Peppery-Rug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$882

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

471

Trades

1,157

lifetime

Volume

$51.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$227

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 10-30 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Other

80% 71% +$457

Sports

9% 72% +$306

Crypto

6% 73% +$54

Politics

4% 83% +$63

Tech

1% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+100	$91	94¢	$94	+$2	10-09 23:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+100	$93	94¢	$94	+$0	10-29 15:07
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+100	$32	40¢	$40	+$7	10-29 14:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	5	$924	730	552	+179	open	—	10-25 09:57
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	4	$890	450	450	+0	No	+$9	10-21 06:54
Will the Chicago Blackhawks make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	3	$743	420	420	+0	open	—	10-22 05:18
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	4	$600	500	500	+0	Yes	-$70	07-26 23:27
Will Clayton Keller record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	8	$599	427	427	+0	open	—	10-27 09:24
Will Alexander Ovechkin record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	5	$533	312	312	+0	open	—	10-28 08:24
will bitcoin reach 79k on september 15 2026	6	$473	250	250	+0	No	+$24	09-15 21:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$469	250	250	+0	Yes	+$6	10-28 08:30
will bitcoin reach 65k on august 19 2026	4	$465	335	335	+0	Yes	-$36	08-19 07:27
Will Lane Hutson record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	9	$429	452	452	+0	open	—	10-24 10:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	7	$428	300	300	+0	No	+$66	05-29 20:58
Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	2	$420	250	250	+0	Alexander Zverev	-$35	10-27 18:31
Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	2	$403	250	250	+0	Oklahoma State	-$67	09-12 18:29
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 14?	8	$387	210	210	+0	Yes	+$24	09-14 19:43
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	4	$386	250	250	+0	No	+$34	06-16 22:18
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	6	$384	300	300	+0	open	—	10-26 23:38
atp tiafoe atmane 2026 06 29	3	$375	200	200	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$17	06-30 19:30
will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	3	$355	250	250	+0	No	+$10	08-07 20:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	5	$348	200	200	+0	No	+$26	05-29 21:00
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	26	$338	201	201	+0	open	—	10-02 12:44
Will Tim Stutzle record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	5	$329	240	240	+0	open	—	10-18 06:57
will bitcoin reach 65k on august 11	6	$327	172	172	+0	No	+$15	08-11 23:16
Will Alex DeBrincat record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	8	$324	360	360	+0	open	—	10-11 18:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	4	$318	200	200	+0	open	—	06-16 13:48
Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	11	$316	255	255	+0	open	—	09-05 22:19
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	5	$316	200	200	+0	open	—	10-06 21:06
will juraj slafkovsky record 80 points in the 2026 27 regular season	5	$310	200	200	+0	open	—	10-21 13:21
wti up or down on april 23 2026	6	$306	198	196	+3	Up	+$51	04-23 19:36
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?	3	$296	150	150	+0	No	+$4	07-19 18:36
will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	5	$281	200	103	+97	No	+$6	06-12 11:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:42:55	Will Mark Scheifele record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	220	49¢	$107	0x37cdda…
10-29 17:51:02	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Novak Djokovic	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x88bb9f…
10-29 15:07:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x0b3a89…
10-29 14:37:32	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x6ccae3…
10-29 14:33:01	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xe1b720…
10-29 13:45:43	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xac4980…
10-28 08:30:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	95¢	$238	0xa1a6ef…
10-28 08:24:53	Will Alexander Ovechkin record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	152	89¢	$136	0xb2fa46…
10-28 08:23:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	153	17¢	$26	0xa9193e…
10-28 08:12:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	97	11¢	$11	0x0b02e9…
10-28 08:11:13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	83	18¢	$15	0xf01de1…
10-27 22:47:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	85¢	$212	0x047aef…
10-27 22:47:21	Swiss Indoors Basel: Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7d0501…
10-27 22:22:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x06d5aa…
10-27 19:56:54	Swiss Indoors Basel: Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xec7628…
10-27 19:18:30	Will Jake Guentzel record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	70	47¢	$33	0x054bac…
10-27 18:31:17	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	SELL	250	77¢	$192	0xea004a…
10-27 17:08:09	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	BUY	250	91¢	$228	0x49fca6…
10-27 16:27:09	Will Jake Guentzel record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	112	58¢	$65	0x5a8123…
10-27 14:57:29	Will Mark Scheifele record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x32c107…
10-27 12:26:47	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Tommy Paul	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x723a9e…
10-27 11:10:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	93¢	$232	0x2b4104…
10-27 09:24:29	Will Clayton Keller record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	189	76¢	$144	0x58b4ed…
10-26 23:58:48	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	263	72¢	$189	0x84153f…
10-26 23:38:59	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x756976…
10-26 21:48:53	Will Alexander Ovechkin record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	60	82¢	$50	0xc6cea8…
10-26 19:05:45	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5)	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xa55ca3…
10-26 19:00:35	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5)	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3864d1…
10-26 19:00:32	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5)	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0xb642ed…
10-26 19:00:32	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5)	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x076337…
10-26 17:44:45	Will Alexander Ovechkin record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	140	92¢	$129	0x9d6323…
