Humble-Heating — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

3,511

Trades

5,716

lifetime

Volume

$1.55M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$271

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 11-07 19:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 192 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 60% -$30,304

Other

2% 31% +$1,370

Sports

0% 0% -$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:35 UTC	6	$7.1K	5,544	3,734	+1,810	Down	-$2,412	03-30 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:30 UTC	4	$6.5K	3,590	3,555	+35	Down	+$555	03-30 11:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:15 UTC	8	$6.3K	3,191	3,186	+5	Down	+$32	03-30 11:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 12:45 UTC	4	$6.2K	3,735	3,669	+66	Down	+$540	04-22 12:48
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	4	$5.8K	3,456	3,456	+0	Yes	+$1,007	06-11 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 12:30 UTC	5	$5.7K	4,161	4,009	+152	Up	+$1,746	04-22 12:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:20 UTC	3	$5.4K	3,120	3,079	+41	Up	+$711	03-30 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:45 UTC	3	$4.9K	2,625	2,606	+19	Up	+$299	03-30 11:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 01:35 UTC	5	$4.8K	3,342	3,221	+121	Up	+$1,651	04-20 01:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:15 UTC	4	$4.7K	3,119	3,119	+0	Up	+$1,342	08-20 05:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 04:00 UTC	3	$4.5K	2,990	2,990	+0	Up	+$1,460	08-20 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 04:35 UTC	3	$4.4K	2,972	2,972	+0	Up	+$1,442	08-20 04:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 02:25 UTC	3	$4.4K	3,121	2,996	+125	Up	+$1,704	04-20 02:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 08:10 UTC	3	$4.3K	2,920	2,817	+102	Down	+$1,392	04-21 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:40 UTC	4	$4.2K	2,375	2,349	+26	Up	+$445	03-30 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:20 UTC	3	$4.2K	2,735	2,735	+0	Up	+$1,207	08-20 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:40 UTC	3	$4.0K	3,137	3,137	+0	Down	+$2,175	08-21 06:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:45 UTC	2	$4.0K	2,178	2,156	+22	Up	+$262	04-19 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 07:40 UTC	4	$4.0K	2,326	2,287	+39	Up	+$437	04-21 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$3.9K	2,694	2,694	+0	Down	+$1,467	05-04 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 12:30 UTC	6	$3.8K	3,289	3,139	+150	Down	+$1,543	04-20 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:05 UTC	3	$3.8K	2,293	2,293	+0	Up	+$770	08-20 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$3.5K	1,993	1,993	+0	Up	+$473	10-29 09:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:40 UTC	3	$3.4K	2,283	2,283	+0	Up	+$1,077	08-20 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 14:15 UTC	4	$3.4K	2,417	2,323	+94	Up	+$1,280	04-19 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:00 UTC	4	$3.3K	2,411	2,314	+97	Down	+$1,330	04-22 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$3.3K	2,270	2,270	+0	Down	+$988	09-18 15:32
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	2	$3.3K	2,424	2,424	+0	Yes	+$1,479	06-12 03:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 00:40 UTC	3	$3.2K	1,853	1,822	+32	Up	+$422	04-20 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:55 UTC	3	$3.2K	2,006	2,006	+0	Up	+$786	09-18 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 19:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xc7ed31…
11-07 00:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x8cf8e9…
11-07 00:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd8d60e…
11-07 00:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xe6aecf…
11-06 17:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	70¢	$87	0x3f2f1c…
11-06 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x032f13…
11-06 16:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0x0932bd…
11-06 16:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xfd257b…
11-06 16:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x79fb91…
11-06 16:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	61	4¢	$2	0xb1e00b…
11-06 16:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	61	57¢	$35	0x68ec96…
11-06 16:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xc23cf5…
11-06 16:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	76	83¢	$63	0x93ddf6…
11-06 16:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x188337…
11-06 16:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	63	87¢	$55	0x52bf8e…
11-06 16:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0xae6d92…
11-06 16:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x5e4925…
11-06 16:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x33b9e0…
11-06 16:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	48	55¢	$27	0x3d782f…
11-06 16:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	143	51¢	$73	0x550d1e…
11-06 16:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xf53dac…
11-06 16:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	103	71¢	$73	0x8daae1…
11-06 15:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xd51f61…
11-06 12:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x66437b…
11-06 12:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	122	51¢	$62	0x79c80a…
11-06 11:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	192	51¢	$98	0x590234…
11-06 11:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0xd6d88d…
