Emotional-Council — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$591

Unrealized P&L

+$1.52K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

568

lifetime

Volume

$572.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.01K

Open exposure

$43.6K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-08 07:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$591

Other

37% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No		+35,809	$31,102	90¢	$32.0K	+$947	06-05 23:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+13,959	$10,946	82¢	$11.5K	+$570	06-01 13:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$45.2K	23,403	23,403	+0	open	—	06-01 01:39
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	230	$43.2K	47,227	0	+47,227	open	—	01-23 01:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	5	$36.6K	19,428	19,428	-0	open	—	06-01 05:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	9	$31.1K	35,809	0	+35,809	open	—	06-05 23:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$30.0K	30,500	0	+30,500	open	—	04-14 02:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$26.1K	13,304	13,304	+0	open	—	05-24 12:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	8	$16.5K	18,417	0	+18,417	open	—	05-11 16:21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$15.3K	18,566	0	+18,566	open	—	06-01 13:29
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$14.9K	16,915	0	+16,915	open	—	05-25 11:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$14.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-24 06:24
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	8	$14.3K	15,155	0	+15,155	open	—	01-23 13:47
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	12	$14.3K	15,487	0	+15,487	open	—	02-11 13:52
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	7	$14.2K	15,392	0	+15,392	open	—	04-14 02:11
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$13.2K	15,904	2,000	+13,904	open	—	01-31 02:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$12.9K	13,700	0	+13,700	open	—	06-01 05:26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$11.4K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	05-24 13:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	4	$11.4K	5,948	5,948	+0	No	+$490	05-11 16:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$10.9K	13,959	0	+13,959	open	—	06-01 13:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$10.2K	13,785	0	+13,785	open	—	05-27 06:23
iran leadership change by march 31	3	$10.1K	10,878	0	+10,878	open	—	03-25 00:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$10.1K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	04-02 07:33
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	3	$9.4K	10,342	0	+10,342	open	—	02-24 08:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$9.2K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	05-25 11:13
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$8.6K	7,000	5,000	+2,000	open	—	03-24 02:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	13	$8.5K	12,730	0	+12,730	open	—	02-24 08:47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$7.0K	7,500	0	+7,500	open	—	05-25 02:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	2	$6.9K	7,389	0	+7,389	open	—	06-08 07:49
us strike on colombia by march 31	3	$6.2K	6,986	0	+6,986	open	—	01-25 11:21
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	2	$6.0K	3,371	3,371	+0	open	—	05-18 13:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$5.9K	6,800	0	+6,800	open	—	03-24 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 07:49:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	3,663	96¢	$3,505	0xfdfcf0…
06-05 23:17:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,450	89¢	$1,290	0x44aba1…
06-05 23:15:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	3,726	92¢	$3,428	0xb9110c…
06-01 13:35:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,800	79¢	$4,582	0x20df99…
06-01 13:34:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x95c3d1…
06-01 13:34:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x51ea69…
06-01 13:34:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8,097	78¢	$6,315	0x3cafc0…
06-01 13:34:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x361fb2…
06-01 13:33:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	260	95¢	$247	0x579892…
06-01 13:30:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	4,459	95¢	$4,236	0xc5c60f…
06-01 13:29:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	11,512	83¢	$9,555	0xe25024…
06-01 13:28:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	7,055	82¢	$5,785	0x18670d…
06-01 05:26:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	13,700	94¢	$12,878	0x1028ad…
06-01 05:23:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,481	89¢	$6,658	0x316380…
06-01 05:23:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19,428	100¢	$19,409	0x15c7ba…
06-01 05:22:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8,000	88¢	$7,040	0x92448e…
06-01 01:41:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x042ee4…
06-01 01:41:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x21abcb…
06-01 01:41:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x99065c…
06-01 01:41:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6,677	86¢	$5,742	0x8baa27…
06-01 01:40:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	138	85¢	$117	0x8f96a8…
06-01 01:39:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	12,404	100¢	$12,379	0x4b44d3…
06-01 01:37:59	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12,049	85¢	$10,242	0xd08b34…
06-01 01:37:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10,999	100¢	$10,977	0x476f87…
05-27 06:23:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,650	75¢	$2,738	0x858d54…
05-27 06:21:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,000	91¢	$7,254	0xb7333d…
05-27 01:57:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5,607	98¢	$5,495	0x3b0243…
05-26 07:11:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,135	74¢	$7,500	0x92a39b…
05-25 15:02:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,600	97¢	$2,511	0x5cbac1…
05-25 11:40:38	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,995	71¢	$1,416	0x6bcb01…
05-25 11:37:47	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x349364…
05-25 11:13:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	92¢	$9,200	0x395dac…
05-25 11:09:54	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	1,974	98¢	$1,924	0x7a4de8…
05-25 11:05:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,688	89¢	$2,392	0x893db3…
05-25 11:04:28	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,490	73¢	$2,548	0xb84941…
