Waterlogged-Margarine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.3%

Resolved

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$6.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-17 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$200	336	+336	open	—	05-14 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$200	232	+232	open	—	05-14 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$170	314	+314	open	—	05-14 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$160	166	+166	open	—	05-15 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$160	166	+166	open	—	05-15 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$150	161	+161	open	—	05-14 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$150	305	+305	open	—	05-14 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$150	193	+193	open	—	05-14 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$150	176	+176	open	—	05-15 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$140	159	+159	open	—	05-15 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$140	143	+143	open	—	05-14 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$136	718	+718	open	—	05-16 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$126	186	+186	open	—	05-14 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$120	149	+149	open	—	05-15 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$120	131	+131	open	—	05-15 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$110	118	+118	open	—	05-15 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$100	111	+111	open	—	05-14 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$100	121	+121	open	—	05-14 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$100	112	+112	open	—	05-14 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$100	115	+115	open	—	05-14 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$100	115	+115	open	—	05-14 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$100	120	+120	open	—	05-15 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$100	108	+108	open	—	05-14 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$100	105	+105	open	—	05-15 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$95	151	+151	open	—	05-14 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$90	94	+94	open	—	05-14 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$90	123	+123	open	—	05-14 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$90	96	+96	open	—	05-14 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$90	98	+98	open	—	05-14 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$90	95	+95	open	—	05-14 22:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 12:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x033e5a…
05-17 12:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4c7e91…
05-17 12:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x05b473…
05-17 12:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1e6cb1…
05-17 12:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6d9bde…
05-17 12:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4293d6…
05-17 12:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb1d5c3…
05-17 12:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xedcef8…
05-17 12:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb52e7d…
05-17 12:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xe5c74b…
05-17 12:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x74ff36…
05-17 12:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xcb931c…
05-17 12:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x303ef9…
05-17 12:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x2bf075…
05-17 11:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x66df8f…
05-17 11:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0x295056…
05-17 11:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x0ff73a…
05-17 11:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xe80fcb…
05-17 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xd76426…
05-17 11:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x83e615…
05-17 11:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xd9449e…
05-17 06:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9e7c9f…
05-17 06:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xc67dc0…
05-17 06:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x103da5…
05-17 06:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xa1b5fc…
05-17 06:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x6d8b5f…
05-17 06:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xf43c3c…
05-17 06:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2c0e16…
05-16 22:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x80eabc…
05-16 22:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa1040f…
05-16 22:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x8bf2c7…
05-16 21:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x2c4980…
05-16 21:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	175	11¢	$20	0xde2212…
05-16 21:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	230	11¢	$25	0xbadbc4…
05-16 21:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	233	9¢	$20	0x28fd71…
05-16 21:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0x741b6c…
05-15 17:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x424718…
05-15 17:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x7b3e21…
05-15 17:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xbe8684…
05-15 17:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xecb674…
05-15 17:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x0d5224…
05-15 17:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0x3d449b…
05-15 17:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xcef618…
05-15 17:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0x1eeec0…
05-15 17:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x6be7c3…
05-15 17:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xc718f4…
05-15 16:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xa672d2…
05-15 16:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x169564…
05-15 16:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0xbaf57f…
05-15 16:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x00071d…
05-15 16:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xf0988a…
05-15 16:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x498b7f…
05-15 16:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x4a17b0…
05-15 16:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x8b79ab…
05-15 16:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0xf00ba0…
05-15 10:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	84¢	$40	0x3bfbbb…
05-15 10:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	166	96¢	$160	0xab5db8…
05-15 10:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x38f1c4…
05-15 10:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x58a587…
05-15 10:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x981443…
05-15 10:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x8b741e…
05-15 10:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xded8b2…
05-15 10:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xbc8505…
05-15 08:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	159	88¢	$140	0xe73727…
05-15 07:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x7aafcc…
05-14 23:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xa60711…
05-14 23:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x7d92ec…
05-14 23:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x47d9ab…
05-14 23:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x9c0cab…
05-14 22:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x8ef386…
05-14 22:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x8c7c77…
05-14 22:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x359363…
05-14 22:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0x6f04f5…
05-14 22:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	151	13¢	$20	0x021b61…
05-14 22:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x4ec70f…
05-14 22:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xcf77fb…
05-14 22:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4dc1f1…
05-14 22:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x94ca22…
05-14 22:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xb7c4f5…
05-14 22:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xf0d9d3…
05-14 22:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x691d43…
05-14 21:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x74881f…
05-14 21:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x03d546…
05-14 21:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x69e9e4…
05-14 21:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xd8e7a2…
05-14 21:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xfe2cad…
05-14 21:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x42d708…
05-14 21:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x9dafe9…
05-14 21:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	74	94¢	$70	0xdb7e4b…
05-14 21:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	161	93¢	$150	0x02297b…
05-14 20:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x25a45b…
05-14 20:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x35386a…
05-14 20:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x73b881…
05-14 17:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf3d254…
05-14 17:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd2c605…
05-14 17:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xe86036…
05-14 16:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xbc569f…
05-14 16:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xe40359…
05-14 16:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xeff24d…
05-14 16:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xe1b214…