10-26 16:41:23	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer	Jakub Mensik	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x31698a…
10-26 14:50:20	Will Mark Scheifele record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x27455a…
10-26 14:23:59	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xc1c8ca…
10-26 11:52:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x74e37d…
10-26 11:10:12	Swiss Indoors Basel: Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x3a0221…
10-26 02:11:56	Will Mark Scheifele record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xf62487…
10-26 02:08:38	Will Mark Scheifele record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	280	38¢	$105	0xb78f17…
10-25 22:39:26	Will Alexander Ovechkin record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x634222…
10-25 21:38:41	Will Alexander Ovechkin record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	252	79¢	$199	0xff1d40…
10-25 18:54:18	Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	150	87¢	$130	0xbb7bb8…
10-25 18:15:27	Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x70a61e…
10-25 15:58:42	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x8cfb19…
10-25 15:57:44	Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x867701…
10-25 15:21:48	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x60cfe9…
10-25 13:49:20	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x9ff5e0…
10-25 13:43:09	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xc3a718…
10-25 11:06:06	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x58b031…
10-25 10:37:51	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x152338…
10-25 09:57:12	Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	540	76¢	$412	0xb9e6b7…
10-24 18:11:29	Will Jake Guentzel record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0x04f24e…
10-24 17:00:32	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xacc79e…
10-24 15:53:17	Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)	Miami (FL)	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xfba3bc…
10-24 14:18:24	Spread: Texas Tech (-10.5)	Texas Tech	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x6d7c38…
10-24 13:55:12	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Everton FC	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x910d49…
10-24 12:48:57	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	US Sassuolo Calcio	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0x4fbe2b…
10-24 12:45:26	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	US Sassuolo Calcio	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xada351…
10-24 12:38:00	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	US Sassuolo Calcio	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x2cc8b5…
10-24 12:35:33	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	US Sassuolo Calcio	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x92b46d…
10-24 11:26:57	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xac3a8b…
10-24 10:10:30	Will Lane Hutson record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	124	40¢	$49	0x999f13…
10-23 13:27:39	Will Lane Hutson record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xf142b8…
10-22 16:25:08	Will Nick Suzuki record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	80	15¢	$12	0x172a13…
10-22 12:11:05	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0xacb51d…
10-22 09:25:30	Will Jake Guentzel record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9dfdc5…
10-22 09:24:57	Will Jake Guentzel record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x9d2692…
10-22 05:28:47	Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x98a721…
10-22 05:21:12	Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	170	70¢	$119	0xa7349c…
10-22 05:20:42	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x5776cf…
10-22 05:18:59	Will the Chicago Blackhawks make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	SELL	86	89¢	$76	0x0d1fc4…
10-22 05:17:50	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x9d5b60…
10-22 05:17:17	Will Mikko Rantanen record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0x194374…
10-21 21:34:17	Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x2e02fc…
10-21 20:56:57	Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	460	68¢	$313	0x753f2e…
10-21 20:42:20	Will Mikko Rantanen record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	62	69¢	$43	0xc092d2…
10-21 17:59:12	Will Mikko Rantanen record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xe49be1…
10-21 16:37:11	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xab3b56…
10-21 16:04:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x4131fb…
10-21 15:08:32	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK end in a draw?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x147dd1…
10-21 14:34:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x52eb76…
10-21 14:10:20	Will Nick Suzuki record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xce82ee…
10-21 14:07:29	Will Mikko Rantanen record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	SELL	42	70¢	$30	0xe96052…
10-21 13:21:41	Will Juraj Slafkovsky record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0xe99f3d…
10-21 10:45:05	Will Mikko Rantanen record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	215	59¢	$127	0x501864…
10-21 07:35:29	Will Lane Hutson record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa0ac50…
10-21 07:34:11	Will Lane Hutson record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	BUY	84	23¢	$20	0xdb20dd…
10-21 07:12:27	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	184	68¢	$125	0x04d16b…
10-21 06:54:26	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	No	SELL	450	100¢	$450	0x8a633a…
10-20 04:54:42	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xaec5bd…
10-19 17:35:29	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x103819…
10-19 17:35:02	Will the Chicago Blackhawks make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	SELL	334	90¢	$301	0x1d7478…
10-19 17:27:54	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x38f57d…
10-19 15:57:30	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x42ec83…
10-19 09:30:29	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xf288ab…
10-19 09:15:17	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x84693c…
10-19 06:32:38	Almaty Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Acosta	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x181b44…
10-18 14:59:15	Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x8bd775…
10-18 14:04:29	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x82beb7…
10-18 12:57:29	Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xdb687b…
10-18 12:57:29	Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x54afaa…