Keen-Duster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

170

Trades

2,437

lifetime

Volume

$4.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-16 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 56% $-19

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	29	$63	110	110	+0	open	—	02-07 00:03
sol updown 5m 1773072300	1	$35	58	0	+58	open	—	03-09 16:08
eth updown 5m 1773072300	1	$35	39	0	+39	open	—	03-09 16:08
xrp updown 15m 1770605100	9	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	02-09 02:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	02-18 20:59
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	12	$26	92	14	+78	open	—	02-06 23:33
atp erel tabata 2026 06 16	3	$24	50	50	+0	open	—	06-16 13:20
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	12	$23	62	2	+61	open	—	04-29 23:43
xrp updown 15m 1771191000	1	$22	53	0	+53	open	—	02-15 21:39
will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	8	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	02-06 21:48
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$18	23	22	+0	open	—	02-08 02:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	6	$17	35	0	+35	open	—	04-29 22:20
xrp updown 5m 1771720500	2	$16	17	16	+0	open	—	02-22 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	7	$16	48	2	+45	open	—	04-29 22:58
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	11	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	02-07 22:49
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	6	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	02-07 13:13
btc updown 5m 1776262500	4	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-15 14:19
xrp updown 5m 1771716900	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-21 23:40
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	4	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	02-08 02:59
xrp updown 5m 1771731900	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	02-22 03:51
Saint-Malo: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Nguyen Tan	9	$14	50	50	+0	open	—	04-29 13:18
sol updown 5m 1772109600	3	$13	18	0	+18	open	—	02-26 12:41
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	4	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	02-09 13:15
mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-14 14:31
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	02-20 16:59
xrp updown 5m 1771717200	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	02-21 23:45
btc updown 15m 1771194600	3	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	02-15 22:35
xrp updown 5m 1771715700	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-21 23:20
btc updown 15m 1776269700	3	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-15 16:28
sol updown 5m 1772109900	3	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	02-26 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 13:20:11	atp erel tabata 2026 06 16	Yanki Erel	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x336025…
06-16 13:18:26	atp erel tabata 2026 06 16	Yanki Erel	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x516fb4…
06-16 13:18:25	atp erel tabata 2026 06 16	Yanki Erel	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x35b7b7…
06-16 03:20:37	xrp updown 15m 1781579700	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x393402…
06-16 03:20:31	xrp updown 15m 1781579700	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x0d3d47…
06-16 03:18:25	btc updown 15m 1781579700	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x8811a2…
06-16 03:18:16	btc updown 15m 1781579700	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x51f682…
06-16 03:10:30	sol updown 15m 1781578800	Up	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x2c22ad…
06-15 01:53:36	eth updown 15m 1781487900	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd49f41…
06-15 01:31:10	eth updown 15m 1781487000	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x27cb8c…
06-15 01:31:06	btc updown 15m 1781487000	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6c7655…
06-15 00:02:52	xrp updown 15m 1781481600	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4f5d7d…
06-14 22:17:43	sol updown 15m 1781475300	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xd6da4d…
06-14 22:17:27	sol updown 15m 1781475300	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xcf6ff4…
06-14 22:16:00	btc updown 15m 1781475300	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xcade2d…
06-14 22:13:15	xrp updown 15m 1781474400	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xea2a5c…
06-14 22:13:09	btc updown 15m 1781474400	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x945ee6…
06-14 22:12:54	sol updown 15m 1781474400	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x736f82…
06-14 22:12:40	xrp updown 15m 1781474400	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3a6c2a…
06-14 22:12:37	btc updown 15m 1781474400	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x6749c7…
06-14 22:12:34	xrp updown 15m 1781474400	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x4c7c87…
06-14 22:12:25	xrp updown 15m 1781474400	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x811739…
06-14 22:12:07	btc updown 15m 1781474400	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xa1b4d2…
06-14 22:11:48	sol updown 15m 1781474400	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbcba94…
06-14 22:11:42	eth updown 15m 1781474400	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x308543…
06-14 22:11:28	eth updown 15m 1781474400	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb69218…
06-14 21:48:15	eth updown 15m 1781473500	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x36e27c…
06-14 21:48:09	eth updown 15m 1781473500	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7cc3bc…
06-14 21:48:00	eth updown 15m 1781473500	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa5810b…
