Hopeful-Integer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

655

Trades

4,266

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-02

last 07-02 14:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 76% +$11

Other

12% — —

Sports

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 356 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No		+7	$6	100¢	$7	+$1	06-28 23:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775521500	6	$47	34	33	+1	open	—	04-07 00:28
btc updown 5m 1775523600	7	$45	31	31	+1	open	—	04-07 01:03
btc updown 5m 1775525100	6	$45	33	33	+1	open	—	04-07 01:28
btc updown 5m 1775525400	4	$34	23	22	+0	open	—	04-07 01:33
btc updown 5m 1775520000	4	$33	22	22	+0	open	—	04-07 00:03
btc updown 5m 1777016100	8	$28	24	23	+1	open	—	04-24 07:38
fif lbr sle 2026 06 09 total 3pt5	4	$27	23	23	+0	open	—	06-09 20:28
btc updown 5m 1777032000	5	$27	25	19	+6	open	—	04-24 12:05
btc updown 5m 1775526900	4	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	04-07 01:57
btc updown 5m 1775518800	3	$25	18	11	+7	open	—	04-06 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$25	27	27	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 21:38
btc updown 5m 1776974400	5	$25	95	13	+83	open	—	04-23 20:02
btc updown 5m 1775530500	2	$24	15	14	+0	open	—	04-07 02:58
btc updown 5m 1777033800	4	$23	17	16	+0	open	—	04-24 12:34
btc updown 5m 1775530800	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	04-07 03:03
btc updown 5m 1775529900	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	04-07 02:48
atp humbert bergs 2026 06 29	4	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	06-30 16:49
btc updown 5m 1775528400	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-07 02:24
btc updown 5m 1776955200	5	$22	37	0	+37	open	—	04-23 14:43
btc updown 5m 1777059600	4	$22	18	17	+1	open	—	04-24 19:44
btc updown 5m 1775477400	5	$22	16	10	+5	open	—	04-06 12:14
btc updown 5m 1777032900	4	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	04-24 12:19
btc updown 5m 1775530200	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	04-07 02:53
btc updown 5m 1777059000	4	$22	14	13	+0	open	—	04-24 19:34
btc updown 5m 1776973200	3	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	04-23 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	6	$22	28	28	+1	open	—	04-25 10:18
btc updown 5m 1777038600	4	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	04-24 13:54
btc updown 5m 1777056300	4	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	04-24 18:49
btc updown 5m 1777058100	4	$22	59	55	+4	open	—	04-24 19:18
btc updown 5m 1776602100	5	$22	15	10	+5	open	—	04-19 12:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 14:57:11	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x8d2feb…
07-02 14:33:37	cs2 9z sin2 2026 07 02	Sinners	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x66423e…
07-02 09:24:11	cs2 faze mibr 2026 07 02	MIBR	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6007c0…
07-02 09:03:49	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xdaa008…
07-02 08:53:59	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x0ca5df…
07-02 05:46:19	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	No	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xa1a965…
07-02 05:26:05	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x541138…
07-01 19:23:34	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154124	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x55870a…
07-01 17:17:37	wta alexand tararud 2026 07 01	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb55284…
07-01 16:22:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x1604a6…
07-01 13:35:49	atp fucsovi tien 2026 07 01	Marton Fucsovics	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x03159a…
07-01 13:35:34	atp fucsovi tien 2026 07 01	Marton Fucsovics	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x0abfe4…
07-01 05:57:47	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xa18029…
07-01 05:01:52	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game handicap away 2pt5	Team Liquid	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf65213…
07-01 03:40:17	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf48566…
07-01 00:48:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x1ab5b6…
06-30 18:01:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xd0210b…
06-30 16:49:46	atp humbert bergs 2026 06 29	Zizou Bergs	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc1dba3…
06-30 13:26:40	atp humbert bergs 2026 06 29	Zizou Bergs	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe186b8…
06-30 13:26:28	atp humbert bergs 2026 06 29	Zizou Bergs	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2542f8…
06-30 13:26:23	atp humbert bergs 2026 06 29	Zizou Bergs	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0c7598…
06-30 13:05:56	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x781b95…
06-30 09:25:37	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x6acf67…
06-30 06:11:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x2d294e…
06-30 03:12:59	lol kc tl2 2026 06 30 game4	Karmine Corp	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xb5ec17…
06-30 02:00:41	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x36b4b9…
06-30 00:30:37	wti up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0463b0…
06-29 11:51:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x4e2550…
06-29 10:31:14	dota2 balu ill 2026 06 29 game handicap home 1pt5	BALU	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xbb90c9…
06-29 09:55:43	wti closes above 72 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x9c4c08…
06-29 09:35:23	will xauusd reach 4100 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5425be…
06-29 08:34:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5970fa…
06-29 07:42:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xd3fc17…
06-29 06:36:32	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x974657…
06-29 06:21:43	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7ea5c4…
