Idle-Intuition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.41K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

10,789

Trades

63,007

lifetime

Volume

$673.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$428

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-27 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

68% 53% -$5,203

Sports

32% 51% -$4,155

Crypto

0% 55% -$10

Politics

0% 38% -$10

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 1850 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No		+301	$127	44¢	$134	+$7	10-27 06:30
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes		+307	$101	32¢	$97	-$4	10-10 10:54
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No		+162	$101	54¢	$88	-$13	10-10 11:30
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	No	—	+286	$72	26¢	$73	+$1	10-27 09:11
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes		+79	$30	45¢	$36	+$6	10-10 11:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-13?	48	$3.5K	5,497	1,813	+3,684	No	-$25	10-13 23:50
Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?	55	$2.3K	6,863	3,322	+3,541	No	-$11	10-20 02:45
wnba atl nyl 2026 09 23	123	$1.9K	3,407	440	+2,967	Atlanta Dream	+$22	09-23 23:55
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5	10	$1.8K	2,500	1,000	+1,500	Under	-$250	10-02 01:05
Spread: Bills (-6.5)	26	$1.8K	1,980	716	+1,264	Rams	+$10	10-12 23:54
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres	74	$1.7K	3,086	299	+2,787	San Diego Padres	-$35	09-27 15:38
Will India win on 2026-10-03?	94	$1.7K	1,608	470	+1,138	No	+$7	10-03 13:54
Seattle Storm vs. Golden State Valkyries	52	$1.6K	2,576	570	+2,006	Golden State Valkyries	-$212	09-19 20:34
Will CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano end in a draw?	68	$1.6K	2,579	689	+1,890	Yes	-$5	10-19 17:55
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	29	$1.6K	3,155	0	+3,155	Milwaukee Brewers	-$187	10-12 20:32
SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5	39	$1.5K	2,722	518	+2,204	Over	+$12	10-19 18:45
Cyprus vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5	15	$1.5K	3,024	0	+3,024	Under	+$74	10-02 15:56
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-10?	30	$1.5K	3,309	350	+2,959	No	$0	10-10 16:20
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	29	$1.5K	1,401	909	+492	San Diego Padres	+$48	09-23 23:34
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03?	80	$1.4K	2,245	587	+1,658	No	+$1	10-03 08:27
Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	46	$1.4K	2,680	150	+2,530	Middle Tennessee	+$15	10-13 22:34
Elon vs. Stanford	17	$1.4K	2,802	15	+2,787	Stanford	+$9	10-17 23:17
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	23	$1.4K	2,785	0	+2,785	No	$0	10-13 17:55
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	27	$1.3K	1,976	721	+1,255	Baltimore Orioles	-$104	09-21 21:34
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	49	$1.3K	2,327	204	+2,123	Yes	-$27	10-15 14:17
mlb phi atl 2026 09 30	74	$1.3K	2,544	119	+2,425	Philadelphia Phillies	+$16	09-30 12:16
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5	16	$1.3K	2,499	74	+2,425	Over	+$7	10-12 19:48
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	8	$1.3K	2,518	0	+2,518	Over	+$6	10-17 16:22
Steelers vs. Browns	33	$1.2K	1,741	591	+1,150	Browns	+$3	10-02 00:07
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?	63	$1.2K	2,574	0	+2,574	No	+$197	09-16 18:56
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01?	93	$1.2K	2,321	34	+2,287	No	-$1	10-01 15:13
Croatia vs. England: O/U 2.5	18	$1.2K	2,163	315	+1,848	Over	+$5	10-03 15:53
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	13	$1.2K	2,382	0	+2,382	No	+$6	10-13 18:11
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09?	53	$1.1K	2,345	0	+2,345	No	$0	09-09 06:14
Columbia vs. Marist	45	$1.1K	1,802	417	+1,385	Columbia	+$140	10-09 22:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:33:29	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0x6933cc…
10-27 09:11:06	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xb741df…
10-27 08:52:12	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xff174e…
10-27 08:47:29	Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Katrina Scott	Tamara Zidansek	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0x56e1cf…
10-27 08:45:53	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Tommy Paul	SELL	38	55¢	$21	0xd947a1…
10-27 08:34:44	Curitiba: Ana Candiotto vs Luna Cinalli	Luna Cinalli	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x78f3a2…
10-27 08:31:02	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Tommy Paul	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x43cf71…
10-27 08:22:42	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Mananchaya Sawangkaew	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xd94cde…
10-27 08:05:42	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Lilli Tagger	SELL	80	92¢	$74	0x181cf6…
10-27 08:00:26	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x46bca6…
10-27 07:34:35	mlb mil tb 2026 10 27 spread away 3pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x6c63bc…
10-27 06:57:53	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Lilli Tagger	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x1114d5…
10-27 06:57:05	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x3865e2…
10-27 06:36:08	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	45	39¢	$18	0xb3c2e5…
10-27 06:31:03	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	45	41¢	$18	0xc021e2…
10-27 06:30:38	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x8fa66f…
10-27 06:05:33	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	BUY	45	58¢	$26	0x410797…
10-27 05:43:23	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdd4a9c…
10-27 05:26:27	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Tommy Paul	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xfc08c3…
10-27 05:19:45	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xb7a41d…
10-27 04:56:54	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xbc0bc6…
10-27 04:43:11	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb05480…
10-27 04:38:08	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x88fcc5…
10-27 04:27:57	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x2a3d4e…
10-27 04:13:35	mlb mil tb 2026 10 27 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1c68a9…
