Realized P&L
+$70.2K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
91
Trades
2,198
lifetime
Volume
$1.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$550
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 04-08 04:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Politics
83%
59%
+$76,662
Other
11%
60%
-$7,583
Sports
6%
91%
+$2,043
Tech
0%
0%
-$485
Crypto
0%
0%
-$395
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-08).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 491 | $195.9K | 135,993 | 137,536 | -1,543 | Yes | +$17,312 | 04-07 22:13 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 155 | $180.3K | 140,604 | 140,604 | +0 | Yes | -$28,114 | 04-07 22:06 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 176 | $134.1K | 194,880 | 198,836 | -3,957 | Yes | -$5,182 | 04-07 22:07 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 127 | $127.4K | 75,346 | 75,285 | +61 | No | +$14,364 | 03-31 14:33 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 95 | $49.2K | 39,212 | 36,837 | +2,375 | Yes | +$5,015 | 03-08 20:36 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 31 | $46.7K | 24,674 | 24,674 | +0 | No | +$2,591 | 03-15 23:21 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 47 | $30.2K | 16,369 | 16,369 | +0 | No | +$1,109 | 03-31 14:38 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 6 | $27.5K | 14,775 | 14,775 | +0 | No | +$1,244 | 03-30 00:47 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 14 | $23.6K | 23,000 | 23,000 | +0 | Yes | +$45 | 04-06 19:22 |
| nba was atl 2026 02 24 | 21 | $22.5K | 11,507 | 11,507 | +0 | Hawks | +$475 | 02-25 03:04 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 187 | $22.1K | 93,774 | 69,311 | +24,463 | Yes | +$24,270 | 02-27 18:42 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 49 | $21.6K | 16,056 | 16,056 | +0 | No | +$308 | 03-23 04:38 |
| us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563 | 9 | $21.1K | 10,677 | 10,677 | +0 | No | +$170 | 02-24 03:24 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 139 | $19.4K | 32,664 | 32,664 | +0 | No | -$1,002 | 03-29 08:15 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 17 | $19.1K | 10,723 | 10,723 | +0 | No | +$1,178 | 03-13 02:56 |
| bra cha cor 2026 02 11 draw | 17 | $17.2K | 9,149 | 9,174 | -25 | Yes | +$1,139 | 02-12 00:21 |
| us strikes iran by february 25 2026 | 22 | $15.0K | 8,000 | 7,819 | +181 | No | +$47 | 02-24 22:58 |
| nba bkn cle 2026 02 19 | 2 | $14.8K | 7,426 | 7,426 | +0 | Cavaliers | +$67 | 02-20 01:52 |
| us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992 | 6 | $14.5K | 7,389 | 7,389 | +0 | No | +$173 | 02-20 00:34 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 18 | $14.0K | 8,000 | 8,000 | +0 | No | +$528 | 04-02 01:09 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 57 | $13.4K | 25,689 | 19,687 | +6,001 | Yes | -$2,507 | 03-08 20:09 |
| us strikes iran by february 22 2026 | 5 | $13.2K | 7,000 | 7,000 | +0 | No | +$722 | 02-23 00:34 |
| us strikes iran by february 24 2026 | 11 | $13.2K | 6,798 | 6,798 | +0 | No | +$103 | 02-24 21:27 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | 3 | $10.7K | 10,000 | 10,000 | +0 | No | -$4,743 | 04-08 04:36 |
| us strikes iran by february 21 2026 | 16 | $9.2K | 10,026 | 0 | +10,026 | No | +$832 | 02-21 02:36 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | 10 | $9.2K | 5,010 | 5,010 | +0 | No | +$594 | 03-29 21:21 |
| nba phi ind 2026 02 24 | 2 | $8.5K | 4,321 | 4,321 | +0 | 76ers | +$169 | 02-25 03:04 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | 7 | $8.2K | 11,867 | 12,576 | -709 | No | -$2,918 | 04-08 04:38 |
| nba cha was 2026 02 22 | 9 | $8.1K | 8,134 | 0 | +8,134 | Hornets | +$72 | 02-23 00:57 |
| us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31 | 115 | $7.1K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | No | +$896 | 03-31 16:43 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||