Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$127

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-14

last 11-03 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

74% 69% +$27

Politics

18% 59% -$3

Tech

8% 67% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No		+5	$1	16¢	$1	$0	11-03 04:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$1	09-13 08:01
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	09-13 08:01
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	2	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$1	09-26 07:41
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	2	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$1	10-25 06:36
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	2	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$1	10-28 00:04
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:51
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-15 15:51
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	09-16 09:31
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 12:02
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 09:43
spx up or down on september 3 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	-$1	09-03 11:27
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	+$4	09-16 00:41
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	09-09 20:20
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	09-13 04:10
will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-24 03:40
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	09-11 06:05
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-23 11:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	+$2	09-08 17:02
will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	+$4	09-10 05:26
spy closes above 765 on september 18 2026	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	09-17 21:39
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-17 05:32
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	09-21 07:03
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 06:18
will msft reach 502 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	09-23 19:40
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	08-23 23:36
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	08-17 03:11
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-20 22:08
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 03:01
spx up or down on september 4 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	09-04 01:29
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	08-26 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 22:00:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7a06cd…
11-03 12:03:28	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xef2981…
11-03 04:02:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x719f10…
11-02 20:02:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x44fe4d…
11-02 12:01:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xafd3ce…
11-02 04:01:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x00d596…
11-02 03:48:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9bf859…
11-01 19:39:27	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x893705…
10-31 05:39:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf7042b…
10-30 02:10:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xab950e…
10-28 17:08:35	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8b9db1…
10-28 09:08:11	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4d0f50…
10-28 08:13:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4bc117…
10-28 00:04:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x189bbd…
10-28 00:04:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf337cf…
10-27 15:08:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x36a42f…
10-27 07:08:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdf9e82…
10-26 23:06:36	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbe5d47…
10-25 14:41:15	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x350675…
10-25 06:36:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbcaf36…
10-25 05:57:56	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x301124…
10-23 21:27:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xab4acf…
10-23 11:53:57	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfcf726…
10-23 03:53:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6f8e00…
10-22 19:38:11	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x33d603…
10-22 11:17:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc538e9…
10-22 03:03:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x249394…
10-21 06:53:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3f95e1…
10-18 10:51:26	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5eb174…
10-18 00:07:54	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6b1ca7…
10-17 16:04:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9ce0cc…
10-17 04:17:18	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3ceb58…
10-14 21:21:58	will pltr reach 210 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5cb41c…
10-14 11:05:17	will aapl dip to 340 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb02494…
10-14 02:35:35	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x957207…
10-13 18:27:43	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb0aaab…
10-11 09:46:24	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc46265…
10-11 08:33:22	Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x394e0a…
10-10 21:48:57	Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf5ac56…
10-10 11:58:19	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9de0bf…
10-07 02:40:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc51782…
10-06 06:39:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe4b959…
10-05 22:38:47	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbc4f64…
10-05 14:38:01	will xagusd reach 64 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc96b02…
10-05 00:51:53	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x40fc31…
10-05 00:51:05	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd23146…
10-05 00:35:43	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5f244f…
10-02 09:55:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x60d974…
10-02 08:08:26	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x60f56f…
10-02 06:50:11	will wti dip to 90 by september 28 2026 from october 1	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x52a8c9…
10-01 16:33:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x44e9e1…
10-01 08:29:51	wti closes above 91 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcf71e9…
09-27 11:58:23	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfbd370…
09-27 03:11:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x07494f…
09-26 07:41:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x655edf…
09-26 07:35:44	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6b239b…
09-25 17:18:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x31382d…
09-25 05:00:05	will xagusd reach 65 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb9f7fd…
09-24 19:43:48	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbcc9f2…
09-24 11:41:59	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb32bd3…
09-24 03:40:38	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x592b26…
09-23 19:40:05	will msft reach 502 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xab3966…
09-23 11:36:53	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x27f03d…
09-23 03:06:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x198285…
09-21 07:03:30	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xa926bf…
09-20 22:08:01	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xadcf58…
09-19 07:51:10	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe6a21a…
09-17 21:39:21	spy closes above 765 on september 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x00ed3c…
09-17 05:32:42	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x767da6…
09-16 09:31:34	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x9ee7f2…
09-16 00:41:40	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xa340d1…
09-15 15:51:27	Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x83a889…
09-13 08:01:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xf9773f…
09-13 08:01:15	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x138f86…
09-13 04:10:49	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x9a0b8f…
09-11 06:05:58	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x8ed23b…
09-10 09:43:00	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x1b1d60…
09-10 05:26:58	will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xfe52fb…
09-09 20:20:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x52bf77…
09-09 12:19:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xce7849…
09-09 12:02:16	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x90f862…
09-09 03:01:28	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe09e1b…
09-08 17:02:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf91920…
09-08 06:18:00	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x92604f…
09-07 20:14:31	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xe4d5e2…
09-04 01:29:55	spx up or down on september 4 2026	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xee8eeb…
09-03 11:27:12	spx up or down on september 3 2026	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd11c1b…
09-02 22:03:04	will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xf115e6…
09-01 07:18:13	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x31a544…
08-30 23:13:48	spy up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd0a394…
08-30 12:36:19	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x352f5d…
08-30 00:16:19	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x96422f…
08-29 16:13:19	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xe04aef…
08-29 08:02:54	will pltr reach 192 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xca7d17…
08-26 18:28:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x4b9f7e…
08-24 08:26:16	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xead4df…
08-24 08:23:30	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x8246a5…
08-23 23:36:22	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe31495…
08-23 11:01:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4802c0…
08-22 04:09:13	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x271434…