Apprehensive-Experiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.57K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved

Trades

441

lifetime

Volume

$20.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 05-06 01:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$2,574

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$2.7K	1,821	1,821	+0	Down	+$671	05-06 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$2.7K	1,724	1,724	+0	Up	+$727	05-05 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$1.4K	961	961	+0	Down	+$442	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$1.2K	799	799	+0	Up	+$239	05-06 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$1000	1,981	0	+1,981	Up	+$981	05-06 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$859	903	903	+0	Down	+$170	05-05 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$811	1,377	0	+1,377	Up	$-811	05-06 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$735	535	535	+0	Down	+$235	05-06 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$661	432	432	+0	Down	+$161	05-06 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$636	811	811	+0	Up	+$136	05-06 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$606	769	769	+0	Down	+$106	05-06 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$581	1,258	1,258	+0	Down	$-419	05-05 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$552	1,074	0	+1,074	Down	+$522	05-05 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$500	855	0	+855	Up	$-500	05-06 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$500	1,127	0	+1,127	Down	+$627	05-05 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$500	1,109	0	+1,109	Up	$-500	05-05 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$500	998	0	+998	Down	+$498	05-06 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$500	1,347	0	+1,347	Down	$-500	05-06 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$349	487	487	+0	Down	$-151	05-05 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$293	445	112	+333	Up	+$127	05-05 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$250	506	0	+506	Down	$-250	05-05 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$250	755	0	+755	Up	$-250	05-05 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$250	712	0	+712	Up	+$462	05-06 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$250	604	0	+604	Up	$-250	05-05 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$250	454	0	+454	Up	$-250	05-05 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$250	431	0	+431	Down	+$181	05-06 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$250	571	0	+571	Down	+$321	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$189	202	202	+0	Up	+$49	05-05 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$100	1,339	0	+1,339	Up	$-100	05-06 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$50	78	0	+78	Down	$-50	05-05 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,277	37¢	$473	0xc557ec…
05-06 01:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	70	39¢	$27	0x0d4a5f…
05-06 01:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	325	62¢	$202	0xbce72b…
05-06 01:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	530	56¢	$298	0x66e258…
05-06 01:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	432	95¢	$411	0xb4e3ce…
05-06 01:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	432	58¢	$250	0x123c1f…
05-06 01:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,981	50¢	$1,000	0x947160…
05-06 01:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	799	92¢	$739	0x387c00…
05-06 01:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	799	63¢	$500	0x1eb782…
05-06 01:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	811	48¢	$386	0x753c2e…
05-06 01:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	309	33¢	$102	0xc7ea20…
05-06 01:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	501	30¢	$148	0xa50cb7…
05-06 00:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	292	52¢	$150	0xfc7a35…
05-06 00:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	706	50¢	$350	0xc02321…
05-06 00:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	146	9¢	$13	0xddd830…
05-06 00:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,193	7¢	$87	0xc08ca4…
05-06 00:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	535	91¢	$485	0xdffec7…
05-06 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	535	47¢	$250	0xbdc4b4…
05-06 00:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	961	98¢	$942	0x6f8048…
05-06 00:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	670	51¢	$342	0xeb8cf7…
05-06 00:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	292	54¢	$158	0x8a1d42…
05-06 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	375	65¢	$242	0xf94c90…
05-06 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	358	52¢	$186	0x6ec3f5…
05-06 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	644	60¢	$383	0x00e7e3…
05-06 00:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	204	44¢	$90	0xb60e17…
05-06 00:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	565	47¢	$266	0x03d852…
05-06 00:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	769	32¢	$250	0x28850b…
05-06 00:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1,239	92¢	$1,143	0x980751…
05-06 00:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	582	91¢	$528	0x278f35…
05-06 00:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,496	54¢	$814	0xd20a31…
05-06 00:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	325	57¢	$186	0x106aa3…
05-06 00:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	431	58¢	$250	0x8e8770…
05-06 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	712	35¢	$250	0x1ada76…
05-05 23:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	202	59¢	$119	0xe035cd…
05-05 23:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	202	35¢	$70	0x1d9bc6…
05-05 23:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1,724	98¢	$1,689	0xb8cf71…
