Emotional-Council — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$591

Unrealized P&L

+$6.65K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

641

lifetime

Volume

$736.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.15K

Open exposure

$79.4K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-29 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$591

Other

39% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+56,214	$53,708	99¢	$55.9K	+$2,196	06-24 19:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No		+23,626	$19,040	99¢	$23.5K	+$4,456	06-29 13:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	14	$67.9K	48,394	24,768	+23,626	open	—	06-29 13:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$53.7K	56,214	0	+56,214	open	—	06-24 19:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$45.2K	23,403	23,403	+0	open	—	06-01 01:39
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	230	$43.2K	47,227	0	+47,227	open	—	01-23 01:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	5	$36.6K	19,428	19,428	-0	open	—	06-01 05:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	16	$34.4K	17,782	17,782	+0	open	—	06-15 05:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$30.0K	30,500	0	+30,500	open	—	04-14 02:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$26.1K	13,304	13,304	+0	open	—	05-24 12:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	21	$19.3K	13,959	13,959	+0	open	—	06-12 12:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	8	$16.5K	18,417	0	+18,417	open	—	05-11 16:21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$15.3K	18,566	0	+18,566	open	—	06-01 13:29
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$14.9K	16,915	0	+16,915	open	—	05-25 11:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$14.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-24 06:24
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	8	$14.3K	15,155	0	+15,155	open	—	01-23 13:47
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	12	$14.3K	15,487	0	+15,487	open	—	02-11 13:52
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	7	$14.2K	15,392	0	+15,392	open	—	04-14 02:11
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$13.2K	15,904	2,000	+13,904	open	—	01-31 02:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$12.9K	13,700	0	+13,700	open	—	06-01 05:26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$11.4K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	05-24 13:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	4	$11.4K	5,948	5,948	+0	No	+$490	05-11 16:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$10.2K	13,785	0	+13,785	open	—	05-27 06:23
iran leadership change by march 31	3	$10.1K	10,878	0	+10,878	open	—	03-25 00:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$10.1K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	04-02 07:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	2	$9.4K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	06-12 13:34
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	3	$9.4K	10,342	0	+10,342	open	—	02-24 08:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$9.2K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	05-25 11:13
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$8.6K	7,000	5,000	+2,000	open	—	03-24 02:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	13	$8.5K	12,730	0	+12,730	open	—	02-24 08:47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$7.0K	7,500	0	+7,500	open	—	05-25 02:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	2	$6.9K	7,389	0	+7,389	open	—	06-08 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 13:55:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,125	99¢	$10,039	0x62431e…
06-24 21:37:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x330e12…
06-24 21:24:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0x6c8dd7…
06-24 21:09:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xc9b0e8…
06-24 21:09:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	267	25¢	$67	0xc87889…
06-24 20:43:04	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	472	25¢	$118	0x085e8d…
06-24 20:29:02	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	121	25¢	$30	0xdd4800…
06-24 19:25:37	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,747	28¢	$485	0xf75234…
06-24 19:20:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8,000	99¢	$7,888	0xba9057…
06-24 19:16:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	30,803	96¢	$29,663	0xdf185a…
06-24 19:14:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3,157	79¢	$2,498	0xb0569e…
06-24 19:14:02	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	425	92¢	$391	0x56e0e6…
06-24 19:11:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8,796	96¢	$8,458	0xa1d355…
06-23 15:57:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6,618	97¢	$6,400	0xfa5048…
06-23 01:22:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,000	94¢	$2,820	0x9cf163…
06-23 01:20:41	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,997	81¢	$2,428	0x3222be…
06-23 01:20:20	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	672	80¢	$536	0x14af2e…
06-22 17:03:02	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,343	92¢	$2,156	0xc710f5…
06-22 16:32:11	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,058	91¢	$963	0xdcbb79…
06-22 16:31:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4,544	99¢	$4,484	0x318076…
06-19 07:30:40	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,255	88¢	$1,985	0x4392c3…
06-19 07:30:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	603	76¢	$461	0xfeef77…
06-19 07:29:59	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	795	43¢	$344	0xdd39a0…
06-19 07:29:29	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,366	12¢	$280	0xe8b8db…
06-19 07:28:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6,996	91¢	$6,367	0xb506d4…
06-19 07:28:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,099	98¢	$9,922	0x8e3a71…
06-18 12:17:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,585	98¢	$4,494	0x20156e…
06-15 05:43:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	17,782	100¢	$17,765	0xdbffd1…
