Immediate-Thrush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$507

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-08 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% +$18

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No		-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	11-08 09:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 14	1	$2.0K	2,044	0	+2,044	No	+$4	07-15 02:41
xrp above 1pt2 on july 14 2026	1	$2.0K	2,040	0	+2,040	No	+$4	07-14 08:07
will ethereum reach 1850 on july 13	1	$2.0K	2,036	0	+2,036	No	+$4	07-14 02:27
ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	1	$2.0K	2,033	0	+2,033	Yes	+$4	07-13 07:40
will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	1	$2.0K	2,029	0	+2,029	No	+$4	07-13 02:44
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 12?	1	$2.0K	2,025	0	+2,025	No	+$4	07-12 09:40
ethereum above 1500 on february 25	1	$1.1K	1,091	0	+1,091	Yes	+$2	02-25 03:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 24	1	$1.1K	1,089	0	+1,089	No	+$2	02-24 03:24
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 23	1	$1.1K	1,087	0	+1,087	No	+$2	02-23 04:09
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 22	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	No	+$2	02-22 05:02
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 21	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	No	+$2	02-21 01:41
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$3	02-20 02:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 19	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	No	+$2	02-19 04:04
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	Yes	+$2	02-18 03:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 17	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	No	+$3	02-17 08:51
will the price of solana be between 120 130 on february 16	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	No	+$3	02-16 00:56
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 15	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$3	02-15 03:16
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 14	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	No	+$4	02-14 06:24
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 13	1	$1.1K	1,059	0	+1,059	No	+$4	02-13 02:41
will the price of xrp be between 0pt90 1pt00 on february 12	1	$1.1K	1,055	0	+1,055	No	+$3	02-12 05:33
bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	07-30 07:29
bitcoin above 60k on august 8 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	08-07 06:03
bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	08-12 05:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	09-08 08:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 26?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-25 04:03
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-02 09:05
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	11-08 09:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 5?	1	$6	2,052	0	+2,052	No	-$6	07-05 06:28
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-10 13:41
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-21 05:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 09:17:12	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb18cb1…
11-08 09:15:51	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xf4e4e0…
09-08 08:50:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3ff109…
08-12 05:20:00	bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1e87ee…
08-07 06:03:19	bitcoin above 60k on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x634826…
07-30 07:29:21	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x13a9f0…
07-25 04:03:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xecd9c9…
07-15 02:41:41	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 14	No	BUY	2,044	100¢	$2,040	0x04bb1f…
07-14 08:07:01	xrp above 1pt2 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	2,040	100¢	$2,036	0xba90c1…
07-14 02:27:38	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 13	No	BUY	2,036	100¢	$2,032	0xd5c90a…
07-13 07:40:01	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2,033	100¢	$2,029	0x6b87fb…
07-13 02:44:08	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	2,029	100¢	$2,025	0xbccd37…
07-12 09:40:40	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 12?	No	BUY	2,025	100¢	$2,021	0x65a7ae…
07-11 06:24:50	ethereum above 1900 on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	2,031	0¢	$4	0xd1c749…
07-10 03:00:40	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 9	Yes	BUY	2,021	0¢	$4	0xf3fc86…
07-09 08:38:55	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 9?	Yes	BUY	2,017	0¢	$4	0xa2d2d0…
07-09 02:47:31	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 8	Yes	BUY	2,072	0¢	$4	0xf23de4…
07-08 07:35:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 8?	Yes	BUY	2,073	0¢	$4	0x23f078…
07-07 04:55:40	ethereum above 1600 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	2,057	0¢	$4	0xc434d9…
07-05 06:28:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2,052	0¢	$6	0xfb8bfd…
07-02 09:05:49	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe9b3ba…
06-26 06:58:35	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xadffa1…
06-21 05:46:10	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd37cec…
05-21 06:15:45	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa3ba91…
05-13 07:07:35	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda37f7…
05-05 09:01:14	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xd138c5…
04-22 08:46:12	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x112c6c…
04-10 13:41:11	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x586275…
03-20 03:19:11	ethereum above 2400 on march 20	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$2	0x39505b…
03-11 01:54:41	xrp above 1pt8 on march 11	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0xc122ee…
03-09 03:00:25	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	1,076	0¢	$2	0x23aae6…
03-06 01:37:13	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,069	0¢	$2	0x7351c1…
03-01 06:12:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 1	Yes	BUY	780	0¢	$2	0x8e4677…
03-01 06:12:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 1	Yes	BUY	289	0¢	$1	0x4f054b…
02-25 03:54:58	ethereum above 1500 on february 25	Yes	BUY	1,091	100¢	$1,089	0xf2a6da…
02-24 03:24:40	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 24	No	BUY	1,089	100¢	$1,087	0x96ddb5…
02-23 04:09:36	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 23	No	BUY	1,087	100¢	$1,084	0x271ec9…
02-22 05:02:48	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 22	No	BUY	1,084	100¢	$1,082	0x004831…
02-21 01:41:58	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 21	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,080	0x0fa942…
02-20 02:40:10	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,077	0x53d7fd…
02-19 04:04:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 19	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,075	0xffabfe…
02-18 03:11:48	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	Yes	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,073	0x5ed5fc…
02-17 08:51:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 17	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,070	0xdea28e…
02-16 00:56:23	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on february 16	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,066	0xf4dc7a…
02-15 03:16:53	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 15	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,063	0xc02fab…
02-14 06:24:47	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 14	No	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,058	0x9d5abc…
02-13 02:41:39	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 13	No	BUY	1,059	100¢	$1,054	0x87acd3…
02-12 05:33:31	will the price of xrp be between 0pt90 1pt00 on february 12	No	BUY	1,055	100¢	$1,052	0xb100fa…
02-07 03:39:31	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 7	Yes	BUY	1,065	0¢	$3	0x9f4d99…
02-02 07:19:26	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a5353…
01-31 03:45:00	will the price of xrp be between 2pt30 2pt40 on january 31	Yes	BUY	1,043	0¢	$1	0xe9aaf0…
01-30 08:42:46	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb435b5…
01-29 07:55:44	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b5629…
01-26 09:58:07	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x083dc1…