05-05 23:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	456	58¢	$263	0x0cc965…
05-05 23:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,267	55¢	$699	0xc17197…
05-05 23:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	506	49¢	$250	0x4c3088…
05-05 23:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	903	57¢	$515	0xbf13d3…
05-05 23:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	903	38¢	$344	0xc82911…
05-05 23:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	454	55¢	$250	0x640b82…
05-05 23:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,127	44¢	$500	0xfa3b52…
05-05 22:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	487	20¢	$99	0x452aab…
05-05 22:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	487	51¢	$250	0xf75711…
05-05 22:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	602	41¢	$250	0x2b445d…
05-05 22:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	507	49¢	$250	0xf0a399…
05-05 22:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	112	39¢	$44	0x31eb2b…
05-05 22:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	445	56¢	$249	0x056b7c…
05-05 22:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	65	53¢	$34	0x514b5f…
05-05 22:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,009	51¢	$517	0x055b63…
05-05 22:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1,258	6¢	$81	0x89f9b5…
05-05 22:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x923950…
05-05 22:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,015	39¢	$400	0x632afa…
05-05 22:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	755	33¢	$250	0x474195…
05-05 22:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	604	41¢	$250	0x7a5558…
05-05 22:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	571	44¢	$250	0x042230…
05-05 21:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	73	32¢	$23	0x9e86b1…
05-05 21:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x7de47f…
05-05 21:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xda4477…
05-05 19:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x59f443…
02-21 06:19:54	btc updown 5m 1771654800	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0b746b…
02-21 06:04:54	btc updown 5m 1771653900	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd43e64…
02-21 05:59:54	btc updown 5m 1771653600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdac284…
02-21 05:54:54	btc updown 5m 1771653300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa4f76e…
02-21 05:49:54	btc updown 5m 1771653000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x796f38…
02-21 05:44:54	btc updown 5m 1771652700	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x20b197…
02-21 05:39:54	btc updown 5m 1771652400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x910ae9…
02-21 05:34:56	btc updown 5m 1771652100	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4b2875…
02-21 05:29:54	btc updown 5m 1771651800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x48819c…
02-21 05:19:54	btc updown 5m 1771651200	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x82cb5d…
02-21 05:04:54	btc updown 5m 1771650300	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x897c63…
02-21 04:59:54	btc updown 5m 1771650000	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc59224…
02-21 04:54:54	btc updown 5m 1771649700	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x66f588…
02-21 04:44:56	btc updown 5m 1771649100	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa5041e…
02-21 04:39:54	btc updown 5m 1771648800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x74abcf…
02-21 04:34:54	btc updown 5m 1771648500	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb41ae7…
02-21 04:29:54	btc updown 5m 1771648200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x507635…
02-21 04:24:54	btc updown 5m 1771647900	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0ee159…
02-21 04:19:54	btc updown 5m 1771647600	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc27d62…
02-21 04:14:54	btc updown 5m 1771647300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x88888e…
02-21 04:09:54	btc updown 5m 1771647000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd71722…
02-21 04:04:54	btc updown 5m 1771646700	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8b0d2b…
02-21 03:59:54	btc updown 5m 1771646400	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x082b12…
02-21 03:54:56	btc updown 5m 1771646100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc7987c…
02-21 03:44:54	btc updown 5m 1771645500	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb74bd3…
02-21 03:39:54	btc updown 5m 1771645200	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0f00db…
02-21 03:29:54	btc updown 5m 1771644600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x714068…
02-21 03:19:54	btc updown 5m 1771644000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb01ee4…
02-21 03:09:54	btc updown 5m 1771643400	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe8a03b…
02-21 03:04:54	btc updown 5m 1771643100	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf6f404…
02-21 02:54:54	btc updown 5m 1771642500	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4fead7…
02-21 02:49:54	btc updown 5m 1771642200	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x40ba5d…
02-21 02:29:54	btc updown 5m 1771641000	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x064d4f…
02-21 02:24:54	btc updown 5m 1771640700	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8bfb31…
02-21 02:20:00	btc updown 5m 1771640400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x89a6d9…
02-21 02:04:54	btc updown 5m 1771639500	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa0e6de…
02-21 01:59:54	btc updown 5m 1771639200	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x85c180…
02-21 01:54:54	btc updown 5m 1771638900	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0eabd8…
02-21 01:49:54	btc updown 5m 1771638600	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x112e6e…