Realized P&L
-$17.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$258
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
425
Trades
1,340
lifetime
Volume
$257.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$192
Open exposure
$12.5K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-29 00:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Other
60% 62% -$14,473
Sports
29% 66% -$1,386
Politics
9% 67% -$1,044
Crypto
1% 43% -$69
Tech
0% 0% -$934
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$192
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,329 $2,278 32¢ $2.0K -$285 09-22 05:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,958 99¢ $2.0K +$31 10-25 03:31
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,000 $1,960 99¢ $2.0K +$13 10-26 03:45
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,342 $1,151 99¢ $1.3K +$182 09-30 06:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +1,000 $956 99¢ $993 +$37 10-26 16:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,000 $840 96¢ $960 +$120 10-23 15:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,000 $540 40¢ $810 +$270 10-27 04:29
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $670 70¢ $705 +$35 10-21 17:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +800 $688 81¢ $650 -$38 10-26 18:14
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +500 $450 98¢ $492 +$42 10-23 16:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +1,283 $449 30¢ $391 -$58 09-22 20:17
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +103 $83 90¢ $93 +$10 10-19 21:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $111 30¢ $88 -$22 10-21 03:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +1,000 $90 6¢ $65 -$25 10-21 03:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +200 $56 0¢ $1 -$55 10-19 15:49