Sticky-Botany — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$407

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,226

lifetime

Volume

$36.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-19 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 40% $-407

Politics

4% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 321 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp up or down march 9 10am et	9	$1.5K	1,626	1,601	+25	open	—	03-09 14:48
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	8	$1.4K	2,130	0	+2,130	open	—	02-27 16:20
xrp up or down march 10 9am et	9	$1.3K	1,084	1,068	+15	open	—	03-10 13:46
xrp up or down march 3 1am et	8	$1.3K	756	756	+0	open	—	03-03 07:51
xrp up or down march 3 11pm et	6	$965	681	681	+0	open	—	03-04 04:55
xrp up or down march 4 1am et	5	$920	609	609	+0	open	—	03-04 08:43
xrp up or down march 3 5am et	10	$828	728	728	+0	open	—	03-03 10:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$706	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	03-23 04:02
xrp up or down march 3 6am et	5	$687	666	501	+165	open	—	03-03 11:24
xrp up or down march 3 2am et	5	$655	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	03-03 07:22
bitcoin up or down march 10 12am et	5	$600	378	375	+3	open	—	03-10 04:14
xrp up or down march 5 1am et	7	$552	563	422	+141	open	—	03-05 06:29
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	8	$499	638	52	+586	Down	+$135	05-06 12:38
xrp up or down march 4 3am et	7	$471	451	401	+50	open	—	03-04 08:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$419	645	645	+0	open	—	03-27 04:40
xrp up or down march 10 11pm et	7	$416	290	287	+3	open	—	03-11 03:25
xrp up or down march 11 1am et	4	$404	454	182	+272	open	—	03-11 05:25
xrp up or down march 11 2am et	4	$400	561	0	+561	open	—	03-11 06:23
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	7	$400	555	0	+555	Up	+$155	05-07 08:05
xrp updown 15m 1773404100	4	$375	301	297	+4	open	—	03-13 12:20
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$350	1,071	0	+1,071	Up	$-350	05-07 06:14
xrp up or down march 5 6am et	3	$300	433	0	+433	open	—	03-05 11:08
xrp up or down march 10 10am et	3	$286	309	305	+4	open	—	03-10 14:28
xrp updown 15m 1773406800	2	$250	211	208	+3	open	—	03-13 13:09
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	3	$211	285	0	+285	open	—	05-19 06:11
xrp updown 15m 1773674100	2	$200	325	0	+325	open	—	03-16 15:26
xrp updown 5m 1773983400	2	$200	332	0	+332	open	—	03-20 05:12
xrp updown 15m 1773411300	2	$200	475	0	+475	open	—	03-13 14:26
xrp up or down march 10 12am et	2	$200	309	0	+309	open	—	03-10 04:35
xrp up or down march 2 10pm et	2	$200	238	0	+238	open	—	03-03 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 16:18:04	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x28452c…
05-19 16:03:13	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x778724…
05-19 15:48:05	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x00e3db…
05-19 15:33:19	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0xab3a01…
05-19 15:03:10	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$9	0x082cf7…
05-19 14:33:04	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x279f08…
05-19 14:18:04	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x325852…
05-19 14:05:32	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe3dbab…
05-19 13:21:52	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xcea828…
05-19 13:03:15	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x3fa793…
05-19 12:49:15	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0d7c30…
05-19 12:35:15	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe2d840…
05-19 12:04:22	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x130db5…
05-19 11:35:44	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xce26d3…
05-19 11:18:05	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$9	0x0f1d86…
05-19 11:10:12	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7268ca…
05-19 10:35:11	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$9	0x9b6456…
05-19 10:23:20	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xa24543…
05-19 10:07:11	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xcc3af8…
05-19 09:33:05	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	65	68¢	$44	0xf64b47…
05-19 09:10:16	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	104	40¢	$42	0x6cbb17…
05-19 08:49:09	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xa52d5f…
05-19 08:36:09	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	66	75¢	$49	0xc6d5f9…
05-19 08:22:47	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	229	42¢	$97	0xdfedda…
05-19 07:55:50	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x087625…
05-19 07:34:31	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	71¢	$19	0x64b4d0…
05-19 07:19:11	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0xf988dd…
05-19 07:08:11	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	44¢	$18	0xd582e4…
05-19 06:34:21	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	79¢	$25	0x37bd64…
05-19 06:28:20	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	76¢	$34	0xc76c5b…
05-19 06:11:59	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xdda9ce…
05-19 06:11:34	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xfff8ec…
05-19 06:09:40	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0xe99130…
