Understated-Engine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

360

lifetime

Volume

$1.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-24 07:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$88	49	49	+0	open	—	05-20 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$50	38	38	+0	open	—	05-18 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	6	$44	38	38	+0	open	—	05-04 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$33	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$32	32	32	+0	open	—	05-04 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	5	$32	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	4	$32	19	19	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$31	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	05-20 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	5	$30	18	18	+0	open	—	05-04 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	05-14 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	05-22 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$26	19	11	+8	open	—	05-04 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$25	38	0	+38	open	—	05-22 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	5	$24	24	20	+5	open	—	05-22 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$24	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-04 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	7	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$23	17	12	+5	open	—	05-22 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-18 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-20 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-15 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$21	23	15	+8	Down	+$9	05-06 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-20 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$20	21	13	+8	open	—	05-21 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 09:20:31	btc updown 5m 1781601600	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3c002b…
06-16 09:00:58	btc updown 5m 1781600400	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x954315…
06-16 08:59:00	btc updown 5m 1781600100	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb36e93…
05-24 07:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc2b54d…
05-24 07:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xbc596e…
05-24 07:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x856947…
05-23 16:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf012e5…
05-23 14:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x50caf3…
05-23 14:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa5ad1a…
05-23 14:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x8e5812…
05-23 14:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x8c781c…
05-23 14:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3cd532…
05-23 13:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x118d7e…
05-23 03:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xab5dc8…
05-23 03:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x733f1e…
05-23 02:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2d33fb…
05-23 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb7bff8…
05-22 18:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x535e42…
05-22 15:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7a2527…
05-22 13:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa82b3b…
05-22 13:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xe6c063…
05-22 13:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x883a0f…
05-22 13:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x267a8c…
05-22 12:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x33f176…
05-22 10:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x5f71a0…
05-22 10:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7eb8c2…
05-22 09:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x73b57e…
05-22 09:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xefba81…
05-22 09:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x335002…
05-22 09:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6b3501…
05-22 08:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb3fa30…
05-22 08:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x284398…
05-22 08:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9017af…
05-22 08:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xf8a275…
05-22 08:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x82035d…
05-22 08:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0xf1a823…
05-22 08:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x739b09…
05-22 08:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x77933d…
05-21 20:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa945ce…
05-21 20:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb68762…
05-21 20:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x63f7db…
05-21 20:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x0e17ce…
05-21 19:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9a8c43…
05-21 19:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6d9bab…
05-21 19:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbd0d1d…
05-21 19:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0xe8259e…
05-21 19:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x1438e1…
05-21 14:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9fb561…
05-21 13:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x459ead…
05-21 10:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x732be9…
05-21 10:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x017215…
05-21 08:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x63f847…
05-21 08:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6d12b4…
05-21 08:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x54cd4a…
05-21 05:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8eaf01…
05-21 05:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x58c38a…
05-21 05:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xda1c7e…
05-21 05:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd1b172…
05-20 18:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x48fe47…
05-20 18:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0ecabe…
05-20 17:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0b8806…
05-20 17:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x34c707…
05-20 17:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x29c709…
05-20 17:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbd06aa…
05-20 14:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x7c7aaa…
05-20 14:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7ec179…
05-20 13:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xba4956…
05-20 13:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x36bbbc…
05-20 13:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9354a1…
05-20 13:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x20576c…
05-20 13:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x717605…
05-20 13:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0c27cb…
05-20 11:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xbcfd2c…
05-20 08:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1da5e9…
05-20 08:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x502f50…
05-20 06:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$6	0x3ee758…
05-20 06:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x634499…
05-20 06:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6ae6d1…
05-20 06:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0940d9…
05-20 06:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x490a62…
05-20 05:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x90e71c…
05-20 05:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x642d83…
05-20 05:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xdd3423…
05-20 05:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x136604…
05-20 03:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x28da5e…
05-20 03:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc110e8…
05-20 03:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xa0cb50…
05-20 03:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3c5373…
05-20 03:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x5a9e35…
05-20 03:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x256828…
05-20 03:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x83d886…
05-20 03:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4054f3…
05-19 17:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa82c75…
05-19 17:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9798cf…
05-19 17:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xef4a4d…
05-19 11:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5b3bbd…
05-19 11:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x6216bf…
05-19 11:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4a7174…
05-19 08:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xca059b…
05-19 08:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc62651…