Emotional-Council — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$591

Unrealized P&L

+$2.97K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

746

lifetime

Volume

$991.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.33K

Open exposure

$13.0K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-19 05:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$591

Other

42% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+13,158	$10,000	99¢	$13.0K	+$2,967	07-03 16:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$109.8K	56,214	56,214	+0	open	—	07-03 16:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	17	$83.3K	48,394	40,208	+8,186	open	—	07-01 02:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$45.2K	23,403	23,403	+0	open	—	06-01 01:39
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	230	$43.2K	47,227	0	+47,227	open	—	01-23 01:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	5	$36.6K	19,428	19,428	-0	open	—	06-01 05:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	16	$34.4K	17,782	17,782	+0	open	—	06-15 05:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$30.0K	30,500	0	+30,500	open	—	04-14 02:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	17	$27.5K	19,012	10,508	+8,504	open	—	07-04 23:26
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	15	$26.5K	18,743	11,293	+7,451	open	—	07-07 07:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$26.1K	13,304	13,304	+0	open	—	05-24 12:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	21	$19.3K	13,959	13,959	+0	open	—	06-12 12:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	8	$16.5K	18,417	0	+18,417	open	—	05-11 16:21
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	9	$16.1K	18,100	0	+18,100	open	—	07-17 01:56
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$15.3K	18,566	0	+18,566	open	—	06-01 13:29
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$14.9K	16,915	0	+16,915	open	—	05-25 11:09
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	4	$14.5K	15,255	0	+15,255	open	—	07-16 14:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$14.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-24 06:24
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	8	$14.3K	15,155	0	+15,155	open	—	01-23 13:47
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	12	$14.3K	15,487	0	+15,487	open	—	02-11 13:52
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	7	$14.2K	15,392	0	+15,392	open	—	04-14 02:11
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	3	$14.1K	15,814	0	+15,814	open	—	07-19 05:04
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$13.2K	15,904	2,000	+13,904	open	—	01-31 02:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$12.9K	13,700	0	+13,700	open	—	06-01 05:26
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	1	$12.0K	13,837	0	+13,837	open	—	07-03 16:07
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	6	$11.5K	6,081	6,081	+0	open	—	07-07 02:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$11.4K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	05-24 13:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	4	$11.4K	5,948	5,948	+0	No	+$490	05-11 16:13
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$10.4K	11,981	0	+11,981	open	—	07-07 07:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$10.2K	13,785	0	+13,785	open	—	05-27 06:23
iran leadership change by march 31	3	$10.1K	10,878	0	+10,878	open	—	03-25 00:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 05:04:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x7e9a30…
07-19 04:08:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	9,000	91¢	$8,190	0x90dc75…
07-18 14:10:16	will 6 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228791	No	BUY	7,842	98¢	$7,685	0x46fdcd…
07-17 07:36:03	will 6 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228791	No	BUY	237	98¢	$232	0x02bcb7…
07-17 07:35:22	will 6 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228791	No	BUY	879	97¢	$855	0x208923…
07-17 01:56:45	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	781	97¢	$756	0x06b4d9…
07-16 14:32:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	5,814	86¢	$5,000	0x21c3f9…
07-16 14:31:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	5,208	96¢	$5,000	0x6c46cb…
07-16 14:29:20	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	720	97¢	$698	0xeaf7d0…
07-16 14:27:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	807	97¢	$781	0x755d03…
07-16 14:09:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	2,633	95¢	$2,501	0xc7430e…
07-16 04:11:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	6,414	95¢	$6,093	0xcd2950…
07-16 04:09:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0xdb8e89…
07-16 02:48:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	1,549	96¢	$1,488	0x575998…
07-14 05:58:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	2,808	97¢	$2,724	0xbf2f88…
07-14 05:53:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	550	94¢	$516	0x771a18…
07-14 05:52:38	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	941	92¢	$866	0xcfd8b4…
07-13 04:31:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x473de2…
07-13 04:29:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2,149	55¢	$1,182	0x4145eb…
07-12 04:01:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7,198	55¢	$3,943	0xb515a1…
07-12 04:01:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	1,604	90¢	$1,441	0x3aa17e…
07-12 00:48:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3,646	54¢	$1,980	0xe11835…
07-11 23:58:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x584be2…
07-11 23:58:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2,728	52¢	$1,418	0x1fa4fe…
07-11 23:58:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2,524	50¢	$1,273	0x8c2762…
07-08 15:07:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	5,059	83¢	$4,200	0xd87e5e…
07-08 12:53:05	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	10,148	85¢	$8,624	0x16c112…
07-07 07:42:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2,484	99¢	$2,464	0x4537f9…
07-07 07:40:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	8,037	87¢	$7,000	0x35dda9…