05-19 05:53:06	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xb98fc4…
05-19 05:33:11	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x7100ee…
05-19 05:18:05	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x3d1f37…
05-19 05:04:22	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x7d0005…
05-19 04:49:14	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	70¢	$30	0xeef74a…
05-19 03:48:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0xe62710…
05-19 03:39:14	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3b73ef…
05-19 03:18:09	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	84¢	$25	0x1420b6…
05-19 03:07:11	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xccc7d3…
05-19 02:49:13	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	68¢	$23	0x8e58ee…
05-19 02:35:14	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x3b88a2…
05-19 02:18:07	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x5493b4…
05-19 02:04:09	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	93¢	$22	0x165e1e…
05-19 01:48:12	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xa2344e…
05-19 01:34:13	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x8fa32d…
05-19 01:20:15	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0xe777a7…
05-19 01:04:16	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xae90f5…
05-19 00:49:10	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	55¢	$23	0x07d985…
05-19 00:35:11	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0x461d95…
05-19 00:18:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xf6a3ce…
05-19 00:09:14	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xec9639…
05-18 23:48:03	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xbb5e7a…
05-18 23:37:12	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x6d2f14…
05-18 23:18:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0xf66c76…
05-18 23:03:03	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0x56fd34…
05-18 22:48:14	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	93¢	$23	0x5ff887…
05-18 22:41:16	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe36b8e…
05-18 22:19:11	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xb7ac77…
05-18 22:04:13	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0xb73890…
05-18 21:48:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xb4674a…
05-18 21:33:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	79¢	$26	0xc3099f…
05-18 21:21:12	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x6b8c7e…
05-18 21:03:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0xf7fe66…
05-18 20:51:11	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	86¢	$31	0x412c90…
05-18 20:33:03	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x66b3b2…
05-18 20:23:17	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x737733…
05-18 20:03:11	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xf1368d…
05-18 19:49:13	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$31	0xdce9ed…
05-18 19:33:03	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xd2c474…
05-18 19:18:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x847fb6…
05-18 19:03:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xe6472a…
05-18 18:48:05	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	59	57¢	$34	0xd805ab…
05-18 18:33:16	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	72¢	$33	0x6ba314…
05-18 18:18:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	77¢	$32	0x0a1fa1…
05-18 18:03:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	87¢	$31	0x626262…
05-18 17:58:12	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0xd7901e…
05-18 17:37:16	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8ccdb5…
05-18 17:18:02	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	67¢	$30	0x8a6eea…
05-18 17:08:23	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x01e6a3…
05-18 16:48:09	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x63c4a4…
05-18 16:36:09	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfd2fe2…
05-18 16:21:12	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x65cd45…
05-18 16:03:15	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0x53d011…
05-18 15:48:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0xf7ac84…
05-18 15:37:09	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x85cdda…
05-18 15:21:59	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	72¢	$20	0x11aba4…
05-18 15:07:10	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x39cf6b…
05-18 14:20:35	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	59	50¢	$29	0x72f6cc…
05-18 12:18:25	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	57¢	$21	0xe4aadf…
05-08 05:52:12	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x955443…
05-08 05:05:43	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x1e7eb5…
05-07 10:23:56	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	77	15¢	$12	0xc66bf7…
05-07 10:23:21	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0xbba7ac…
05-07 10:22:46	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x5571a3…
05-07 08:05:01	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x6732da…
05-07 08:04:50	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x3b349d…
05-07 08:04:38	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xeaa4bd…