Idle-Intuition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.03K

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

10,865

Trades

63,331

lifetime

Volume

$677.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$330

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-28 04:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

68% 53% -$4,816

Sports

32% 51% -$4,169

Crypto

0% 55% -$10

Politics

0% 38% -$10

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 1850 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pan Pacific Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Joint	Cristina Bucsa	—	+140	$63	72¢	$102	+$38	10-28 02:40
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes		+307	$101	31¢	$94	-$7	10-10 10:54
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No		+162	$101	54¢	$88	-$13	10-10 11:30
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes		+79	$30	45¢	$36	+$6	10-10 11:32
Pan Pacific Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Joint	Maya Joint	—	+40	$22	28¢	$11	-$11	10-27 22:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-13?	48	$3.5K	5,497	1,813	+3,684	No	-$25	10-13 23:50
Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?	55	$2.3K	6,863	3,322	+3,541	No	-$11	10-20 02:45
wnba atl nyl 2026 09 23	123	$1.9K	3,407	440	+2,967	Atlanta Dream	+$22	09-23 23:55
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5	10	$1.8K	2,500	1,000	+1,500	Under	-$250	10-02 01:05
Spread: Bills (-6.5)	26	$1.8K	1,980	716	+1,264	Rams	+$10	10-12 23:54
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres	74	$1.7K	3,086	299	+2,787	San Diego Padres	-$35	09-27 15:38
Will India win on 2026-10-03?	94	$1.7K	1,608	470	+1,138	No	+$7	10-03 13:54
Seattle Storm vs. Golden State Valkyries	52	$1.6K	2,576	570	+2,006	Golden State Valkyries	-$212	09-19 20:34
Will CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano end in a draw?	68	$1.6K	2,579	689	+1,890	Yes	-$5	10-19 17:55
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	29	$1.6K	3,155	0	+3,155	Milwaukee Brewers	-$187	10-12 20:32
SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5	39	$1.5K	2,722	518	+2,204	Over	+$12	10-19 18:45
Cyprus vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5	15	$1.5K	3,024	0	+3,024	Under	+$74	10-02 15:56
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-10?	30	$1.5K	3,309	350	+2,959	No	$0	10-10 16:20
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	29	$1.5K	1,401	909	+492	San Diego Padres	+$48	09-23 23:34
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03?	80	$1.4K	2,245	587	+1,658	No	+$1	10-03 08:27
Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	46	$1.4K	2,680	150	+2,530	Middle Tennessee	+$15	10-13 22:34
Elon vs. Stanford	17	$1.4K	2,802	15	+2,787	Stanford	+$9	10-17 23:17
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	23	$1.4K	2,785	0	+2,785	No	$0	10-13 17:55
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	27	$1.3K	1,976	721	+1,255	Baltimore Orioles	-$104	09-21 21:34
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	49	$1.3K	2,327	204	+2,123	Yes	-$27	10-15 14:17
mlb phi atl 2026 09 30	74	$1.3K	2,544	119	+2,425	Philadelphia Phillies	+$16	09-30 12:16
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5	16	$1.3K	2,499	74	+2,425	Over	+$7	10-12 19:48
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	8	$1.3K	2,518	0	+2,518	Over	+$6	10-17 16:22
Steelers vs. Browns	33	$1.2K	1,741	591	+1,150	Browns	+$3	10-02 00:07
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?	63	$1.2K	2,574	0	+2,574	No	+$197	09-16 18:56
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01?	93	$1.2K	2,321	34	+2,287	No	-$1	10-01 15:13
Croatia vs. England: O/U 2.5	18	$1.2K	2,163	315	+1,848	Over	+$5	10-03 15:53
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	13	$1.2K	2,382	0	+2,382	No	+$6	10-13 18:11
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09?	53	$1.1K	2,345	0	+2,345	No	$0	09-09 06:14
Columbia vs. Marist	45	$1.1K	1,802	417	+1,385	Columbia	+$140	10-09 22:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:59:59	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xb02e56…
10-28 05:55:14	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x08b829…
10-28 05:50:16	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4244a4…
10-28 05:47:19	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2a30fd…
10-28 05:45:55	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x31e356…
10-28 05:45:46	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x6ca197…
10-28 05:40:37	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x2addc2…
10-28 05:38:31	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x500b1c…
10-28 05:30:28	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Kennesaw State	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x72d82a…
10-28 05:25:49	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x32cf77…
10-28 05:24:47	Will BK Hacken win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x3961b0…
10-28 05:10:43	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0x746355…
10-28 04:46:02	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	34	61¢	$21	0x962f76…
10-28 04:43:43	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xb076e1…
10-28 04:40:38	South Carolina State vs. Morgan State	Morgan State	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0xbdfb08…
10-28 04:11:16	South Carolina State vs. Morgan State	Morgan State	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xad32b1…
10-28 03:12:00	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	56	47¢	$26	0xdae51d…
10-28 03:07:47	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x12f8e9…
10-28 02:42:30	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x1a8cb7…
10-28 02:40:27	Pan Pacific Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Joint	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x31338c…
10-28 02:36:59	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xf1446c…
10-28 02:35:09	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x2f500d…
10-28 02:01:54	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x279b06…
10-28 02:01:45	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0x7d713e…
10-27 23:57:09	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x273b2e…
10-27 23:53:50	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0x09c660…
10-27 23:37:35	Sam Houston vs. Missouri State	Sam Houston	BUY	39	34¢	$13	0x39a622…
10-27 23:37:35	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	27	39¢	$10	0x128a8f…
