Keen-Duster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$243

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

1,894

Trades

2,446

lifetime

Volume

$4.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-16 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 71% -$243

Politics

6% 45% +$3

Other

3% 33% -$2

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	29	$63	110	110	+0	Yes	+$8	02-07 00:03
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:05 UTC	1	$35	58	0	+58	Down	-$35	03-09 16:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:05 UTC	1	$35	39	0	+39	Down	-$35	03-09 16:08
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 02:45 UTC	9	$29	22	22	+0	Down	+$1	02-09 02:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	$0	02-18 20:59
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	12	$26	92	14	+78	Yes	+$0	02-06 23:33
atp erel tabata 2026 06 16	3	$24	50	50	+0	Ryo Tabata	+$2	06-16 13:20
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	12	$23	62	2	+61	Down	-$23	04-29 23:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 21:30 UTC	1	$22	53	0	+53	Down	+$31	02-15 21:39
will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	8	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	02-06 21:48
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$18	23	22	+0	Yes	$0	02-08 02:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	6	$17	35	0	+35	Down	-$17	04-29 22:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 00:35 UTC	2	$16	17	16	+0	Down	+$0	02-22 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	7	$16	48	2	+45	Down	-$15	04-29 22:58
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	11	$16	8	8	+0	No	$0	02-07 22:49
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	6	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$0	02-07 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 14:15 UTC	4	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	04-15 14:19
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 23:35 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	02-21 23:40
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	4	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	02-08 02:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 03:45 UTC	2	$14	10	9	+0	Up	+$5	02-22 03:51
Saint-Malo: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Nguyen Tan	9	$14	50	50	+0	Moyuka Uchijima	$0	04-29 13:18
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 12:40 UTC	3	$13	18	0	+18	Down	-$13	02-26 12:41
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	4	$12	9	9	+0	No	-$2	02-09 13:15
mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	4	$12	10	10	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	$0	06-14 14:31
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	3	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	02-20 16:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 23:40 UTC	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$4	02-21 23:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 22:30 UTC	3	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	02-15 22:35
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$11	15	5	+10	Up	+$4	06-14 21:49
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 23:15 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	02-21 23:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 16:15 UTC	3	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	04-15 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 13:20:11	atp erel tabata 2026 06 16	Yanki Erel	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x336025…
06-16 13:18:26	atp erel tabata 2026 06 16	Yanki Erel	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x516fb4…
06-16 13:18:25	atp erel tabata 2026 06 16	Yanki Erel	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x35b7b7…
06-16 03:20:37	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x393402…
06-16 03:20:31	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x0d3d47…
06-16 03:18:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x8811a2…
06-16 03:18:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x51f682…
06-16 03:10:30	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x2c22ad…
06-15 01:53:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd49f41…
06-15 01:31:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x27cb8c…
06-15 01:31:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6c7655…
06-15 00:02:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4f5d7d…
06-14 22:17:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xd6da4d…
06-14 22:17:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xcf6ff4…
06-14 22:16:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xcade2d…
06-14 22:13:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xea2a5c…
06-14 22:13:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x945ee6…
06-14 22:12:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x736f82…
06-14 22:12:40	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3a6c2a…
06-14 22:12:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x6749c7…
06-14 22:12:34	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x4c7c87…
06-14 22:12:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x811739…
06-14 22:12:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xa1b4d2…
06-14 22:11:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbcba94…
06-14 22:11:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x308543…
06-14 22:11:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb69218…
06-14 21:49:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1a3fbf…
06-14 21:48:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x36e27c…
06-14 21:48:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7cc3bc…
06-14 21:48:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa5810b…
06-14 21:46:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x066076…
06-14 21:46:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb8bb04…
06-14 21:33:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x18f648…
06-14 21:33:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x931dd2…
06-14 21:33:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x53e93b…
06-14 21:33:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xf19eef…
06-14 21:16:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x77d28f…
06-14 21:09:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x328192…
06-14 21:09:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x6d4540…
06-14 21:08:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x77d390…
06-14 21:08:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xcfe5cc…
06-14 21:08:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3ce50b…
06-14 14:31:33	mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4c85cc…
06-14 14:31:19	mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x83f47f…
06-14 14:22:54	mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xdeb53d…
06-14 14:22:36	mlb mia phi 2026 06 16	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8d249e…
06-14 03:01:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xa91853…
06-14 03:00:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8ff32f…
06-14 02:10:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x07ae30…
06-14 02:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x064839…
06-14 02:10:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb2cb3f…
06-14 01:43:24	Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x94086b…
06-14 01:43:18	Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x5a19be…
06-14 01:43:09	Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5718b5…
06-14 01:43:06	Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x73bbc8…
06-14 01:43:04	Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x6e0d76…
06-14 01:42:43	Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x1d37db…
06-14 01:42:40	Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x880aa1…
06-14 01:42:37	Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x9935ea…
06-14 00:43:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 total 217pt5	Under	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x2e160b…
06-14 00:40:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 total 217pt5	Under	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf20497…
05-10 03:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8c6fce…
05-10 03:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x62b947…
05-10 03:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x9bd7f6…
05-10 03:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x84faab…
05-10 03:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x082abc…
05-10 03:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x592466…
05-10 03:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x0364cb…
05-10 02:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xacb5e3…
05-10 02:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xfd13e9…
05-10 02:13:48	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x811581…
05-10 01:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x88b8de…
05-10 01:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeb5dcf…
05-10 00:46:58	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xb5f724…
05-10 00:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x6d7670…
05-10 00:11:11	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xec1b6b…
05-09 23:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0e342f…
05-09 23:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xdc206e…
05-09 22:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x607264…
05-09 21:57:39	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xd1746c…
05-09 20:42:42	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x864fc5…
05-09 20:24:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xf9bec4…
05-09 20:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6c2df3…
05-09 20:03:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x532c0d…
05-09 20:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x261895…
05-09 19:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc58e2c…
05-09 19:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xed97fb…
05-09 19:48:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x700c19…
05-09 19:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7e4de8…
05-09 19:29:42	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfeea41…
05-09 19:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x99c868…
05-09 19:12:36	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x5cbe8f…
05-09 18:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x38cc06…
05-09 18:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4a14f3…
05-09 18:13:59	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x2a5497…
05-09 18:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xed98a1…
05-09 17:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x373a5d…
05-09 17:42:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xe4a916…
05-09 17:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xee562b…
05-09 16:59:33	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x91b375…