71467d…
08-20 03:56:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:55 UTC	Down	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xe57cbb…
08-20 03:56:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:55 UTC	Down	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xdee5a6…
08-20 03:56:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:55 UTC	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x54ffde…
08-20 03:56:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:55 UTC	Down	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0x23526e…
08-20 03:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	58	71¢	$41	0xefcf3c…
08-20 03:55:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x4af836…
08-18 03:52:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x9f65ea…
08-18 03:51:45	Will the Chicago Bulls be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xad78df…
08-15 03:11:43	Will the Chicago Bulls be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x1a75bb…
08-15 03:10:00	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$42	0x91f96d…
08-13 10:46:52	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x4d6d61…
08-13 07:47:18	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x31f557…
08-10 10:19:13	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x0c1bdf…
08-10 07:43:12	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xc3d232…
08-07 07:40:43	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xb0d17b…
08-07 07:39:01	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xb8cf11…
08-02 06:48:00	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x31d20c…
08-01 18:44:23	Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x1bafbf…
07-30 03:28:44	Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xb01a6e…
07-30 03:10:18	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xfae6f2…
07-28 02:56:31	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xe8c4a0…
07-27 21:32:10	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xd14d00…
07-26 03:32:48	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x9b313e…
07-26 02:28:54	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x8b6b08…
07-17 02:32:28	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x7abbac…
07-17 02:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 17?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xef74eb…
07-17 02:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x3263c1…
07-16 07:04:40	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x46a919…
07-16 07:01:23	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x92c342…
07-16 02:04:41	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xccc3af…
07-15 10:44:28	Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x31b321…
07-15 10:08:08	Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9f829e…
07-15 10:08:08	Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x411f77…
07-15 10:08:08	Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x11fe13…
07-15 10:07:46	Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5a6fac…
07-15 02:58:49	Will Louise Haigh be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xd0d80e…
07-14 12:20:31	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xcbeffc…
07-14 08:56:58	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x3b9d49…
07-14 08:53:31	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x18e701…
07-14 08:50:31	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xce45e6…
07-14 08:44:40	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x844758…
07-14 08:42:13	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x10a240…
07-14 08:37:44	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xeb3e0f…
07-14 02:57:44	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x0c13e2…
07-13 21:00:25	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xad92cd…
07-13 20:34:13	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x94050c…
07-13 20:34:11	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6a3b1b…
07-12 20:11:40	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcd1f6a…
07-10 09:34:23	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x01bf96…
07-09 05:46:23	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x9b8572…
07-09 02:46:53	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xc7e22c…
07-07 05:08:35	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x37eaef…
07-07 05:06:47	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x97d5ec…
07-07 05:00:46	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2d2d6b…
07-07 04:57:37	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe20628…
07-07 04:25:07	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb66654…
07-07 03:28:22	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$41	0x5d23b8…
07-07 03:27:49	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x27992e…
07-02 11:36:29	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x55c987…
07-02 05:57:43	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xe53408…
07-02 05:57:43	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1f9477…
07-02 03:56:35	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xa6e438…
07-02 01:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 2?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x77c2b9…
07-02 00:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 2?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xda24c7…
07-02 00:47:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xf1c2cc…
07-02 00:46:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x37bd4b…
07-02 00:46:04	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xd3ad9c…
07-02 00:45:58	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xfe9af6…
07-02 00:45:38	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xbe2e96…
06-23 04:29:20	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x1d2396…
06-22 07:53:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x6493c4…
06-22 05:56:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0c4ba1…
06-21 17:12:32	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdda6f6…
06-21 12:00:49	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x68fc41…
06-13 02:24:00	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x29ad86…
06-13 02:23:21	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc529ed…
06-13 02:19:09	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xc20cc8…
06-13 02:08:21	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x14ce2c…
06-12 01:50:10	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x555f97…
06-11 10:30:19	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x1d279e…
06-10 02:13:19	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xe527a7…
06-09 02:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 9?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x431cc8…
06-09 02:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xc4ee93…
06-08 09:25:34	will wti dip to 20 in june 2026 685 856 769	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xeaf02c…
06-08 05:10:52	will wti dip to 20 in june 2026 685 856 769	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xe7c37d…
06-07 08:01:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	85¢	$37	0x1fe93b…
06-03 03:13:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x698ab8…
06-03 03:12:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xac62cf…
06-03 03:12:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	85¢	$32	0x5cace9…
06-03 03:11:19	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$33	0xe636d6…
06-02 06:29:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x04bd29…
06-02 02:11:32	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x0ee9d9…
06-02 02:11:03	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$33	0x9107eb…
06-02 02:10:56	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa31920…
06-02 02:10:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe04ddc…