Rough-Contention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.84K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

288

Trades

850

lifetime

Volume

$51.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-26 14:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

99% 93% +$1,828

Tech

1% 50% +$5

Crypto

0% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No		+40	$40	100¢	$40	+$0	10-26 14:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?	2	$3.7K	3,883	0	+3,883	No	+$194	05-31 03:50
will nvda dip to 160 in july 2026	16	$2.2K	2,312	0	+2,312	No	+$142	07-03 21:41
will nvda dip to 152 in march	16	$1.9K	2,139	0	+2,139	No	+$268	03-23 20:03
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?	12	$1.6K	1,736	0	+1,736	No	+$134	05-08 13:42
googl close above 350 on february 2 2026	16	$1.5K	765	775	-10	No	+$66	02-02 23:20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September?	8	$1.3K	1,362	0	+1,362	No	+$15	09-05 13:16
will aapl dip to 232 in february	20	$1.3K	967	416	+551	No	+$76	02-20 14:39
will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	3	$1.1K	1,162	0	+1,162	No	+$58	07-01 15:06
nvda above 160 on august 31 2026	5	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	Yes	+$15	08-03 19:41
aapl above 230 on march 31 2026	8	$989	584	491	+93	Yes	+$10	03-30 16:28
nvda close above 200 on february 2 2026	3	$987	500	500	+0	No	+$7	02-02 20:52
nvda above 150 on march 31 2026	7	$973	715	308	+407	Yes	+$38	03-23 19:46
nvda close above 190 on march 2 2026	3	$755	763	0	+763	No	+$8	03-02 03:44
nvda close above 170 on march 23 2026	11	$740	377	377	+0	Yes	+$9	03-23 20:00
Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in April?	19	$662	512	185	+327	No	+$12	04-24 04:37
Will Apple dip to $200 in April?	8	$615	362	265	+97	No	+$8	04-24 04:28
Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in April?	15	$606	516	481	+35	No	-$96	04-13 20:56
googl close above 315 on february 10 2026	13	$598	390	290	+100	Yes	+$36	02-10 17:41
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of April?	14	$591	605	0	+605	Yes	+$15	04-24 04:38
nvda above 160 on march 6 2026	5	$587	604	0	+604	Yes	+$17	03-03 02:09
aapl close above 280 on march 2 2026	4	$587	384	209	+175	No	+$2	03-02 16:09
googl close above 345 on february 2 2026	11	$554	664	0	+664	No	+$110	02-02 20:54
nvda above 160 on march 31 2026	12	$545	324	300	+24	Yes	+$13	03-30 17:28
googl above 260 on march 31 2026	6	$538	293	282	+11	Yes	+$11	03-23 19:57
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?	7	$534	543	0	+543	open	—	10-16 17:16
will nvda close below 170 week february 6 2026	8	$459	458	42	+416	No	+$36	02-06 14:48
aapl close above 275 on february 10 2026	4	$449	459	0	+459	No	+$10	02-10 20:59
nvda close above 195 on march 9 2026	3	$419	424	0	+424	No	+$5	03-07 02:41
Will NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?	9	$410	433	20	+413	No	+$43	04-24 04:36
will nvda dip to 168 in august 2026	4	$404	453	0	+453	No	+$49	08-01 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:41:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb5e38d…
10-26 05:47:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xacce09…
10-26 05:45:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in November?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe2197b…
10-26 05:45:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in November?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x4e1014…
10-26 05:44:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xba782d…
10-26 05:40:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa2c3be…
10-26 05:31:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in November?	No	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x010dc3…
10-26 05:31:05	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in November?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x6417e1…
10-26 05:30:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in November?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xbff05e…
10-26 05:30:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in November?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x29ed27…
10-22 13:30:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xea8207…
10-22 13:29:57	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x3d66ec…
10-22 13:29:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb32958…
10-22 13:29:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x78fab8…
10-16 17:16:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xf20473…
10-16 16:24:28	will nvda dip to 208 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8d7a16…
10-16 16:11:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x2067a0…
10-16 16:09:48	will nvda dip to 208 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb093df…
10-16 16:05:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x6ad6bf…
10-16 16:05:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x8aae31…
10-15 18:54:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?	No	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x1f8766…
10-15 18:52:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x44ed30…
09-28 05:20:11	will nvda dip to 176 in october 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5080ee…
09-25 19:32:09	will nvda dip to 176 in october 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4d971e…
09-05 13:16:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xaf750e…
09-03 11:31:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7444e5…
09-03 02:53:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5b891c…
09-03 02:45:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x374c28…
09-03 02:45:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xedd446…
09-03 02:44:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of September?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3cec4c…
09-03 02:44:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of September?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xde7e4b…
09-03 02:40:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x251032…
09-03 02:40:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0xf719f4…
09-03 02:40:01	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x4bec4a…
