Hopeful-Integer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

655

Trades

4,297

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 07-21 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 76% +$11

Other

12% — —

Sports

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 356 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775521500	6	$47	34	33	+1	open	—	04-07 00:28
btc updown 5m 1775523600	7	$45	31	31	+1	open	—	04-07 01:03
btc updown 5m 1775525100	6	$45	33	33	+1	open	—	04-07 01:28
btc updown 5m 1775525400	4	$34	23	22	+0	open	—	04-07 01:33
btc updown 5m 1775520000	4	$33	22	22	+0	open	—	04-07 00:03
btc updown 5m 1777016100	8	$28	24	23	+1	open	—	04-24 07:38
fif lbr sle 2026 06 09 total 3pt5	4	$27	23	23	+0	open	—	06-09 20:28
btc updown 5m 1777032000	5	$27	25	19	+6	open	—	04-24 12:05
btc updown 5m 1775526900	4	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	04-07 01:57
btc updown 5m 1775518800	3	$25	18	11	+7	open	—	04-06 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$25	27	27	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 21:38
btc updown 5m 1776974400	5	$25	95	13	+83	open	—	04-23 20:02
btc updown 5m 1775530500	2	$24	15	14	+0	open	—	04-07 02:58
btc updown 5m 1777033800	4	$23	17	16	+0	open	—	04-24 12:34
btc updown 5m 1775530800	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	04-07 03:03
btc updown 5m 1775529900	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	04-07 02:48
atp humbert bergs 2026 06 29	4	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	06-30 16:49
btc updown 5m 1775528400	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-07 02:24
btc updown 5m 1776955200	5	$22	37	0	+37	open	—	04-23 14:43
btc updown 5m 1777059600	4	$22	18	17	+1	open	—	04-24 19:44
btc updown 5m 1775477400	5	$22	16	10	+5	open	—	04-06 12:14
btc updown 5m 1777032900	4	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	04-24 12:19
btc updown 5m 1775530200	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	04-07 02:53
btc updown 5m 1777059000	4	$22	14	13	+0	open	—	04-24 19:34
btc updown 5m 1776973200	3	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	04-23 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	6	$22	28	28	+1	open	—	04-25 10:18
btc updown 5m 1777038600	4	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	04-24 13:54
btc updown 5m 1777056300	4	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	04-24 18:49
btc updown 5m 1777058100	4	$22	59	55	+4	open	—	04-24 19:18
btc updown 5m 1776602100	5	$22	15	10	+5	open	—	04-19 12:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 16:26:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf5da5d…
07-21 03:48:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x0b0424…
07-21 02:09:27	atp altmaie collign 2026 07 20	Raphael Collignon	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8e37c5…
07-20 02:15:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x312902…
07-20 02:10:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xb5706c…
07-20 02:10:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x554917…
07-16 02:00:07	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd507b3…
07-15 22:07:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x8fb547…
07-15 17:44:22	wta hontama parks 2026 07 15	Alycia Parks	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfaae49…
07-13 16:22:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xcbd757…
07-13 13:13:13	atp collign skatov 2026 07 13	Raphael Collignon	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xc30325…
07-13 06:49:46	atp feldbau kecmano 2026 07 13	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd47d33…
07-13 01:56:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xb50439…
07-12 03:20:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x051e50…
07-11 23:41:52	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x4a73dc…
07-11 21:08:44	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd60c12…
07-11 12:03:13	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xb0d557…
07-11 12:03:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x92324e…
07-09 13:12:53	cs2 all nem 2026 07 09	Team Nemesis	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xc4777f…
07-09 01:56:32	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xe4c6fb…
07-08 22:06:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x43a0ec…
07-08 01:58:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x49ded1…
07-07 21:02:16	atp pacheco alves 2026 07 07	Rodrigo Pacheco	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x311e94…
07-07 19:34:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x9dab2b…
07-06 03:28:02	mlb phi kc 2026 07 06 spread away 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x49593c…
07-06 02:57:07	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xce1fa3…
07-06 02:05:40	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa799fd…
07-06 02:01:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5cef49…
07-05 20:08:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x611a1e…
07-05 19:18:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4fb0f8…
07-04 01:57:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xeade36…
07-02 14:57:11	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x8d2feb…
07-02 14:33:37	cs2 9z sin2 2026 07 02	Sinners	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x66423e…
07-02 09:24:11	cs2 faze mibr 2026 07 02	MIBR	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6007c0…
07-02 09:03:49	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xdaa008…
07-02 08:53:59	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x0ca5df…
07-02 05:46:19	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	No	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xa1a965…