05-25 02:05:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	7,500	94¢	$7,050	0xa9b5db…
05-24 13:21:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,574	91¢	$1,440	0x2c1381…
05-24 13:16:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	10,000	57¢	$5,700	0x7068f5…
05-24 12:23:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,583	0x8cb0b3…
05-24 12:22:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,617	91¢	$2,373	0xe74995…
05-24 12:21:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,564	90¢	$2,310	0x1fda55…
05-24 12:16:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,900	87¢	$2,511	0xbcad54…
05-24 12:15:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,840	85¢	$4,993	0x6330b1…
05-24 12:15:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	6,519	100¢	$6,493	0x71704d…
05-24 12:13:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	10,000	57¢	$5,700	0xc60dff…
05-24 12:11:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	6,785	100¢	$6,758	0xe77c17…
05-24 04:57:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,100	91¢	$1,916	0xad5673…
05-24 04:18:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,341	92¢	$1,237	0xe84cca…
05-24 04:18:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	3,800	59¢	$2,261	0x26d3e9…
05-18 16:55:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	3,800	94¢	$3,572	0x33b5a5…
05-18 13:30:36	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	3,371	88¢	$2,966	0x18d308…
05-17 16:20:51	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	3,371	89¢	$3,000	0x183961…
05-11 16:21:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x50d379…
05-11 16:21:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	222	98¢	$217	0x9203a3…
05-11 16:21:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x4cb8f3…
05-11 16:21:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5,840	97¢	$5,693	0x07d99a…
05-11 16:21:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x601b7f…
05-11 16:13:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	5,948	100¢	$5,930	0x3e2558…
05-10 09:02:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6,953	86¢	$6,000	0x399655…
05-10 08:58:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	549	86¢	$470	0x2c92bf…
05-10 08:56:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4,765	85¢	$4,067	0x00a87e…
05-08 14:10:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2,750	98¢	$2,690	0x898d34…
05-08 14:08:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x344b62…
05-08 14:05:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2,741	92¢	$2,522	0x74c474…
05-08 14:05:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,726	98¢	$1,686	0xd7576f…
05-08 14:03:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3,186	91¢	$2,899	0x9553a6…
05-01 05:48:20	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	14,941	87¢	$12,999	0xc84089…
05-01 05:45:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	13,304	97¢	$12,859	0x6e6423…
04-14 02:11:49	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,720	93¢	$1,594	0x97ae1d…
04-14 02:11:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,966	0x18c6d3…
04-14 02:10:31	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,029	93¢	$954	0x100900…
04-14 02:10:07	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,299	93¢	$3,982	0x9d1065…
04-14 02:05:13	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x9ff697…
04-14 02:05:13	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	224	92¢	$206	0x8433cb…
04-14 02:05:13	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,240	92¢	$1,137	0x1a9d18…
04-14 02:04:35	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,830	91¢	$6,244	0xd9e745…
04-14 02:03:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28,500	98¢	$28,016	0x516807…
04-02 07:33:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	14,000	72¢	$10,080	0x8278fe…
03-25 00:54:59	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	4,400	94¢	$4,136	0xd8f6e6…
03-24 06:36:09	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	4,998	93¢	$4,648	0x51206a…
03-24 06:28:47	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	1,480	92¢	$1,362	0x803aa9…
03-24 06:27:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	5,000	88¢	$4,400	0x8d5a2a…
03-24 06:24:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	10,000	78¢	$7,800	0x7d2f86…
03-24 02:25:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,800	86¢	$1,548	0xa85a49…
03-24 02:22:27	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	461	93¢	$429	0x3a1f0e…
03-24 02:22:13	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,000	27¢	$549	0xbec7f8…
03-24 02:22:05	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xbb6386…
03-24 02:20:49	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xbffed4…
03-24 02:20:17	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,725	93¢	$2,534	0x5c2ac7…
03-24 02:19:27	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5,000	73¢	$3,635	0x86b6e4…
03-23 06:24:31	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5,000	88¢	$4,377	0x63350b…
03-23 06:23:29	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	859	89¢	$767	0x143766…
03-15 09:38:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5,000	67¢	$3,350	0xb0baef…
03-15 09:38:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5,000	67¢	$3,350	0x02af5d…
03-07 06:34:31	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	4,548	80¢	$3,659	0x227e4a…
02-24 08:47:14	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	3,700	81¢	$2,997	0xa77245…
02-24 08:44:02	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,725	89¢	$2,425	0xe3259e…
02-23 22:02:44	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by march 31 214	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0x62054c…
02-23 01:33:44	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xaf20b0…
02-23 01:33:18	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6,617	92¢	$6,078	0xcf313e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	63	$25.8M	40,232	06-10 00:11
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	62	$1.00M	14,961	06-09 22:24
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	58	$119.9K	819	06-08 22:11
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	57	$220.0K	23,424	06-09 20:47
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	56	$42.1K	2,681	06-07 20:23
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	55	$31.1K	2,094	06-09 14:26
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	53	$211.4K	16,692	06-01 02:10
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	51	$6.18M	18,145	06-09 20:43