Bitter-Metaphor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$75

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

182

Trades

1,114

lifetime

Volume

$624.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$561

Open exposure

$21.7K

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 10-27 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

84% 89% +$14,891

Politics

12% 83% +$1,411

Crypto

1% 50% +$661

Tech

1% 0% -$187

Sports

1% 60% -$2,760

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+18,390	$17,679	96¢	$17.6K	-$53	10-27 21:23
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No		+4,500	$4,095	90¢	$4.1K	-$22	10-06 06:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	5	$30.6K	16,131	16,131	+0	open	—	10-26 14:49
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread away 1pt5	5	$17.9K	9,108	9,108	+0	Brazil	+$340	06-29 18:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	14	$17.7K	18,390	0	+18,390	open	—	10-27 21:23
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 spread away 2pt5	19	$16.7K	9,377	9,377	+0	Belgium	-$1,583	07-01 21:38
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	4	$16.5K	8,386	8,386	-0	Spain	+$239	06-27 01:59
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 2pt5	6	$16.2K	9,107	9,107	+0	France	-$1,455	07-18 21:25
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	6	$13.4K	7,556	7,556	+0	Yes	+$1,720	09-21 09:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	3	$12.3K	6,511	6,511	+0	No	+$577	06-14 12:15
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	4	$11.4K	11,596	0	+11,596	No	+$154	08-30 13:14
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread away 2pt5	2	$9.7K	9,960	0	+9,960	England	+$278	07-15 08:50
fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 spread home 2pt5	14	$9.7K	9,888	0	+9,888	Portugal	+$231	06-27 21:34
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	12	$9.6K	5,381	5,381	+0	open	—	10-23 20:02
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)	3	$9.3K	4,875	4,875	+0	Manchester United FC	+$434	05-24 18:50
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 2pt5	3	$9.3K	9,590	0	+9,590	France	+$301	07-14 10:39
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 2pt5	5	$9.3K	9,526	0	+9,526	Under	+$267	06-30 21:16
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 spread away 3pt5	18	$9.2K	9,409	0	+9,409	Côte d'Ivoire	+$245	06-30 09:53
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread home 2pt5	7	$9.0K	9,175	0	+9,175	England	+$221	07-11 13:28
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 4pt5	6	$8.8K	9,061	0	+9,061	Egypt	+$268	07-07 08:17
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team total away 2pt5	1	$8.7K	9,000	0	+9,000	Under	+$297	06-29 21:16
uel stg ben 2026 07 23 team total home 2pt5	6	$8.7K	8,946	0	+8,946	Under	+$248	07-23 16:17
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	1	$8.6K	9,000	0	+9,000	No	+$360	07-03 20:28
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread away 1pt5	6	$8.5K	8,889	0	+8,889	Spain	+$400	07-10 20:16
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	12	$8.1K	8,232	0	+8,232	No	+$145	07-02 20:16
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread home 2pt5	7	$8.1K	8,229	0	+8,229	Germany	+$169	06-24 10:09
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	4	$8.0K	4,074	4,074	+0	Team Falcons	+$120	05-27 09:06
dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game2	5	$7.8K	3,991	3,991	-0	GamerLegion	+$155	07-07 16:26
Netherlands vs. Serbia: Serbia O/U 2.5	3	$7.6K	7,742	0	+7,742	Under	+$170	10-04 13:54
clf rma fio 2026 08 01 spread away 2pt5	10	$7.3K	7,538	0	+7,538	Real Madrid	+$216	08-01 11:01
lol hmble zena 2026 04 17	10	$7.2K	5,723	2,490	+3,233	HMBLE	+$294	04-17 16:27
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread home 1pt5	3	$7.1K	7,488	0	+7,488	Canada	+$375	06-28 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:23:26	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,127	96¢	$1,080	0x32e54f…
10-26 19:03:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,913	96¢	$1,838	0x379bc4…
10-26 14:55:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0x24c2fb…
10-26 14:55:47	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	259	97¢	$250	0x5de943…
10-26 14:53:44	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	531	97¢	$513	0x5371f2…
10-26 14:53:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	3,744	96¢	$3,611	0x37247b…
10-26 14:53:02	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,046	96¢	$1,006	0xa512cd…
10-26 14:52:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	706	96¢	$679	0x78330f…
10-26 14:51:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x7a0a37…
10-26 14:50:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	525	96¢	$504	0x809459…
10-26 14:50:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5,030	96¢	$4,829	0x26e731…
10-26 14:50:14	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,890	96¢	$1,812	0x924bf1…
10-26 14:50:09	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,024	96¢	$981	0xc18ad0…
10-26 14:50:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0xf65566…
10-26 14:49:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16,131	98¢	$15,784	0xe8e62c…
10-25 19:56:39	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	1,075	95¢	$1,025	0x0176d6…
10-25 17:10:41	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x89c7c3…
10-25 17:10:39	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x41bb20…
10-25 17:10:35	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x26bcba…
10-25 17:10:33	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xd978b7…
10-25 17:10:32	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x02bd7d…
10-25 17:10:12	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x6bedf5…
10-25 17:10:12	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x5f3e5f…
10-25 17:10:08	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x274a75…
10-25 17:10:05	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xf550fc…
