First-Astrolabe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$855

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

223

Trades

694

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 08-03 03:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

68% 62% -$494

Politics

23% 62% -$418

Sports

7% 100% +$43

Tech

2% 100% +$3

Crypto

0% 18% +$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bp quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt61	4	$756	430	430	+0	No	+$102	02-10 11:11
will the bad bunny apple music super bowl halftime show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1	3	$623	363	363	+0	Yes	+$42	02-10 03:15
andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 0 99	9	$586	518	518	+0	Yes	-$116	02-20 14:58
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$450	300	300	+0	Yes	+$6	02-07 03:53
will mrbeasts latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1	20	$422	1,221	20	+1,201	No	-$406	02-11 11:11
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	6	$394	600	600	+0	No	+$14	03-24 20:23
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$328	195	195	+0	No	-$4	02-09 23:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 1?	24	$291	178	178	+0	No	+$11	05-01 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?	3	$288	153	153	+0	No	+$9	05-07 13:10
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$285	180	180	+0	No	+$4	02-07 12:55
will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be blue	2	$280	202	202	+0	No	+$2	02-07 08:14
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	3	$271	170	170	+0	No	+$3	02-04 17:14
will the liberal democratic party win by between 190 and 219 seats	4	$268	198	198	+0	No	+$18	02-08 04:44
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	7	$251	492	492	+0	No	-$69	03-26 03:05
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$247	165	165	+0	Yes	+$3	02-09 23:41
will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	4	$244	156	156	+0	Yes	+$3	02-04 15:16
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$241	928	928	+0	No	$0	03-15 14:08
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	2	$236	128	128	+0	No	+$3	03-01 13:51
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	6	$235	191	191	+0	Yes	+$6	03-14 06:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	9	$230	213	213	+0	No	+$4	03-01 03:53
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	7	$221	167	167	+0	No	+$6	02-28 13:31
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$220	153	153	+0	No	+$6	02-13 22:23
aapl above 260 on february 20 2026	2	$199	394	0	+394	Yes	-$199	02-20 15:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$195	407	407	+0	No	-$41	03-19 16:30
will trump say iran 7 times during meeting with netanyahu 165	2	$169	102	102	+0	No	+$6	02-11 09:45
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	11	$163	566	566	+0	No	-$7	03-26 03:05
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	2	$152	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	03-24 13:11
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	4	$152	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	03-24 10:08
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$149	501	245	+257	No	-$46	03-26 19:23
will iran strike nine or more countries in march	6	$145	593	0	+593	Yes	-$145	03-02 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 03:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x046ff4…
08-03 03:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7fde8e…
08-03 02:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x002e4c…
08-03 02:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6f3048…
08-02 04:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfa2d19…
08-02 04:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x9c0570…
08-02 04:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x977ea3…
08-02 02:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 2?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb29c21…
07-22 05:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 22?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd32d6c…
07-16 07:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0xcdfb9b…
07-16 07:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xd9e40e…
07-16 07:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x960a9b…
07-16 07:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0x4c9cec…
07-16 07:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x030503…
07-16 01:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x175fc2…
07-16 01:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xabe3d9…
07-16 01:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 16?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x129540…
07-16 01:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 16?	No	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x49ec62…
07-16 01:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 16?	No	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0x6073f2…
07-15 23:45:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0x8e458f…
07-15 23:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 16?	No	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x9d4d3c…
07-15 23:37:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xcfecc6…
07-15 23:37:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc97da8…
07-15 23:37:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xc2806f…
07-15 22:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 16?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x21ab02…
07-15 18:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x746381…
07-15 17:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 16?	No	SELL	85	43¢	$37	0x2468c7…
07-15 16:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 16?	No	BUY	35	41¢	$14	0x171a54…
07-15 15:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 16?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x81e5fc…
07-15 12:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 16?	Yes	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0x2429d4…
07-15 12:03:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 16?	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xfad026…
07-15 11:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 16?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x63cf46…
07-15 11:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 16?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x543957…
07-15 08:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 16?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x36e145…
07-15 07:41:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xf41c19…
07-15 07:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0xa578d6…
07-15 07:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x5aaa3a…
07-15 06:19:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x063e30…
07-15 06:17:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x7f423c…
07-15 06:17:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x2f767a…
07-15 05:53:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0x26cc42…
07-15 05:52:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	58	17¢	$10	0xe22f5d…
07-15 05:52:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xd58ac1…
07-15 01:09:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x5fc7e3…
07-15 00:06:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x6f2476…
07-14 23:53:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x837508…
07-14 14:32:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xcbb800…
07-14 14:32:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd12c17…
07-14 14:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x4c9ffb…
07-14 13:55:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x823180…
07-14 09:44:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x881f1f…
07-14 09:44:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0xfa5d98…
07-14 09:00:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x76a985…
07-14 08:59:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x0f68b8…
07-14 08:57:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0x8ae8bc…
07-14 08:55:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	77	18¢	$14	0xde0ea6…
07-14 08:38:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xe4f68b…
07-14 08:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x08e763…
07-14 07:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x083a89…
07-14 07:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x7a752d…
07-14 07:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 15?	No	SELL	55	53¢	$29	0x99f726…
07-14 07:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x2e6a88…
07-14 06:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 15?	No	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x397191…
07-14 06:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 15?	No	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x976bbb…
07-14 06:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x9e344d…
07-14 06:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xb8a257…
07-07 15:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x690c15…
07-05 19:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5?	No	SELL	13	49¢	$6	0xc1562f…
07-05 19:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x1908d6…
07-05 19:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	13	42¢	$5	0x0af4df…
07-05 19:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x265856…
07-05 12:10:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xfad14b…
07-05 04:03:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x7d0a18…
07-04 23:39:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x19ebb0…
07-04 23:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0xa17fb9…
07-04 23:09:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x8522c4…
07-04 22:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5?	No	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x69dacb…
07-04 22:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xbafcbc…
07-04 21:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x738adf…
07-04 19:58:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xaa18a1…
07-04 19:58:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa1e940…
07-04 17:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0xf05a8c…
07-04 17:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x83757f…
07-04 17:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa662ba…
07-04 13:28:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x3e636f…
07-04 13:27:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x0ac314…
07-04 13:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 5?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x9e10b4…
07-04 13:26:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x73a290…
07-04 13:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x849e86…
07-04 01:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x0471d8…
07-04 01:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x8aa858…
07-04 01:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x5d2425…
07-04 00:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x528bb1…
07-04 00:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 4?	No	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0x88dde4…
07-04 00:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xea5ca3…
07-04 00:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 4?	No	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x23cc0c…
07-04 00:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x8fa563…
07-04 00:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xde52cc…
07-04 00:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xcb9085…
07-03 21:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x2b001a…