Insidious-Pepperoni — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$284

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

2,025

Trades

5,881

lifetime

Volume

$41.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-12 13:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 57% +$379

Other

14% 16% -$108

Politics

1% 80% +$18

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:45 UTC	46	$877	859	848	+11	Up	+$19	01-12 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:00 UTC	36	$697	660	651	+9	Up	+$25	01-12 08:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 09:00 UTC	36	$661	652	643	+9	Up	-$12	01-12 09:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:15 UTC	34	$655	641	632	+9	Down	+$20	01-12 08:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 09:30 UTC	30	$572	496	489	+6	Up	+$11	01-12 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 09:15 UTC	26	$498	486	479	+6	Up	+$13	01-13 09:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 14:45 UTC	26	$488	447	441	+6	Up	+$2	01-12 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 09:15 UTC	26	$487	461	455	+6	Down	+$2	01-12 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 10:00 UTC	24	$449	425	419	+6	Down	+$0	01-13 10:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 10:00 UTC	23	$439	386	426	-40	Down	-$17	01-12 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 06:00 UTC	26	$432	451	445	+6	Up	-$2	01-12 06:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 15:45 UTC	28	$421	368	364	+5	Up	+$8	01-11 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 11:30 UTC	20	$379	333	328	+5	Down	+$6	01-12 11:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 03:15 UTC	65	$353	1,343	1,016	+327	Down	-$72	01-02 03:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 07:15 UTC	20	$350	333	329	+4	Up	+$15	01-12 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 07:00 UTC	20	$342	313	309	+4	Down	+$7	01-12 07:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 21:15 UTC	20	$337	296	292	+4	Down	+$2	01-11 21:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 17:00 UTC	20	$335	332	327	+5	Up	+$0	01-11 17:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 09:45 UTC	18	$329	289	285	+4	Down	-$7	01-12 09:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 07:45 UTC	16	$308	280	277	+3	Down	+$9	01-12 07:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 05:45 UTC	32	$307	291	287	+4	Up	-$8	01-16 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 11:15 UTC	16	$295	263	260	+4	Up	-$4	01-12 11:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 15:15 UTC	20	$293	291	287	+4	Up	-$2	01-11 15:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 15:00 UTC	16	$292	273	269	+4	Up	-$7	01-12 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 22:30 UTC	16	$282	286	282	+4	Up	+$15	01-11 22:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 05:45 UTC	16	$277	249	246	+3	Up	+$10	01-12 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 15:30 UTC	18	$275	247	243	+4	Down	+$9	01-11 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 10:30 UTC	14	$274	237	234	+3	Down	+$12	01-12 10:43
will trump say intel or nvidia during wef address on january 21	8	$270	160	160	+0	No	+$14	01-21 15:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 13:30 UTC	14	$269	211	209	+3	Down	+$7	01-12 13:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 13:46:00	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xa3279d…
09-12 13:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x3c2bb7…
09-12 13:35:51	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xe37d63…
09-12 13:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x7afb8a…
09-12 13:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x8dbac6…
09-11 13:45:54	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xbdac5d…
09-11 13:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc1206b…
09-11 13:36:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x9942c3…
09-11 13:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xcbadf8…
09-10 13:46:07	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x69fa9e…
09-10 13:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3430b6…
09-10 13:35:55	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x6f7665…
09-07 13:46:06	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x857d88…
09-07 13:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xffbab3…
09-06 13:45:22	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xdf6701…
09-05 13:46:04	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xed2d70…
09-04 13:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd2f06a…
09-04 13:45:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on September 5?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x7f6ed2…
09-04 13:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4df07a…
09-04 13:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa4ba68…
09-03 13:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd5491a…
09-03 13:45:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x834732…
09-03 13:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xebb2cd…
09-02 13:45:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x9d087e…
09-02 13:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa850fb…
09-02 13:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe59611…
09-01 13:45:42	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc2e57c…
09-01 13:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x12231a…
07-18 09:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x4f0b4f…
07-18 08:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x615ccd…
07-18 08:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8c7e2f…
07-18 08:31:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x237222…
07-18 08:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x75193e…
07-18 07:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	31	14¢	$4	0xee0462…
07-18 07:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x7b392e…
07-18 07:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x3eabec…
07-18 07:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0x2a96f4…
07-18 07:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x9fe174…
07-18 07:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x53b8ca…
07-18 07:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xc131db…
07-18 07:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x50531f…
07-18 07:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x1aa68a…
07-18 06:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x842874…
07-18 06:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x4055fd…
07-18 06:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x2129fe…
07-18 06:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x280f08…
07-18 06:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xec5888…
07-18 06:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xfe813e…
07-18 06:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0d05fa…
07-18 05:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x9cb3e3…
07-18 05:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xcb00b2…
07-18 05:41:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbc05d6…
07-18 04:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0xd6f8b4…
07-18 04:48:21	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xfdfed8…
07-18 04:42:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xe24f67…
07-18 04:11:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x64560b…
07-18 01:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x53e5fa…
07-18 01:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x9e99f6…
07-18 01:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xb1fe4d…
07-18 01:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x74771f…
07-18 01:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc89370…
07-17 16:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xf15a69…
07-17 15:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf8ddbe…
07-17 15:16:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x382995…
07-17 15:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1da65d…
07-17 09:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2e0aff…
07-17 09:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xb736b5…
07-17 09:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xa2cd03…
07-17 09:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe0ecc5…
07-17 09:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xaddaf8…
07-17 07:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x40d9b1…
07-17 07:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe3a30b…
07-17 07:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x119afd…
07-17 07:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xda04ea…
07-17 07:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xcb9801…
07-17 07:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x8e3867…
07-17 07:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xb39fa2…
07-17 07:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xf52f46…
07-17 07:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x733ccf…
07-17 07:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x401262…
07-17 05:52:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe92d83…
07-17 05:52:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x2172bf…
07-17 05:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0x959976…
07-17 05:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 17?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x37f0cf…
07-17 05:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x930d02…
07-17 05:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xa63dd3…
07-17 04:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xf3daaa…
07-17 04:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	37	9¢	$3	0xe5cb7e…
07-17 04:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb88b8f…
07-17 04:00:39	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x3867c3…
07-17 04:00:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x7132ea…
07-17 03:58:57	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xe71e40…
07-17 03:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0x774202…
07-17 03:58:40	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0x2d61b4…
07-17 03:44:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0xe99fe2…
07-17 03:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x4c5c9d…
07-17 02:05:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbfbdda…
07-17 02:01:25	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x5bafbd…
07-16 23:05:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x6846a2…
07-16 22:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x907b75…