10-27 23:37:35	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x128a8f…
10-27 23:33:23	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	178	2¢	$3	0x4c5052…
10-27 23:30:54	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xb54681…
10-27 23:25:57	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x0d328e…
10-27 23:25:26	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xb0067e…
10-27 23:25:14	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xbb8671…
10-27 23:16:50	Pan Pacific Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Joint	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x925902…
10-27 23:15:14	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x389762…
10-27 22:56:38	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 58.5	Over	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x26a7f5…
10-27 22:56:35	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 58.5	Over	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xd6850d…
10-27 22:55:15	Spread: Packers (-5.5)	Panthers	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xffbe07…
10-27 22:54:44	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa23fa9…
10-27 22:50:45	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x9d0cf2…
10-27 22:50:44	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4efdb0…
10-27 22:50:42	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfe5d12…
10-27 22:50:42	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	51	40¢	$21	0x25c372…
10-27 22:45:39	Pan Pacific Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Joint	Maya Joint	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x493466…
10-27 22:29:27	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	255	2¢	$5	0x4c9466…
10-27 22:29:27	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4c9466…
10-27 22:29:26	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x58a2fb…
10-27 22:29:26	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	248	2¢	$5	0x0a9637…
10-27 22:29:26	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x0a9637…
10-27 22:27:39	Spread: Packers (-5.5)	Panthers	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc26632…
10-27 22:26:44	Spread: Packers (-7.5)	Panthers	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xaaed73…
10-27 22:26:39	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0x844a9e…
10-27 22:26:36	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xbf5c87…
10-27 22:26:36	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xbf5c87…
10-27 22:26:36	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xba05de…
10-27 22:26:36	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x6a0001…
10-27 22:23:15	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	92	2¢	$2	0xd59ea1…
10-27 22:09:17	Queretaro: Katherine Hui vs Bianca Andreescu	Katherine Hui	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xe8b23a…
10-27 22:03:45	Queretaro: Katherine Hui vs Bianca Andreescu	Bianca Andreescu	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xbd611b…
10-27 22:00:41	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x692698…
10-27 21:45:09	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb37415…
10-27 21:44:14	AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xebdd6e…
10-27 21:21:39	Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Katrina Scott	Tamara Zidansek	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x84e249…
10-27 20:58:56	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x00fa53…
10-27 20:43:53	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	46	47¢	$22	0x419112…
10-27 20:28:24	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x8df234…
10-27 20:17:17	Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Katrina Scott	Tamara Zidansek	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x3ad104…
10-27 20:00:06	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xc6b276…
10-27 19:54:15	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5c7381…
10-27 19:52:48	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x38e689…
10-27 19:52:03	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x5c9573…
10-27 19:49:11	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x27cdfa…
10-27 19:40:02	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x214a2f…
10-27 19:33:00	Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x1a597c…
10-27 19:32:59	Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd00b74…
10-27 19:32:59	Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xd00b74…
10-27 19:32:47	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x4e94e6…
10-27 19:32:45	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x77f2d3…
10-27 19:32:42	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	192	80¢	$154	0xb290a1…
10-27 19:32:21	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x59e0f2…
10-27 19:32:20	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	33	80¢	$26	0x836a25…
10-27 19:31:53	Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5a81bd…
10-27 19:29:30	Bradford City AFC vs. Peterborough United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc4d5bf…
10-27 19:24:57	Bradford City AFC vs. Peterborough United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3f88f4…
10-27 19:24:47	Bradford City AFC vs. Peterborough United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6446d9…
10-27 19:24:45	Guayaquil: Nicolas Jarry vs Hugo Dellien	Hugo Dellien	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x04e91b…
10-27 19:24:41	Bradford City AFC vs. Peterborough United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	31	40¢	$12	0x5ca32e…
10-27 19:23:20	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x8c8a67…
10-27 19:22:09	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x27d93a…
10-27 19:19:59	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x78d354…
10-27 19:19:44	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6ee0e2…
10-27 19:19:29	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$18	0xcf90c0…
10-27 19:16:03	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x951382…
10-27 19:15:12	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xc9a985…
10-27 19:11:53	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe0ce28…
10-27 19:11:29	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xfba4d8…
10-27 19:11:29	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc6a506…
10-27 19:07:59	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc32164…
10-27 19:04:50	Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	141	15¢	$21	0x9c9584…