11-06 11:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	146	67¢	$98	0xf78be4…
11-06 11:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x382408…
11-06 11:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	108	91¢	$98	0x77ccba…
11-06 11:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	153	99¢	$152	0x61cb60…
11-06 11:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	153	64¢	$98	0x848077…
11-06 11:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x309620…
11-06 11:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	115	85¢	$98	0x10fe91…
11-06 11:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	120	99¢	$118	0xa6a24d…
11-06 11:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	120	82¢	$98	0x0c5512…
11-06 11:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0x0e5dd9…
11-06 10:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	153	99¢	$152	0x85dcbb…
11-06 10:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	153	64¢	$98	0x3f6889…
11-06 10:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0x8a252c…
11-06 10:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	99	75¢	$74	0x422992…
11-06 10:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x705025…
11-06 10:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0x0a0772…
11-06 10:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0x45d6bc…
11-06 10:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	72	76¢	$55	0x4b0547…
11-06 10:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0x950b0e…
11-06 10:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	87	83¢	$72	0x06ebfe…
11-06 10:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x142e3e…
11-06 10:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0x4fe0a3…
11-06 10:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0xe3f95a…
11-06 10:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	59	76¢	$45	0x6dc83d…
11-06 10:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	118	83¢	$98	0x65562b…
11-06 09:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	93	72¢	$67	0xbf9d41…
11-06 09:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	146	67¢	$98	0x3b566c…
11-06 09:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	125	78¢	$98	0x8e13a9…
11-06 08:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	82	88¢	$72	0x81bbc2…
11-06 08:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x683b39…
11-06 08:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x68d19f…
11-06 08:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x49ca02…
11-06 08:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	72	89¢	$64	0x9a04a8…
11-06 08:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0xcd68bc…
11-06 08:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xaf1e1c…
11-06 08:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0xe595aa…
11-06 08:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xe7376a…
11-06 08:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xadf4d5…
11-06 08:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x8711cb…
11-06 08:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	55	77¢	$42	0x214bbd…
11-06 08:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0x0cce7e…
11-06 08:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x08597e…
11-06 08:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x736f16…
11-06 08:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	162	99¢	$161	0xae13b6…
11-06 08:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	162	71¢	$115	0xc3958f…
11-06 07:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	121	98¢	$119	0x091389…
11-06 07:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	121	78¢	$94	0x7cc35c…
11-06 07:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x9bd899…
11-06 07:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	86	89¢	$76	0x63ba0b…
11-06 07:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	86	85¢	$73	0xfc3e25…
11-06 07:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xdf92be…
11-06 07:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	68¢	$48	0xef1e30…
11-06 06:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x49d254…
11-06 06:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	52	85¢	$44	0x7865e3…
11-06 06:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x80f97b…
11-06 06:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xa8fd6b…
11-06 01:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xccbd78…
11-06 01:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0x997052…
11-06 01:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xe9da3a…
11-06 01:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x9db865…
11-06 01:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xca4139…
11-06 01:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0xd1805a…
11-06 01:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xed9d40…
11-06 01:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xe90686…
11-06 01:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x83eb76…
11-06 01:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x196fcd…
11-06 01:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa19a91…
11-06 01:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x8a77a5…
11-06 01:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xf59a49…
11-06 01:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$18	0xbd4f8c…
11-06 01:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0xc6d880…
11-06 01:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x0196b2…
11-06 00:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x86d365…