07-02 05:26:05	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x541138…
07-01 19:23:34	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154124	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x55870a…
07-01 17:17:37	wta alexand tararud 2026 07 01	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb55284…
07-01 16:22:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x1604a6…
07-01 13:35:49	atp fucsovi tien 2026 07 01	Marton Fucsovics	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x03159a…
07-01 13:35:34	atp fucsovi tien 2026 07 01	Marton Fucsovics	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x0abfe4…
07-01 05:57:47	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xa18029…
07-01 05:01:52	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game handicap away 2pt5	Team Liquid	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf65213…
07-01 03:40:17	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf48566…
07-01 00:48:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x1ab5b6…
06-30 18:01:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xd0210b…
06-30 16:49:46	atp humbert bergs 2026 06 29	Zizou Bergs	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc1dba3…
06-30 13:26:40	atp humbert bergs 2026 06 29	Zizou Bergs	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe186b8…
06-30 13:26:28	atp humbert bergs 2026 06 29	Zizou Bergs	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2542f8…
06-30 13:26:23	atp humbert bergs 2026 06 29	Zizou Bergs	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0c7598…
06-30 13:05:56	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x781b95…
06-30 09:25:37	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x6acf67…
06-30 06:11:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x2d294e…
06-30 03:12:59	lol kc tl2 2026 06 30 game4	Karmine Corp	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xb5ec17…
06-30 02:00:41	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x36b4b9…
06-30 00:30:37	wti up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0463b0…
06-29 11:51:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x4e2550…
06-29 10:31:14	dota2 balu ill 2026 06 29 game handicap home 1pt5	BALU	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xbb90c9…
06-29 09:55:43	wti closes above 72 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x9c4c08…
06-29 09:35:23	will xauusd reach 4100 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5425be…
06-29 08:34:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5970fa…
06-29 07:42:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xd3fc17…
06-29 06:36:32	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x974657…
06-29 06:21:43	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7ea5c4…
06-29 05:46:14	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xb87fa0…
06-29 05:25:56	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xc839a4…
06-29 00:11:17	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x331704…
06-28 23:56:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x3c3cd6…
06-28 22:48:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x33323e…
06-28 19:55:04	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x274248…
06-28 19:54:56	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	South Africa	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0xf4b1bb…
06-28 17:58:50	cs2 fx uno 2026 06 28	UNO MILLE	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x732126…
06-28 16:22:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x39c575…
06-28 15:16:25	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1a8e89…
06-28 15:11:20	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x8e1197…
06-28 14:29:47	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	South Africa	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xad8e6b…
06-28 14:29:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xaf9afb…
06-28 14:24:38	cs2 lilmix subtop 2026 06 28 map handicap away 1pt5	Subtop De France	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x416a3d…
06-28 14:14:26	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x773d27…
06-28 13:22:35	dota2 vp huliga 2026 06 28	HULIGANI	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xfb1816…
06-28 12:55:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xf1925b…
06-28 12:55:38	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xcf2ad2…
06-28 12:55:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x0b4c84…
06-28 12:55:35	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x31ad18…
06-28 12:55:35	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x05acfd…
06-28 12:55:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xbd529c…
06-28 12:55:32	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa9f053…
06-28 12:55:32	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x683659…
06-28 12:55:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x476fdd…
06-28 12:55:29	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x60a716…
06-28 12:55:28	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x637438…
06-28 12:55:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x37d62c…
06-28 12:55:23	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xeafe5b…
06-28 07:33:17	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xdba8c4…
06-28 04:10:34	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28 total games 3pt5	Under	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0x9b3df0…
06-28 02:05:52	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x422a5c…
06-28 01:57:19	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x8e869b…
06-27 07:51:31	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x24362a…