09-03 02:39:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September?	No	BUY	305	99¢	$302	0x631c08…
09-03 02:39:01	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in September?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x39cd60…
09-03 02:38:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0c467c…
08-07 21:24:07	will xauusd dip to 3700 in august 2026	No	BUY	350	99¢	$345	0x0b17d6…
08-07 21:23:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x73750d…
08-05 15:32:48	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0xf46dc9…
08-05 15:32:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xad8c5d…
08-05 15:30:44	will nvda dip to 176 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x63d26d…
08-05 15:28:06	will xauusd dip to 3800 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x08c7f0…
08-05 15:27:57	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x03ac7a…
08-05 15:21:11	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb78e1e…
08-05 15:20:54	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9fb3c3…
08-05 15:20:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x5f4b3b…
08-05 15:02:42	aapl above 340 on august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa79920…
08-05 15:01:42	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 end of August?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x9fdb9d…
08-03 19:41:11	nvda above 160 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfa754a…
08-03 17:29:29	nvda above 160 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$986	0xba45b0…
08-03 17:28:57	nvda above 170 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbb019f…
08-03 17:28:14	nvda above 160 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd60fc7…
08-03 17:28:00	nvda above 160 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf681af…
08-03 17:27:48	nvda above 150 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3f59c2…
08-03 17:27:41	nvda above 140 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x348ced…
08-03 17:26:56	aapl above 270 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8c6ef9…
08-03 17:26:30	aapl above 260 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	310	99¢	$307	0x4ea5c0…
08-03 17:26:20	aapl above 250 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8d2d67…
08-03 17:25:59	aapl above 280 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0de440…
08-03 13:33:33	will aapl dip to 280 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x12489c…
08-01 17:33:54	will aapl dip to 280 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1d6599…
08-01 17:33:35	will aapl dip to 280 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0xf74db8…
08-01 17:33:26	will aapl dip to 280 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0xc187f4…
08-01 17:33:17	will aapl dip to 280 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x3630fc…
08-01 17:33:09	will aapl dip to 280 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0xfe8f6c…
08-01 17:32:45	aapl above 275 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xc02f74…
08-01 17:32:21	Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$330 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7e8284…
08-01 17:31:02	aapl above 360 on august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x128110…
08-01 17:30:51	aapl above 370 on august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcbd88f…
08-01 17:30:29	aapl above 250 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xa50257…
08-01 17:30:12	aapl above 280 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe6617a…
08-01 17:30:00	aapl above 270 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x194648…
08-01 17:29:39	aapl above 260 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4965e1…
08-01 17:29:30	aapl above 250 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6a3c13…
08-01 17:28:57	aapl close above 295 on august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x043b2b…
08-01 17:28:45	aapl close above 295 on august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xea074c…
08-01 17:27:45	will aapl reach 368 in august 2026	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xb3122a…
08-01 17:26:05	will aapl reach 376 in august 2026	No	BUY	227	99¢	$225	0xe758e7…
08-01 17:25:54	will aapl reach 384 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ad91a…
08-01 17:25:30	will aapl dip to 304 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x82866c…
08-01 17:24:32	will aapl dip to 280 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xd7f4d7…
08-01 17:24:12	will aapl dip to 280 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xb53c33…
08-01 17:23:59	will aapl dip to 280 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x3b06c5…
08-01 17:19:23	will aapl dip to 280 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x02c70d…
08-01 17:09:47	will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5e0895…
08-01 17:09:35	will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	No	BUY	356	99¢	$352	0xb46129…
08-01 17:09:18	will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x70e33f…
08-01 17:09:02	will nvda dip to 168 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x58c967…
08-01 17:06:42	will nvda dip to 168 in august 2026	No	BUY	333	89¢	$296	0x28fd81…
08-01 17:05:57	will nvda dip to 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf6fa88…
08-01 17:04:08	nvda above 170 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf50ee0…
08-01 17:03:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xa4ef6e…
08-01 17:03:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa97624…
08-01 17:01:35	nvda above 160 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xdfc007…
08-01 17:01:26	nvda above 150 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x907840…
08-01 17:01:17	nvda above 140 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x00d860…
08-01 17:00:32	nvda close above 185 on august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f4946…
08-01 16:59:42	will nvda dip to 176 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x026163…
08-01 16:58:53	will nvda dip to 176 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x729ac1…