06-12 14:53:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	1,800	93¢	$1,674	0xbd8869…
06-12 13:39:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	133	93¢	$123	0x86b9b6…
06-12 13:39:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	201	93¢	$187	0xf67a87…
06-12 13:38:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x355e4a…
06-12 13:35:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xed4626…
06-12 13:35:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	2,669	93¢	$2,482	0x786eda…
06-12 13:35:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	169	93¢	$158	0x7387bb…
06-12 13:35:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x65e25a…
06-12 13:34:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	5,000	94¢	$4,700	0x6370a8…
06-12 12:04:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	60¢	$52	0xf620fe…
06-12 12:01:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	156	60¢	$94	0xb96dbc…
06-12 12:00:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x81c0e7…
06-12 11:59:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x930b39…
06-12 11:57:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	768	60¢	$461	0x551c69…
06-12 11:55:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	59	60¢	$36	0xbf8ee5…
06-12 11:54:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xbf4156…
06-12 11:53:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x73beae…
06-12 11:53:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	333	60¢	$200	0x3a714e…
06-12 11:51:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x133f8d…
06-12 11:50:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	333	60¢	$200	0x97a9b5…
06-12 11:50:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x6d9914…
06-12 11:47:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x717015…
06-12 11:42:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x5140f3…
06-12 11:42:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,728	60¢	$1,637	0x2e3175…
06-12 11:39:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9,184	60¢	$5,511	0xa2a4d0…
06-11 17:31:55	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,708	71¢	$1,212	0x478504…
06-11 13:32:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	2,025	95¢	$1,922	0x876328…
06-11 13:27:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	405	95¢	$384	0x26055a…
06-11 13:17:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x8bf2de…
06-11 13:14:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	755	95¢	$716	0x449df3…
06-11 13:05:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x908456…
06-11 00:17:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	4,494	94¢	$4,224	0x8ff4f2…
06-10 16:09:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	3,187	70¢	$2,231	0xc5145a…
06-10 09:29:24	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xa4369d…
06-10 05:50:25	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xa2a34d…
06-10 05:42:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	995	63¢	$627	0x51eb7a…
06-10 02:38:46	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	123	71¢	$87	0xe83544…
06-10 02:28:52	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	139	71¢	$99	0x744c0e…
06-10 02:20:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe120df…
06-10 02:08:18	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,801	71¢	$1,274	0x198f5d…
06-10 02:06:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x7db994…
06-10 01:59:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	872	65¢	$566	0x0184f2…
06-10 01:59:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	4,198	64¢	$2,675	0xcf63d3…
06-10 01:07:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	5,000	95¢	$4,736	0x08de6c…
06-10 01:00:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,599	0x1acd3c…
06-08 07:49:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	3,663	96¢	$3,505	0xfdfcf0…
06-05 23:17:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,450	89¢	$1,290	0x44aba1…
06-05 23:15:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	3,726	92¢	$3,428	0xb9110c…
06-01 13:35:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,800	79¢	$4,582	0x20df99…
06-01 13:34:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x95c3d1…
06-01 13:34:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x51ea69…
06-01 13:34:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8,097	78¢	$6,315	0x3cafc0…
06-01 13:34:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x361fb2…
06-01 13:33:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	260	95¢	$247	0x579892…
06-01 13:30:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	4,459	95¢	$4,236	0xc5c60f…
06-01 13:29:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	11,512	83¢	$9,555	0xe25024…
06-01 13:28:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	7,055	82¢	$5,785	0x18670d…
06-01 05:26:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	13,700	94¢	$12,878	0x1028ad…
06-01 05:23:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,481	89¢	$6,658	0x316380…
06-01 05:23:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19,428	100¢	$19,409	0x15c7ba…
06-01 05:22:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8,000	88¢	$7,040	0x92448e…
06-01 01:41:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x042ee4…
06-01 01:41:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x21abcb…
06-01 01:41:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x99065c…
06-01 01:41:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6,677	86¢	$5,742	0x8baa27…
06-01 01:40:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	138	85¢	$117	0x8f96a8…
06-01 01:39:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	12,404	100¢	$12,379	0x4b44d3…
06-01 01:37:59	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12,049	85¢	$10,242	0xd08b34…
06-01 01:37:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10,999	100¢	$10,977	0x476f87…
05-27 06:23:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,650	75¢	$2,738	0x858d54…
05-27 06:21:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,000	91¢	$7,254	0xb7333d…
05-27 01:57:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5,607	98¢	$5,495	0x3b0243…