Entire-Mug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

478

Trades

5,496

lifetime

Volume

$24.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-31 23:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 10:30 UTC	39	$284	279	262	+17	Up	+$6	04-21 10:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 12:00 UTC	63	$278	324	311	+13	Up	-$5	04-22 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 11:15 UTC	46	$262	280	269	+11	Up	-$2	04-16 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 20:00 UTC	48	$246	187	184	+3	Up	-$5	03-30 20:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 15:00 UTC	51	$216	215	212	+3	Up	-$13	03-27 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 18:45 UTC	41	$200	202	195	+7	Up	-$6	03-31 18:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 13:00 UTC	33	$196	194	187	+7	Down	+$2	04-21 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 10:15 UTC	29	$195	239	213	+25	Down	+$0	04-20 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	42	$192	230	220	+10	Up	+$7	05-13 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	43	$188	133	130	+3	Up	-$1	05-12 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 10:45 UTC	44	$187	205	203	+2	Down	+$0	03-26 10:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 17:00 UTC	35	$169	165	160	+6	Up	+$1	03-31 17:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 14:00 UTC	28	$168	162	156	+6	Down	+$2	04-20 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 16:30 UTC	38	$168	187	167	+20	Down	-$5	04-22 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	40	$158	111	108	+2	Up	+$1	05-08 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 16:15 UTC	37	$158	160	155	+6	Down	+$1	04-21 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 12:00 UTC	37	$153	147	145	+2	Down	$0	03-27 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 13:15 UTC	29	$152	166	160	+6	Up	-$3	04-21 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 17:45 UTC	36	$149	177	175	+2	Up	-$6	03-27 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 14:45 UTC	32	$143	160	158	+1	Down	+$6	03-26 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 22:00 UTC	51	$142	144	143	+1	Up	-$6	03-26 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 22:00 UTC	29	$138	133	131	+2	Down	+$4	03-25 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 21:45 UTC	28	$131	139	137	+2	Down	-$4	03-25 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 14:15 UTC	28	$130	125	121	+4	Up	-$7	04-23 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 16:30 UTC	30	$130	141	128	+13	Down	-$12	04-15 16:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 16:00 UTC	29	$129	97	96	+1	Down	-$1	03-26 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 10:00 UTC	29	$125	123	121	+2	Up	-$7	03-26 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:45 UTC	36	$123	159	129	+30	Up	-$3	03-30 11:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:30 UTC	29	$122	151	128	+23	Down	+$14	03-30 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 17:15 UTC	27	$122	122	113	+9	Down	$0	04-01 17:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x33b79e…
11-01 00:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf23d1b…
11-01 00:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd4a337…
11-01 00:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x1ec651…
11-01 00:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x441711…
11-01 00:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbf4cfa…
11-01 00:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x758785…
10-31 23:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x2e4b3c…
10-31 23:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8c2d79…
10-31 23:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9877f1…
10-31 23:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x97631c…
10-31 23:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x7880a2…
10-31 23:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0b34fe…
10-31 23:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x16f265…
10-31 23:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdbc024…
10-31 23:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x74d215…
10-31 23:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x95c14b…
10-31 22:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x16dc2d…
10-31 22:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5d93d9…
10-31 22:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3428c2…
10-31 22:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x8d3c91…
10-31 22:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0c22ff…
10-31 22:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa2e7aa…
10-31 22:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa73205…
10-31 21:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xb3770d…
10-31 21:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8aa2bf…
10-31 21:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xae8fef…
10-31 21:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8232e0…
10-31 21:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x9a0e5c…
10-31 21:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa884b8…
10-31 21:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x662413…
10-31 21:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2f109c…
10-31 21:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x03c435…
10-31 21:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x61254b…
10-31 20:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x84586c…
10-31 20:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd9e2bc…
10-31 20:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x290f50…
10-31 20:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xea76ef…
10-31 20:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe98ada…
10-31 20:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe0297e…
10-31 20:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1e58ac…
10-31 19:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0x332fe7…
10-31 19:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc4d64e…
10-31 19:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe6ee30…
10-31 19:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x482761…
10-31 19:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xeaff5a…
10-31 19:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x8b1ea5…
10-31 19:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x5f3317…
10-31 19:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x95ca5e…
10-31 19:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xa97550…
10-31 19:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1a277a…
10-31 19:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc42ac1…
10-31 19:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x552ce6…
10-31 19:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9a791d…
10-31 19:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdd9edc…
10-31 18:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5f742f…
10-31 18:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6300e6…
10-31 18:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x340483…
10-31 18:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3eaf09…
10-31 18:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9cea3e…
10-31 18:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x00c783…
10-31 18:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdbdbdf…
10-31 18:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8fae03…
10-31 18:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x0625cd…
10-31 17:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb6a144…
10-31 17:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x28d818…
10-31 17:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b863d…
10-31 17:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf4ad0f…
10-31 17:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xae054f…
10-31 17:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x15ffbe…
10-31 17:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x2efa0d…
10-31 17:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0d9ec2…
10-31 17:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x188d1f…
10-31 17:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x11060a…
10-31 17:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xc6e6ff…
10-31 17:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf9a2c9…
10-31 17:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xa582c9…
10-31 17:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xfe9035…
10-31 17:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5089c3…
10-31 17:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2198a4…
10-31 16:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x543727…
10-31 16:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb50429…
10-31 16:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe8589d…
10-31 16:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x7a7161…
10-31 16:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf9e9be…
10-31 16:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe58b94…
10-31 16:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe10e2f…
10-31 16:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x1a362b…
10-31 16:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbd3f6b…
10-31 16:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x08394d…
10-31 15:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x4878b8…
10-31 15:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x17985e…
10-31 15:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4d8015…
10-31 15:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x3f4401…
10-31 15:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd132f2…
10-31 15:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x017b8f…
10-31 15:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1e9217…
10-31 15:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x1f7d58…
10-31 15:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2ff85f…
10-31 15:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc24c1f…