Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$408

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

233

Trades

2,226

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-06 19:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 46% -$62

Politics

38% 57% +$492

Other

2% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$2.0K	1,087	1,087	+0	Yes	+$174	10-29 09:21
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	10	$872	575	575	+0	Bibi	+$266	10-29 09:13
bitcoin up or down february 7 8am et	86	$383	275	275	+0	Up	-$4	02-07 13:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$331	465	465	+0	open	—	10-29 22:28
will israel strike lebanon on february 11 2026	18	$293	194	194	+0	No	-$7	02-12 08:57
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	4	$283	147	147	+0	Yes	+$4	03-05 11:18
bitcoin up or down february 7 4am et	61	$266	195	195	+0	Down	-$4	02-07 09:34
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	2	$261	166	166	+0	Yes	-$22	03-05 18:45
bitcoin up or down february 15 7am et	52	$258	176	176	+0	Down	-$2	02-15 12:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	11	$250	300	0	+300	Yes	+$50	11-02 00:20
bitcoin up or down february 16 8am et	44	$231	177	177	+0	Down	-$3	02-16 13:13
bitcoin up or down february 7 1pm et	46	$205	147	147	+0	Up	-$2	02-07 18:30
bitcoin up or down february 16 7am et	36	$183	132	132	+0	Up	-$1	02-16 12:26
bitcoin up or down february 18 4am et	21	$168	167	83	+83	Up	-$1	02-18 10:00
will israel strike gaza on february 11 2026	16	$152	101	101	+0	No	-$2	02-13 00:03
bitcoin up or down february 7 6am et	34	$150	107	107	+0	Down	-$3	02-07 11:58
bitcoin up or down february 6 4pm et	39	$149	98	97	+1	Up	-$3	02-06 21:37
bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	30	$149	113	113	+0	Down	-$1	02-15 13:15
bitcoin up or down february 8 7am et	38	$148	120	120	+0	Up	-$4	02-08 12:47
bitcoin up or down february 7 10am et	32	$143	90	90	+0	Up	-$1	02-07 15:21
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:00 UTC	37	$142	109	107	+2	Down	-$1	02-06 20:15
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	2	$138	74	74	+0	Yes	+$9	03-02 14:45
bitcoin up or down february 8 1pm et	36	$133	92	92	+0	Up	-$1	02-08 18:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 17:30 UTC	26	$131	88	87	+1	Down	+$2	02-14 17:46
bitcoin up or down february 15 3pm et	26	$131	97	97	+0	Up	-$2	02-15 20:24
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	2	$122	65	65	+0	Yes	+$5	03-05 11:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 19:00 UTC	32	$122	98	95	+3	Up	-$4	02-06 19:14
will israel strike lebanon on february 13 2026	8	$121	72	72	+0	No	+$1	02-14 10:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$115	65	65	+0	Yes	+$15	03-01 07:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 17:00 UTC	23	$114	78	71	+6	Up	-$1	02-14 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 19:36:36	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0xfebbed…
11-02 00:20:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0x00afa6…
11-02 00:18:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x6fe567…
11-02 00:07:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3a4722…
11-02 00:07:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x252c9b…
11-02 00:06:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xf6f437…
11-02 00:06:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xcf22e7…
11-01 23:36:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xf6bd5e…
11-01 23:33:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x58c2f1…
11-01 23:27:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xc28b09…
11-01 22:26:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0x514a49…
11-01 21:36:28	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x09e259…
10-29 22:28:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	402	40¢	$161	0x0c16b1…
10-29 22:12:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	63	43¢	$27	0x4434c2…
10-29 09:21:52	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,080	99¢	$1,067	0xb21c37…
10-29 09:16:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe33c8c…
10-29 09:13:07	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	575	99¢	$569	0x939e7c…
10-28 00:03:08	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	80	84¢	$67	0x42eac6…
10-27 22:44:33	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x4f8e8b…
10-27 22:39:51	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x85b5d3…
10-27 22:35:32	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x23680e…
10-27 20:49:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xef8a5f…
10-27 20:39:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0x25f473…
10-27 20:38:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0x906492…
10-22 11:29:51	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	357	44¢	$157	0x0cc28e…
10-17 16:13:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	66	27¢	$18	0x4a8229…
10-16 07:16:24	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x5dcc28…
10-15 18:55:37	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x9b4ce1…
10-15 18:33:20	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xd47f40…
10-15 18:32:22	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x3b3e7b…
10-15 18:30:44	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x26c73c…
10-15 12:50:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	120	27¢	$32	0x80554b…
10-10 04:04:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	67	35¢	$23	0xf442d8…
09-11 06:37:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xd32c60…
