Flaky-Mixer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$3.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 46% $-98

Politics

3% 100% +$55

Tech

2% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	5	$443	565	398	+167	Up	+$33	05-06 14:25
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	15	$326	1,977	2,077	-100	open	—	01-17 20:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$321	286	264	+22	Down	+$113	05-06 10:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	3	$300	367	0	+367	Up	+$67	05-06 11:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	5	$259	169	169	+0	Up	+$72	05-06 11:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	7	$226	932	0	+932	Down	$-226	05-06 14:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	7	$221	166	166	+0	Down	+$61	05-06 10:14
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$177	110	110	+0	open	—	03-01 06:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	3	$134	94	94	+0	Up	+$34	05-06 09:32
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	2	$101	286	286	+0	open	—	01-10 15:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$100	295	0	+295	Down	$-100	05-06 12:06
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	1	$90	324	0	+324	open	—	06-06 10:10
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$69	70	0	+70	open	—	03-05 11:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	5	$69	74	74	+0	Up	+$19	05-06 10:49
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 20	3	$66	70	0	+70	open	—	02-16 04:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$63	150	150	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 14:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$62	62	62	+0	Up	+$12	05-06 11:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$55	650	0	+650	Down	$-55	05-06 11:43
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$50	0	7,098	-7,098	open	—	01-02 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	6	$48	94	0	+94	Down	$-38	05-09 16:59
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	12	$47	280	0	+280	open	—	06-09 01:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$45	100	0	+100	Yes	+$55	01-09 06:27
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 10pm et	3	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	06-09 01:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$39	220	0	+220	Down	$-39	05-06 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$33	32	16	+16	Up	$-8	05-09 17:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	Down	$-25	05-06 10:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	6	$24	191	10	+181	Down	$-10	05-08 03:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	4	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 02:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$15	74	0	+74	Down	$-15	05-08 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$15	37	0	+37	Down	+$22	05-09 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 01:50:37	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x36c89e…
06-09 01:34:43	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x5aa13f…
06-09 01:34:28	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x0e2469…
06-09 01:34:25	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	77	7¢	$5	0xbf5e6a…
06-09 01:34:24	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x048ca5…
06-09 01:27:24	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0xaf3227…
06-09 01:27:22	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xa6ae6b…
06-09 01:27:22	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xa452e7…
06-09 01:27:09	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf60e95…
06-09 01:20:28	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x4f34a8…
06-09 01:15:39	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x975e89…
06-09 01:15:39	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x343690…
06-09 01:14:31	btc updown 15m 1780967700	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xa35635…
06-06 10:10:16	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Down	BUY	324	28¢	$90	0xe5d7f7…
05-14 16:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5de560…
05-14 14:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x67937e…
05-14 14:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x7ad082…
05-14 14:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x93be71…
05-14 14:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x31f1ea…
05-14 14:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x8ae80a…
05-14 14:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xcd6032…
05-14 14:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xcc6a02…
05-14 14:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x912414…
05-14 14:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x9a400d…
05-14 14:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x7aa43e…
05-14 14:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2cb2fe…
05-14 13:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x1d8360…
05-14 13:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xaee0e4…
05-14 13:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xab5f90…
05-14 13:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa725d1…
05-14 13:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x5f6af3…
05-14 13:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3b696c…
05-14 13:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x988b2e…
05-14 13:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2a936a…
05-14 07:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xd07918…
05-13 11:48:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xf52f8f…
05-13 06:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x7a85ac…
05-12 10:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xcdb101…
05-12 10:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1d5017…
05-12 10:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0428ad…
05-12 09:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x337e26…
05-12 09:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x30db94…
05-12 08:36:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0x8cfbf1…
05-12 08:36:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x76420c…
05-12 08:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0xa94518…
05-12 08:26:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x19e9a8…
05-12 08:26:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xa2e2cd…
05-12 08:26:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xed5fd1…
05-12 08:26:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x86dd40…
05-12 01:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0xa7e9a6…
05-12 01:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x33bffa…
05-12 01:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xa5170c…
05-12 01:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x63a8ab…
05-10 14:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd3e8c7…
05-10 14:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x558e98…
05-10 07:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xcc8d7a…
05-10 07:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xceb578…
05-10 07:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xc189b7…
05-10 07:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xef73f5…
05-10 06:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x0bf8f5…
05-10 06:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xda0506…
05-10 05:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	69¢	$7	0x887957…
05-10 05:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc4d5b9…
05-09 18:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xa78b8b…
05-09 18:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x9d7971…
05-09 18:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc5a53f…
05-09 18:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xe6b390…
05-09 18:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xc193d6…
05-09 18:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6d33c4…
05-09 18:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x4cfd9f…
05-09 17:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x635ab4…
05-09 17:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0x010d69…
05-09 17:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x246a67…
05-09 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x99dfba…
05-09 17:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x788ef0…
05-09 17:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2c7f30…
05-09 17:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x5c7e1e…
05-09 17:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe79fec…
05-09 16:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	50¢	$23	0x60e2c6…
05-09 16:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x946eb6…
05-09 16:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1edb94…
05-09 16:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1fc23f…
05-09 16:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0xe622c1…
05-09 16:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0xbf8684…
05-09 16:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xee4941…
05-09 16:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x238507…
05-09 16:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9bd7d1…
05-09 16:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xca7681…
05-09 16:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x52d0cc…
05-09 16:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3e7d52…
05-09 16:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb8e2c5…
05-09 16:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xddeb93…
05-09 16:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4547d4…
05-08 13:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x41b1d3…
05-08 06:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x6194e9…
05-08 06:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xd4063c…
05-08 05:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x466ab0…
05-08 05:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd4465b…
05-08 05:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x86db92…
05-08 05:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x033842…