Emotional-Council — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$591

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

803

lifetime

Volume

$1.19M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.49K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 08-09 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 100% +$591

Other

47% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$109.8K	56,214	56,214	+0	open	—	07-03 16:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	17	$83.3K	48,394	40,208	+8,186	open	—	07-01 02:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$45.2K	23,403	23,403	+0	open	—	06-01 01:39
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	230	$43.2K	47,227	0	+47,227	open	—	01-23 01:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	5	$36.6K	19,428	19,428	-0	open	—	06-01 05:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	16	$34.4K	17,782	17,782	+0	open	—	06-15 05:43
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	11	$34.1K	18,100	18,100	+0	open	—	08-03 13:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$30.0K	30,500	0	+30,500	open	—	04-14 02:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	5	$27.5K	16,095	12,393	+3,702	open	—	08-08 02:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	17	$27.5K	19,012	10,508	+8,504	open	—	07-04 23:26
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	15	$26.5K	18,743	11,293	+7,451	open	—	07-07 07:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$26.1K	13,304	13,304	+0	open	—	05-24 12:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$23.1K	13,158	13,158	+0	open	—	07-30 08:48
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	6	$22.2K	11,340	11,340	-0	open	—	08-03 13:12
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	6	$21.8K	17,159	6,349	+10,810	open	—	08-08 03:03
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	5	$20.9K	15,814	13,519	+2,295	open	—	07-27 02:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	21	$19.3K	13,959	13,959	+0	open	—	06-12 12:04
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	9	$16.6K	8,698	8,698	+0	open	—	08-09 03:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	8	$16.5K	18,417	0	+18,417	open	—	05-11 16:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$16.4K	18,100	0	+18,100	open	—	08-08 14:03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$15.3K	18,566	0	+18,566	open	—	06-01 13:29
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$14.9K	16,915	0	+16,915	open	—	05-25 11:09
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	4	$14.5K	15,255	0	+15,255	open	—	07-16 14:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$14.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-24 06:24
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	8	$14.3K	15,155	0	+15,155	open	—	01-23 13:47
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	12	$14.3K	15,487	0	+15,487	open	—	02-11 13:52
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	7	$14.2K	15,392	0	+15,392	open	—	04-14 02:11
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$13.2K	15,904	2,000	+13,904	open	—	01-31 02:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	5	$13.0K	14,620	0	+14,620	open	—	08-09 03:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$12.9K	13,700	0	+13,700	open	—	06-01 05:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 14:15:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	1,910	95¢	$1,814	0x55998c…
08-09 14:14:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	2,659	80¢	$2,127	0x87e772…
08-09 03:47:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	9,158	95¢	$8,700	0xfb6697…
08-09 03:46:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	SELL	8,698	100¢	$8,683	0x411931…
08-08 14:03:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	4,000	91¢	$3,640	0x0b0338…
08-08 14:02:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xf77039…
08-08 13:53:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	167	96¢	$160	0x8c0db4…
08-08 13:50:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	134	96¢	$129	0x0a4412…
08-08 13:47:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	697	96¢	$669	0xdced2b…
08-08 03:04:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	5,672	90¢	$5,105	0x0872bc…
08-08 03:03:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	6,349	95¢	$6,038	0xe62daf…
08-08 02:56:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	4,200	91¢	$3,822	0xd4587e…
08-08 02:54:43	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,216	96¢	$1,166	0xd21e92…
08-08 02:54:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	916	90¢	$824	0x8aa328…
08-08 02:53:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1aa3d8…
08-08 02:53:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x188b6c…
08-08 02:53:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	3,437	80¢	$2,750	0xea0be7…
08-08 02:52:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	2,009	79¢	$1,587	0xcca7e3…
08-08 02:52:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	84	90¢	$76	0x5297e6…
08-08 02:52:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	2,430	90¢	$2,187	0x95cd68…
08-08 02:51:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	SELL	12,393	100¢	$12,338	0x19568e…
08-07 15:54:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,500	88¢	$1,320	0x65fb2c…
08-03 13:13:51	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	7,452	94¢	$7,000	0x4d60db…
08-03 13:13:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	4,476	41¢	$1,833	0x9f66b7…
08-03 13:12:59	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8,920	99¢	$8,860	0x326c32…
08-03 13:10:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	2,711	81¢	$2,193	0xf71686…
08-03 13:10:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x18ec74…
08-03 13:10:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	5,856	95¢	$5,580	0x56e7d9…
08-03 13:09:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	15,316	99¢	$15,237	0x357dbc…
08-03 13:08:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5,900	88¢	$5,184	0x0d0254…
08-03 13:06:48	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2,420	100¢	$2,417	0xf62e0d…
08-03 13:06:23	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	2,784	100¢	$2,782	0xd31575…
