Velvety-Toga — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

382

Trades

3,364

lifetime

Volume

$22.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 05-23 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775571000	9	$118	149	39	+110	open	—	04-07 14:12
btc updown 5m 1774134900	14	$113	126	55	+71	open	—	03-21 23:17
btc updown 5m 1774137600	15	$90	191	0	+191	open	—	03-22 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	10	$89	112	41	+71	Up	$-10	05-08 02:33
btc updown 5m 1775742900	7	$87	137	25	+112	open	—	04-09 13:58
btc updown 5m 1774137300	4	$84	178	0	+178	open	—	03-21 23:55
btc updown 5m 1775653800	15	$82	105	36	+69	open	—	04-08 13:14
btc updown 5m 1775797200	5	$76	101	34	+67	open	—	04-10 05:05
btc updown 5m 1775654100	3	$76	101	34	+67	open	—	04-08 13:20
btc updown 5m 1775091300	14	$73	106	30	+76	open	—	04-02 00:59
btc updown 5m 1774898700	4	$73	110	12	+98	open	—	03-30 19:25
btc updown 5m 1775552100	7	$73	94	32	+62	open	—	04-07 08:58
btc updown 5m 1775093100	4	$72	111	32	+79	open	—	04-02 01:28
btc updown 5m 1775140800	11	$69	100	28	+72	open	—	04-02 14:43
btc updown 5m 1775785200	5	$68	88	30	+58	open	—	04-10 01:44
btc updown 5m 1775785500	8	$68	69	34	+35	open	—	04-10 01:49
btc updown 5m 1775773200	5	$67	67	33	+34	open	—	04-09 22:23
btc updown 5m 1775092800	7	$66	96	27	+69	open	—	04-02 01:22
btc updown 5m 1775743200	7	$66	85	29	+56	open	—	04-09 14:04
btc updown 5m 1776815700	8	$65	66	33	+33	open	—	04-21 23:59
btc updown 5m 1775999100	5	$64	86	19	+67	open	—	04-12 13:05
btc updown 5m 1776956400	10	$64	64	32	+32	open	—	04-23 15:02
btc updown 5m 1775583600	7	$64	83	28	+55	open	—	04-07 17:44
btc updown 5m 1775430000	5	$63	99	27	+72	open	—	04-05 23:05
btc updown 5m 1775141100	3	$63	64	32	+32	open	—	04-02 14:46
btc updown 5m 1774204500	17	$62	136	0	+136	open	—	03-22 18:36
btc updown 5m 1775881500	10	$62	82	28	+54	open	—	04-11 04:29
btc updown 5m 1775202000	7	$62	91	25	+66	open	—	04-03 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	13	$61	42	42	+0	Up	+$10	05-08 00:24
btc updown 5m 1775591700	4	$61	63	31	+32	open	—	04-07 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 07:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf01229…
05-23 07:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x9f43df…
05-23 06:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x07bd44…
05-23 05:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xc29adc…
05-23 05:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x1508a8…
05-23 05:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x990603…
05-23 04:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x69d5b5…
05-23 04:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa69274…
05-23 04:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xa4d11a…
05-23 04:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x23d7e5…
05-23 04:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3aa18d…
05-23 04:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x0d7f67…
05-23 03:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x35cfba…
05-23 02:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x1aed91…
05-23 02:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x38dc02…
05-23 01:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa86f2d…
05-23 01:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd92e59…
05-23 01:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf9e963…
05-23 01:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd5f27c…
05-23 01:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9687af…
05-23 00:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc36bad…
05-23 00:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xe1fe58…
05-23 00:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd03f6a…
05-22 23:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x33606a…
05-22 23:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xbbcc45…
05-22 23:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x0ef214…
05-22 23:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd80761…
05-22 22:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x540a5c…
05-22 22:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x96cefe…
05-22 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xa68c22…
05-22 22:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x116654…
05-22 22:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb87aa1…
05-22 21:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xde6337…
05-22 20:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcbfb68…
05-22 20:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x32ade6…
05-22 18:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb8f5e9…
05-22 18:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x8625b0…
05-22 17:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x7f777f…
05-22 17:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe73567…
05-21 02:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x5b5ed8…
05-21 02:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x0dbd87…
05-21 00:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xaaa50a…
05-20 23:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x431a9d…
05-20 23:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x171f27…
05-20 23:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8d6b9d…
05-20 23:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xf512e8…
05-20 23:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2ea172…
05-20 22:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xff7d77…
05-20 22:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x7926fe…
05-20 22:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x4ca6de…
05-20 22:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x63e09b…
05-20 22:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa98d7b…
05-20 22:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x291e6d…
05-20 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x7ffbd1…
05-20 21:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xbf8d30…
05-20 21:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb0e29c…
05-20 21:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd94f19…
05-20 21:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xa325eb…
05-20 21:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x407337…
05-20 20:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x164511…
05-20 20:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xbab972…
05-20 20:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9bea0a…
05-20 19:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0013d7…
05-20 19:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x2af8aa…
05-20 19:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x4f6b99…
05-20 19:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd743b7…
05-20 19:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x943343…
05-20 19:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xce80d4…
05-20 19:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x730e82…
05-20 19:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1a5717…
05-20 18:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x000e10…
05-20 17:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xe2a932…
05-20 17:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4ff39e…
05-20 17:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x03e7c1…
05-20 13:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xfdec1d…
05-20 13:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x931207…
05-20 13:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x466969…
05-20 12:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xec2884…
05-20 12:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x9917d6…
05-20 12:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xce72e1…
05-20 12:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x93f958…
05-20 11:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xcae10f…
05-20 11:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x6b6329…
05-20 11:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5d9a0b…
05-20 11:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xb9f615…
05-20 11:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x357eb3…
05-20 11:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x8a149e…
05-20 10:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xff63e3…
05-20 10:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xff9336…
05-20 10:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x151d8f…
05-20 10:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x67d67b…
05-20 10:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8a1ea9…
05-20 10:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x7226b7…
05-20 10:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x4e4cd9…
05-20 10:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xff2fcd…
05-20 10:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x06a4d6…
05-20 10:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd78e9d…
05-20 09:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x73bb00…
05-20 09:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0x931759…
05-20 09:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0xb7c843…