06-14 21:46:19	btc updown 15m 1781473500	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x066076…
06-14 21:46:16	btc updown 15m 1781473500	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb8bb04…
06-14 21:33:55	sol updown 15m 1781472600	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x18f648…
06-14 21:33:39	sol updown 15m 1781472600	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x931dd2…
06-14 21:33:34	eth updown 15m 1781472600	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x53e93b…
06-14 21:33:22	sol updown 15m 1781472600	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xf19eef…
06-14 21:16:45	btc updown 15m 1781471700	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x77d28f…
06-14 21:09:19	btc updown 15m 1781470800	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x328192…
06-14 21:09:13	btc updown 15m 1781470800	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x6d4540…
06-14 21:08:49	eth updown 15m 1781470800	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x77d390…
06-14 21:08:31	btc updown 15m 1781470800	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xcfe5cc…
06-14 21:08:24	eth updown 15m 1781470800	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3ce50b…
06-14 14:31:33	mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4c85cc…
06-14 14:31:19	mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x83f47f…
06-14 14:22:54	mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xdeb53d…
06-14 14:22:36	mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8d249e…
06-14 03:01:00	eth updown 15m 1781406000	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xa91853…
06-14 03:00:54	eth updown 15m 1781406000	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8ff32f…
06-14 02:10:09	btc updown 15m 1781402400	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x07ae30…
06-14 02:10:04	btc updown 15m 1781402400	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x064839…
06-14 02:10:01	btc updown 15m 1781402400	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb2cb3f…
06-14 00:43:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 total 217pt5	Under	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x2e160b…
06-14 00:40:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 total 217pt5	Under	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf20497…
05-10 03:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8c6fce…
05-10 03:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x62b947…
05-10 03:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x9bd7f6…
05-10 03:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x84faab…
05-10 03:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x082abc…
05-10 03:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x592466…
05-10 03:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x0364cb…
05-10 02:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xacb5e3…
05-10 02:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xfd13e9…
05-10 02:13:48	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x811581…
05-10 01:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x88b8de…
05-10 01:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeb5dcf…
05-10 00:46:58	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xb5f724…
05-10 00:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x6d7670…
05-10 00:11:11	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xec1b6b…
05-09 23:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0e342f…
05-09 23:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xdc206e…
05-09 22:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x607264…
05-09 21:57:39	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xd1746c…
05-09 20:42:42	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x864fc5…
05-09 20:24:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xf9bec4…
05-09 20:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6c2df3…
05-09 20:03:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x532c0d…
05-09 20:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x261895…
05-09 19:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc58e2c…
05-09 19:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xed97fb…
05-09 19:48:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x700c19…
05-09 19:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7e4de8…
05-09 19:29:42	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfeea41…
05-09 19:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x99c868…
05-09 19:12:36	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x5cbe8f…
05-09 18:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x38cc06…
05-09 18:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4a14f3…
05-09 18:13:59	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x2a5497…
05-09 18:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xed98a1…
05-09 17:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x373a5d…
05-09 17:42:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xe4a916…
05-09 17:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xee562b…
05-09 16:59:33	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x91b375…
05-09 16:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd377f8…
05-09 16:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2a2a09…
05-09 16:43:32	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc4d90b…
05-09 16:43:30	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x03afff…
05-09 16:43:27	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb8a3c8…
05-09 16:43:18	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb6a0b3…
05-09 16:43:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa55820…
05-09 16:38:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x03ef09…
05-09 16:28:32	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x507bae…