08-01 14:00:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6,700	94¢	$6,298	0x6d96fa…
08-01 13:56:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	3,496	87¢	$3,033	0x4f3d1d…
08-01 03:39:23	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	3,700	92¢	$3,404	0x5ae4f6…
08-01 03:36:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	5,003	92¢	$4,603	0xb02f83…
08-01 03:33:41	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	647	91¢	$588	0xc26396…
07-30 11:36:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	2,850	98¢	$2,799	0xd8962a…
07-30 11:34:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	7,883	94¢	$7,407	0x6c35bd…
07-30 08:51:59	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	416	92¢	$383	0xa80429…
07-30 08:48:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	13,158	100¢	$13,132	0xfa6981…
07-30 05:47:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1,667	48¢	$800	0x7376b3…
07-30 05:46:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	2,659	95¢	$2,526	0xf06e7e…
07-30 05:45:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	7,393	92¢	$6,802	0xa24fe9…
07-30 05:41:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	2,346	93¢	$2,182	0x54d6e6…
07-30 05:38:21	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6,495	99¢	$6,415	0x7c2f06…
07-27 02:43:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x536501…
07-27 02:43:18	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3,116	96¢	$2,981	0xdb44a1…
07-27 02:43:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2,564	95¢	$2,434	0x4e35f3…
07-27 02:42:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	8,442	50¢	$4,179	0x15fa6b…
07-27 02:41:19	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,512	88¢	$1,330	0x55ada1…
07-27 02:40:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	5,077	51¢	$2,585	0x48f62f…
07-27 02:39:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	6,647	41¢	$2,705	0x88764c…
07-24 09:05:34	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	115	92¢	$105	0x0dbb4a…
07-24 08:46:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6,647	85¢	$5,650	0x8b7fe3…
07-24 08:44:19	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,168	91¢	$1,064	0x818a86…
07-24 08:42:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5,559	97¢	$5,386	0xf9771e…
07-19 05:04:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x7e9a30…
07-19 04:08:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	9,000	91¢	$8,190	0x90dc75…
07-18 14:10:16	will 6 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228791	No	BUY	7,842	98¢	$7,685	0x46fdcd…
07-17 07:36:03	will 6 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228791	No	BUY	237	98¢	$232	0x02bcb7…
07-17 07:35:22	will 6 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228791	No	BUY	879	97¢	$855	0x208923…
07-17 01:56:45	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	781	97¢	$756	0x06b4d9…
07-16 14:32:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	5,814	86¢	$5,000	0x21c3f9…
07-16 14:31:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	5,208	96¢	$5,000	0x6c46cb…
07-16 14:29:20	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	720	97¢	$698	0xeaf7d0…
07-16 14:27:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	807	97¢	$781	0x755d03…
07-16 14:09:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	2,633	95¢	$2,501	0xc7430e…
07-16 04:11:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	6,414	95¢	$6,093	0xcd2950…
07-16 04:09:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0xdb8e89…
07-16 02:48:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	1,549	96¢	$1,488	0x575998…
07-14 05:58:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	2,808	97¢	$2,724	0xbf2f88…
07-14 05:53:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	550	94¢	$516	0x771a18…
07-14 05:52:38	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	941	92¢	$866	0xcfd8b4…
07-13 04:31:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x473de2…
07-13 04:29:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2,149	55¢	$1,182	0x4145eb…
07-12 04:01:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7,198	55¢	$3,943	0xb515a1…
07-12 04:01:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	1,604	90¢	$1,441	0x3aa17e…
07-12 00:48:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3,646	54¢	$1,980	0xe11835…
07-11 23:58:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x584be2…
07-11 23:58:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2,728	52¢	$1,418	0x1fa4fe…
07-11 23:58:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2,524	50¢	$1,273	0x8c2762…
07-08 15:07:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	5,059	83¢	$4,200	0xd87e5e…
07-08 12:53:05	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	10,148	85¢	$8,624	0x16c112…
07-07 07:42:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2,484	99¢	$2,464	0x4537f9…
07-07 07:40:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	8,037	87¢	$7,000	0x35dda9…
07-07 07:39:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xd485ec…
07-07 07:39:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x786385…
07-07 07:39:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xee4935…
07-07 07:39:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x081c8c…
07-07 07:39:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3,920	86¢	$3,371	0x90ca1a…
07-07 07:38:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8,809	99¢	$8,751	0x4ae354…
07-07 02:45:59	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	3,953	100¢	$3,935	0xc1bf62…
07-07 02:29:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	SELL	2,724	75¢	$2,048	0xb0437a…
07-04 23:26:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	4,994	100¢	$4,984	0xd6ea63…
07-04 23:25:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5,513	100¢	$5,502	0xf40c37…
07-04 04:30:17	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2,128	99¢	$2,118	0x5d0f78…
07-04 03:35:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	1,827	86¢	$1,571	0x3555a4…
07-03 16:21:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,724	92¢	$2,518	0xcd70d3…
07-03 16:17:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	52	84¢	$44	0xa5a2f5…