10-25 17:10:05	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x91aadf…
10-25 17:09:51	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x15df29…
10-25 17:09:47	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xa250c7…
10-25 17:09:47	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x334ad0…
10-25 17:09:42	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xfd0e83…
10-25 17:09:39	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xc68aff…
10-25 17:09:39	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x5273ed…
10-25 17:09:20	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x95d1c9…
10-25 17:09:17	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xbbb278…
10-25 17:09:17	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x5be50c…
10-25 17:09:12	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xc23191…
10-25 17:09:12	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xb57caf…
10-25 17:09:08	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x56a92c…
10-25 17:09:08	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x0f60d5…
10-25 17:09:05	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xb3171d…
10-25 17:09:03	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x84a6fe…
10-25 17:09:00	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xc9042b…
10-25 17:08:57	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xba1840…
10-25 17:08:57	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x6b3801…
10-25 17:08:54	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x810a36…
10-25 17:08:51	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xcac6c3…
10-25 17:08:51	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x6a0c26…
10-25 17:08:47	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xb037be…
10-25 17:08:47	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x49ea43…
10-25 17:08:44	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xfdbb7d…
10-25 17:08:44	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x9a71f5…
10-25 17:08:35	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x4d792b…
10-25 17:08:35	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x233030…
10-25 17:08:30	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x2c7104…
10-25 17:08:30	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x00903b…
10-25 17:08:26	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x56a869…
10-25 17:08:26	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x1c0e8d…
10-25 17:08:21	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x7d7cab…
10-25 17:08:20	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xd2408e…
10-25 17:08:18	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x888bf0…
10-25 17:08:15	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x787a4a…
10-25 17:08:15	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x06d1bd…
10-25 17:08:11	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x596663…
10-25 17:08:11	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x583823…
10-25 17:08:06	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xad14b5…
10-25 17:08:06	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x8dc5eb…
10-25 17:08:00	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x794a56…
10-25 17:07:59	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x1ec382…
10-25 17:07:53	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x494810…
10-25 17:07:53	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x070271…
10-25 17:07:48	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xc01a6a…
10-25 17:07:48	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x965dc6…
10-25 17:07:45	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xe327ec…
10-25 17:07:44	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x0f0591…
10-25 17:07:39	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xbab96f…
10-25 17:07:36	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x347115…
10-25 17:07:36	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x16bd0b…
10-25 17:07:29	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x9fefec…
10-25 17:07:26	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x911853…
10-25 17:07:26	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x7a52c5…
10-25 17:07:23	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xe9ea17…
10-25 17:07:23	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x51333f…
10-25 17:07:12	Spread: FC Barcelona (-4.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x80e4e0…
10-23 20:05:32	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,300	79¢	$1,819	0xac4362…
10-23 20:02:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,381	95¢	$5,112	0x86b358…
10-23 17:08:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	73¢	$80	0x6a0a2e…
10-23 16:57:02	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x548bff…
10-23 16:46:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x2c596e…
10-23 06:58:14	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	83¢	$1,660	0x622740…
10-23 06:56:35	Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	271	93¢	$252	0xb7c6a3…
10-22 19:04:23	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-3.5)	AC Milan	BUY	4,344	96¢	$4,188	0xedecd2…
10-22 16:17:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	350	85¢	$296	0x2a44ac…
10-22 16:16:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x8e57dc…
10-22 16:16:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	81¢	$121	0x4a020c…
10-21 16:15:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x91605a…
10-21 16:14:39	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0x42c0bc…
10-20 14:24:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	962	83¢	$798	0x0becc2…
10-20 14:24:02	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	238	83¢	$198	0xe68c1f…
10-20 06:32:53	Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	SELL	4,069	1¢	$24	0x516fcc…
10-13 07:35:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	544	96¢	$520	0x0f8db2…