08-05 09:14:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe5b6da…
07-21 17:42:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xc6fa59…
03-05 18:45:41	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	166	72¢	$120	0x3f92d6…
03-05 11:20:37	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	BUY	166	85¢	$141	0x22043c…
03-05 11:18:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0x7d3d88…
03-05 11:18:35	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x626a71…
03-05 11:12:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	Yes	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x21abd1…
03-04 22:04:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xdc53cb…
03-02 14:52:55	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0x244922…
03-02 14:45:27	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0xdf69fa…
03-02 12:44:03	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	65	90¢	$58	0x6b0538…
03-02 01:59:41	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0x2c1014…
03-01 07:07:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	74	87¢	$65	0x9893d7…
03-01 07:05:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x82693f…
02-28 16:51:03	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	59	89¢	$53	0xf1985e…
02-28 13:55:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x2aead8…
02-28 13:45:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x078824…
02-28 10:11:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5d6393…
02-28 06:18:09	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0xf03177…
02-27 16:18:45	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	65¢	$30	0x35d59c…
02-27 15:04:29	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x29eadc…
02-27 11:48:27	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x9ab560…
02-24 22:29:58	will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xba9aed…
02-24 22:29:40	will trump say drill baby drill during the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x45fa5f…
02-18 12:04:10	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe76017…
02-18 12:04:10	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x1a00a3…
02-18 12:04:04	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9db7ce…
02-18 12:03:58	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf213e6…
02-18 12:03:28	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2389c6…
02-18 12:03:24	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x45c7ad…
02-18 12:02:58	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf10de8…
02-18 12:02:58	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe0c41d…
02-18 12:02:46	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3e4759…
02-18 12:02:46	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x09cf0d…
02-18 12:02:40	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x946158…
02-18 12:02:40	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x67af99…
02-18 12:02:20	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb2480e…
02-18 12:02:14	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8f8bf7…
02-18 12:02:10	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x205483…
02-18 12:02:06	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x15087a…
02-18 12:02:02	bitcoin up or down february 18 5am et	Down	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x073231…
02-18 12:01:54	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb326da…
02-18 12:01:54	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x912cd6…
02-18 12:01:52	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa17b21…
02-18 12:01:52	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2bca59…
02-18 12:01:40	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9f8053…
02-18 12:01:34	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x85854c…
02-18 12:01:28	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc23a47…
02-18 12:01:26	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xcc9c01…
02-18 12:01:20	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd90eb0…
02-18 12:01:08	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x862b35…
02-18 12:01:00	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfb9cf4…
02-18 12:01:00	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x358295…
02-18 12:00:58	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x806e7d…
02-18 12:00:56	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe4ef89…
02-18 12:00:48	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6c594b…
02-18 12:00:24	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8d8266…
02-18 12:00:16	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7cf0c2…
02-18 11:59:00	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2aa099…
02-18 11:53:46	xrp up or down february 18 5am et	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x452e1f…
02-18 10:28:00	xrp up or down february 18 5am et	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xcb4d10…
02-18 10:27:58	xrp up or down february 18 5am et	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xff89c1…
02-18 10:27:24	xrp up or down february 18 5am et	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xeeb365…
02-18 10:27:24	xrp up or down february 18 5am et	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xb6c918…
02-18 10:27:20	xrp up or down february 18 5am et	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xfdf0b6…
02-18 10:27:18	xrp up or down february 18 5am et	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x845018…