10-27 04:02:20	mlb mil tb 2026 10 27 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	134	31¢	$42	0x721679…
10-27 03:59:20	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1ffee4…
10-27 03:59:06	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x092421…
10-27 03:28:18	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x16fa9c…
10-27 02:55:03	Guangzhou Open: Simona Waltert vs Jil Teichmann	Simona Waltert	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x63f502…
10-27 02:29:47	Curitiba: Berta Bonardi vs Marjorie Souza	Berta Bonardi	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x51f994…
10-27 02:23:11	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xeabb65…
10-27 02:15:00	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7a21d1…
10-27 02:14:59	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x4dfe24…
10-27 02:14:56	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xea7124…
10-27 02:14:56	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x5f5217…
10-27 02:14:53	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xc00e79…
10-27 02:14:53	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x8aea38…
10-27 02:13:23	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	456	3¢	$15	0x6d23c1…
10-27 02:13:23	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x6d23c1…
10-27 02:09:48	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x74376f…
10-27 02:04:54	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x4f2278…
10-27 02:02:42	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	68	53¢	$36	0xeb9010…
10-27 01:52:45	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xb8d82e…
10-27 01:51:36	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6e2f0d…
10-27 01:47:00	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ann Li	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x344240…
10-27 01:27:08	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0aa791…
10-27 01:23:12	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0x9adc8b…
10-27 01:22:27	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	46	69¢	$32	0x5366ed…
10-27 01:22:27	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x5366ed…
10-27 01:17:54	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Lilli Tagger	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xd73a2d…
10-27 01:16:54	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x9ac657…
10-27 01:16:53	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xf0b4de…
10-27 01:16:51	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0xb0f19a…
10-27 01:15:11	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x8860bc…
10-27 01:13:59	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ann Li	BUY	68	46¢	$31	0x7840b1…
10-27 01:13:30	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0x24bc30…
10-27 01:13:30	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x24bc30…
10-27 01:11:56	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0xc5fdb1…
10-27 01:11:56	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xc5fdb1…
10-27 01:11:53	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0x9a8142…
10-27 01:11:53	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x998867…
10-27 01:11:15	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x7ae526…
10-27 01:11:12	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xd8da8e…
10-27 01:11:12	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x8dcce6…
10-27 01:10:18	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x78ad5f…
10-27 01:02:38	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xffa807…
10-27 00:46:18	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Jerome Kym	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x314a9a…
10-27 00:40:24	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	213	3¢	$7	0x73a777…
10-27 00:40:24	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x73a777…
10-27 00:22:44	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x5179b3…
10-27 00:22:18	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x7c2cdf…
10-27 00:21:03	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6c1488…
10-27 00:18:57	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf4028e…
10-27 00:18:57	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8fe47f…
10-27 00:18:57	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x84a3b6…
10-27 00:18:38	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb980cc…
10-27 00:16:51	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbd3d9a…
10-27 00:16:12	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9626fd…
10-27 00:16:12	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x3f3c9c…
10-27 00:15:23	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf94392…
10-27 00:13:36	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfe9520…
10-27 00:13:21	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4772d2…
10-27 00:12:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc22253…
10-27 00:12:17	Spread: Eagles (-16.5)	Cowboys	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xf46f56…
10-27 00:11:53	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf550be…
10-27 00:11:17	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xe589f9…
10-27 00:11:15	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x4aa03f…
10-27 00:10:53	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	14	53¢	$8	0x66152b…
10-27 00:05:08	Spread: Eagles (-14.5)	Eagles	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0769f1…
10-27 00:02:39	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfe8b2c…
10-27 00:02:18	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x7ae19d…
10-26 23:53:08	Spread: Eagles (-9.5)	Eagles	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xa705bd…
10-26 23:49:03	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	91	56¢	$51	0x0a8a79…
10-26 23:48:36	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5	Under	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x2e7ec3…
10-26 23:45:57	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x02c44e…
10-26 23:45:50	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x749461…
10-26 23:45:50	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	170	43¢	$73	0x749461…
10-26 23:45:42	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x26bb17…
10-26 23:44:24	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xbd7c08…