07-07 07:39:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xd485ec…
07-07 07:39:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x786385…
07-07 07:39:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xee4935…
07-07 07:39:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x081c8c…
07-07 07:39:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3,920	86¢	$3,371	0x90ca1a…
07-07 07:38:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8,809	99¢	$8,751	0x4ae354…
07-07 02:45:59	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	3,953	100¢	$3,935	0xc1bf62…
07-07 02:29:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	SELL	2,724	75¢	$2,048	0xb0437a…
07-04 23:26:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	4,994	100¢	$4,984	0xd6ea63…
07-04 23:25:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5,513	100¢	$5,502	0xf40c37…
07-04 04:30:17	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2,128	99¢	$2,118	0x5d0f78…
07-04 03:35:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	1,827	86¢	$1,571	0x3555a4…
07-03 16:21:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,724	92¢	$2,518	0xcd70d3…
07-03 16:17:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	52	84¢	$44	0xa5a2f5…
07-03 16:15:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	22,004	100¢	$21,938	0xeb56c9…
07-03 16:13:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x19c298…
07-03 16:11:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	108	84¢	$91	0x8ebfae…
07-03 16:11:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	13,158	76¢	$10,000	0xf46b0e…
07-03 16:11:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	9,886	100¢	$9,856	0xd9e017…
07-03 16:09:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	53	84¢	$45	0xe97a2b…
07-03 16:07:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	4,463	84¢	$3,744	0xffbe57…
07-03 16:07:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	13,837	86¢	$11,965	0x9d82bb…
07-03 16:07:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	20,389	100¢	$20,327	0x960e6e…
07-02 06:33:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,935	100¢	$3,923	0x526b41…
07-01 14:12:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	5,347	91¢	$4,866	0xae05b9…
07-01 08:54:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	350	86¢	$301	0x122efe…
07-01 02:53:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xafc932…
07-01 02:52:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x74dc6c…
07-01 02:51:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xfa4375…
07-01 02:51:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	620	86¢	$534	0x5dab39…
07-01 02:49:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	700	86¢	$602	0xc128ac…
07-01 02:48:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	107	86¢	$92	0xc2511f…
07-01 02:47:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1,448	89¢	$1,289	0xb86015…
07-01 02:45:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0xf3e4bd…
07-01 02:45:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0xb01611…
07-01 02:42:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0xa77800…
07-01 02:41:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,508	100¢	$3,493	0xc30103…
07-01 02:41:08	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	660	71¢	$469	0x8b92d5…
07-01 02:40:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	6,186	90¢	$5,567	0xde026d…
07-01 02:39:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6,025	100¢	$6,004	0xad7f53…
07-01 02:38:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	979	89¢	$871	0x134c30…
07-01 02:34:53	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	467	71¢	$329	0x39d981…
07-01 02:26:38	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x4fa7a2…
07-01 02:24:14	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	461	68¢	$313	0x8c610b…
07-01 02:20:37	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0xe8a896…
07-01 02:18:58	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x586ab0…
07-01 02:18:47	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xbf1eaf…
07-01 02:18:47	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7817d6…
07-01 02:18:46	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4,990	68¢	$3,408	0xe6b25d…
07-01 02:18:46	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0xe28ab0…
07-01 02:18:46	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0x75fee8…
07-01 02:18:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,906	100¢	$5,883	0x2bcc00…
07-01 01:21:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	2,500	88¢	$2,193	0x20ce58…
07-01 01:11:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	7,988	4¢	$282	0xbc9b00…
07-01 00:01:17	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4,792	82¢	$3,929	0xc4506e…
06-30 23:47:55	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xfb7d10…
06-30 23:19:13	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x6f0b2f…
06-30 22:58:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	14	85¢	$11	0xd08300…
06-30 22:58:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe245fb…
06-30 22:58:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x82ae56…
06-30 22:58:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	2,914	85¢	$2,476	0x99031a…
06-30 22:39:53	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x7effe1…
06-30 22:35:32	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	681	95¢	$644	0xbb9349…
06-30 22:34:52	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x585e66…
06-30 22:34:50	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	1,147	91¢	$1,041	0x5ed528…
06-30 22:34:37	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	1,187	88¢	$1,045	0x1d018e…
06-30 22:30:35	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	1,202	93¢	$1,120	0x5b449b…
06-30 22:29:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x581d75…
06-30 22:29:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	3,916	60¢	$2,362	0x3b285a…
06-30 22:28:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	4,072	55¢	$2,258	0x49d3ab…
06-30 22:26:53	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	580	90¢	$522	0xb1b58c…