06-29 05:46:14	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xb87fa0…
06-29 05:25:56	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xc839a4…
06-29 00:11:17	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x331704…
06-28 23:56:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x3c3cd6…
06-28 22:48:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x33323e…
06-28 19:55:04	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x274248…
06-28 19:54:56	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	South Africa	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0xf4b1bb…
06-28 17:58:50	cs2 fx uno 2026 06 28	UNO MILLE	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x732126…
06-28 16:22:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x39c575…
06-28 15:16:25	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1a8e89…
06-28 15:11:20	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x8e1197…
06-28 14:29:47	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	South Africa	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xad8e6b…
06-28 14:29:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xaf9afb…
06-28 14:24:38	cs2 lilmix subtop 2026 06 28 map handicap away 1pt5	Subtop De France	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x416a3d…
06-28 14:14:26	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x773d27…
06-28 13:22:35	dota2 vp huliga 2026 06 28	HULIGANI	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xfb1816…
06-28 12:55:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xf1925b…
06-28 12:55:38	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xcf2ad2…
06-28 12:55:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x0b4c84…
06-28 12:55:35	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x31ad18…
06-28 12:55:35	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x05acfd…
06-28 12:55:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xbd529c…
06-28 12:55:32	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa9f053…
06-28 12:55:32	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x683659…
06-28 12:55:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x476fdd…
06-28 12:55:29	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x60a716…
06-28 12:55:28	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x637438…
06-28 12:55:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x37d62c…
06-28 12:55:23	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xeafe5b…
06-28 07:33:17	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xdba8c4…
06-28 04:10:34	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28 total games 3pt5	Under	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0x9b3df0…
06-28 02:05:52	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x422a5c…
06-28 01:57:19	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x8e869b…
06-27 07:51:31	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x24362a…
06-27 05:30:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x63cd4d…
06-26 21:53:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x2351d9…
06-26 15:10:53	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	No	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0x90eac4…
06-26 15:10:49	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x867503…
06-26 13:36:34	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x70ab7b…
06-26 10:18:02	lol dnf c9 2026 06 26	DN SOOPers	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x445e60…
06-26 10:17:58	lol dnf c9 2026 06 26	DN SOOPers	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xf98f46…
06-25 19:30:07	spy closes above 745 on june 25 2026	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x3ed347…
06-25 06:28:44	spy closes above 745 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xa8b108…
06-25 05:58:19	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7fae5b…
06-24 19:17:44	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x41a328…
06-24 18:24:47	cs2 9ine gl1 2026 06 24 map handicap home 1pt5	9INE	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x2f6574…
06-24 17:41:31	cs2 9ine gl1 2026 06 24 map handicap home 1pt5	9INE	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x86d1cb…
06-24 17:32:58	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4ec211…
06-24 16:17:26	dota2 yes vp 2026 06 24	Virtus.pro	SELL	7	66¢	$4	0xed032b…
06-24 13:11:44	wta swiatek navarro 2026 06 24	Emma Navarro	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x6710bc…
06-24 12:43:23	cs2 am ef1 2026 06 24	AM Gaming	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x77cbe5…
06-24 12:00:56	cs2 am ef1 2026 06 24 map handicap home 1pt5	AM Gaming	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xc7c2fc…
06-24 05:49:01	cs2 am ef1 2026 06 24	AM Gaming	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xbe18c8…
06-24 05:00:31	dota2 yes vp 2026 06 24	Virtus.pro	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x0942aa…
06-24 03:51:46	cs2 am ef1 2026 06 24 map handicap home 1pt5	AM Gaming	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x121cf7…
06-24 03:33:11	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x526950…
06-23 00:13:14	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x7b9a2b…
06-22 23:55:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x877cd6…
06-22 11:16:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x37312c…
06-22 11:00:53	dota2 rnx og 2026 06 22 game2	OG	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0x28c8b1…
06-22 06:44:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x7d2526…
06-21 16:55:34	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xba4930…
06-21 16:18:16	val pr1 lev1 2026 06 21	Leviatán Esports	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x802a93…
06-21 15:49:13	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	FURIA	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xe74d90…
06-21 15:04:19	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game1	FURIA	SELL	7	37¢	$2	0xeaeb99…