Perfect-Grouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.08K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

7,790

Trades

26,577

lifetime

Volume

$239.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-26 01:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% +$3,130

Other

0% 38% -$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 17:15 UTC	11	$412	313	245	+67	Down	-$24	01-25 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:35 UTC	4	$318	188	187	+1	Up	+$20	03-18 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:10 UTC	3	$264	292	288	+4	Down	+$65	03-18 12:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 13:35 UTC	30	$243	302	301	+1	Up	-$1	03-16 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 07:50 UTC	2	$224	128	126	+2	Down	+$27	04-01 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 08:05 UTC	2	$203	105	104	+0	Down	+$4	04-01 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 07:30 UTC	2	$202	103	103	+0	Up	+$2	04-01 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 12:15 UTC	2	$198	423	0	+423	Down	+$10	03-18 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 07:40 UTC	2	$197	121	119	+2	Down	-$2	04-01 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	54	$195	186	66	+119	Down	-$37	05-04 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 07:25 UTC	2	$194	114	113	+1	Up	-$5	04-01 07:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 06:15 UTC	7	$183	186	143	+44	Up	-$15	02-11 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	48	$179	108	100	+8	Up	+$21	05-04 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 04:35 UTC	11	$173	202	201	+2	Down	-$19	03-17 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	52	$172	187	55	+132	Up	-$35	05-04 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:05 UTC	85	$167	329	146	+183	Up	-$18	03-24 12:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	23	$166	114	104	+10	Down	+$17	05-04 09:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	24	$164	119	103	+16	Up	+$14	05-04 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:15 UTC	19	$163	152	152	+0	Up	+$14	03-16 15:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	40	$162	102	78	+24	Up	+$17	05-03 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	50	$162	108	95	+13	Down	+$40	05-04 07:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 07:30 UTC	6	$161	135	133	+2	Up	+$14	02-11 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	45	$161	103	90	+13	Up	+$29	05-04 01:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	41	$160	102	80	+22	Down	+$21	05-03 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	40	$159	103	78	+25	Down	+$20	05-03 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	45	$159	108	82	+26	Up	+$29	05-03 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	21	$159	103	103	+0	Down	+$19	05-04 09:57
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 18:30 UTC	3	$159	306	122	+184	Down	-$44	01-25 18:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	22	$156	104	104	+0	Down	+$30	05-04 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	45	$156	104	86	+18	Down	+$33	05-03 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 01:23:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	119	59¢	$70	0xfc9f88…
08-26 00:42:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	119	59¢	$70	0xd51547…
08-26 00:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0x4eead3…
08-25 23:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	84	84¢	$70	0xf94292…
08-25 23:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0xa3927a…
08-25 23:22:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x68cac9…
08-25 23:17:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	88	80¢	$70	0x5e87d6…
08-25 23:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x40e543…
08-25 22:37:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	106	66¢	$70	0xfe8778…
08-25 22:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	86	81¢	$70	0x353c53…
08-25 21:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x5a2e18…
08-25 21:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	97	72¢	$70	0x905518…
08-25 18:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	99	70¢	$69	0x01ef4a…
08-25 18:02:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	98	71¢	$70	0x178df4…
08-25 17:47:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0x2bea30…
08-25 17:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	116	60¢	$70	0x6cf0b5…
08-25 16:47:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	163	43¢	$70	0xc33933…
08-25 10:27:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x95cca0…
08-25 10:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0x167261…
08-25 09:57:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x508592…
08-25 08:02:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	173	40¢	$70	0xd76352…
08-25 07:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	87	80¢	$70	0x386440…
08-25 07:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0xa17e28…
08-25 07:32:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	77	90¢	$70	0x752ec6…
08-25 06:48:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0x03fc86…
08-25 06:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	111	63¢	$70	0xbb8171…
08-25 06:14:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0xf6e3ef…
08-25 06:08:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	107	65¢	$70	0x16b030…
08-25 06:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	153	46¢	$70	0xf96366…
08-25 02:37:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	114	61¢	$70	0x1fa555…
08-25 02:32:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	83	84¢	$70	0x6e3900…
08-25 02:22:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0x99abf1…
08-25 02:02:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	115	61¢	$70	0xf4ab92…
08-25 01:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	87	80¢	$70	0x4d052e…
08-25 01:24:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x4b9f4a…
08-25 01:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	82	85¢	$70	0xc35eef…
08-25 00:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	99	71¢	$70	0x1f19f6…
08-24 23:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	79	88¢	$70	0xae73f5…
08-24 21:32:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	80	87¢	$69	0x26d9ff…
08-24 20:22:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x1a669c…
08-24 19:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0x8b9f55…
08-24 18:17:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	89	78¢	$70	0x07f6ab…
08-24 17:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	92	76¢	$70	0x58412c…
08-24 17:52:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	108	65¢	$70	0x00c186…
08-24 17:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	88	79¢	$70	0x5c7d05…
08-24 17:42:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	98	71¢	$70	0x4fc204…
08-24 17:32:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	88	80¢	$70	0xdae7df…
08-24 17:28:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	88	79¢	$70	0xb54606…
08-24 17:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	129	54¢	$70	0xe85d10…
08-24 17:12:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	89	78¢	$70	0x559cd2…
08-24 16:47:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	90	77¢	$70	0x13a5ba…
08-24 16:38:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	82	85¢	$70	0xb1e2d3…
08-24 16:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	98	71¢	$70	0x4ae19d…
08-24 14:47:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xab2763…
08-24 14:42:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	172	40¢	$70	0x2c7c0a…
08-24 14:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	109	64¢	$70	0x46ebb6…
08-24 14:32:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	87	80¢	$70	0x79fb59…
08-24 14:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	86	81¢	$70	0xc72669…
08-24 14:23:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	114	61¢	$70	0x52c8d1…
08-24 14:18:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	162	43¢	$70	0x6cf7e2…
08-24 13:52:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0xa1d75d…
08-24 13:47:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	159	44¢	$70	0x149c3c…
08-24 13:37:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xdaa907…
08-24 12:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	118	59¢	$70	0x5fdf91…
08-24 12:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	98	71¢	$70	0xa26607…
08-24 12:33:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	118	59¢	$70	0x5fc40f…
08-24 11:18:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x9eb865…
08-24 10:18:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	157	45¢	$70	0xda69d4…
08-24 10:02:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	94	74¢	$70	0x9f3f39…
08-24 07:37:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	77	90¢	$70	0x84afc3…
08-24 06:43:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	87	80¢	$70	0x9de350…
08-24 04:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	96	72¢	$69	0xb388bd…
08-24 02:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xef02ad…
08-24 02:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	81	86¢	$70	0x991758…
08-24 00:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	98	71¢	$70	0x762270…
08-23 23:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	87	80¢	$70	0x531961…
08-23 22:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	134	52¢	$70	0x5e1957…
08-23 22:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	113	62¢	$70	0x8e4142…
08-23 22:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	96	72¢	$69	0x4cb7c2…
08-23 22:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	97	72¢	$70	0x122fa5…
08-23 22:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	166	42¢	$70	0x4b567f…
08-23 21:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	97	72¢	$69	0xb61efc…
08-23 21:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0xc74da9…
08-23 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	96	73¢	$70	0xdadb8c…
08-23 08:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	104	67¢	$70	0x890da3…
08-23 08:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	113	62¢	$70	0x0c2f8c…
08-23 07:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	102	68¢	$69	0x75b90d…
08-23 06:02:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	179	39¢	$70	0x4e9ab2…
08-23 05:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	113	62¢	$70	0xed0b13…
08-23 05:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	91	77¢	$70	0xe5d032…
08-23 04:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xc94222…
08-22 23:28:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x60b7ea…
08-22 22:42:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	87	80¢	$70	0xbcd235…
08-22 20:42:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	109	64¢	$70	0xc63107…
08-22 17:12:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0x157ec1…
08-22 10:22:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	98	71¢	$70	0x18ab18…
08-22 10:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	108	65¢	$70	0x789a35…
08-22 10:08:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	91	76¢	$70	0x88278d…
08-22 07:08:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	77	90¢	$70	0x03a56e…
08-22 06:52:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	107	65¢	$70	0x156049…