Fatal-Waffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

1,147

Trades

13,150

lifetime

Volume

$94.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-16 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 58% $-1,011

Other

5% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 1304 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$803	411	411	-0	open	—	06-02 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	12	$462	2,433	158	+2,275	open	—	06-03 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$400	405	0	+405	open	—	06-02 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$377	240	240	+0	open	—	06-03 07:55
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$294	699	175	+524	open	—	05-15 02:45
btc updown 5m 1780570200	9	$240	269	0	+269	open	—	06-04 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$200	208	0	+208	open	—	06-03 07:59
btc updown 5m 1780768200	16	$200	225	0	+225	open	—	06-06 17:55
btc updown 5m 1780731300	6	$180	184	0	+184	open	—	06-06 07:40
sol updown 5m 1780602900	10	$178	194	0	+194	open	—	06-04 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	43	$171	121	121	+0	Up	$-1	05-08 10:18
sol updown 5m 1780523400	3	$167	184	0	+184	open	—	06-03 21:55
btc updown 5m 1780540500	2	$160	163	0	+163	open	—	06-04 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	11	$159	170	0	+170	open	—	06-03 07:04
btc updown 5m 1780583100	2	$159	162	0	+162	open	—	06-04 14:29
sol updown 5m 1780529400	6	$159	169	0	+169	open	—	06-03 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	5	$158	168	0	+168	open	—	06-03 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	18	$156	181	50	+131	Down	+$5	05-11 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	7	$153	180	0	+180	open	—	06-03 10:35
btc updown 5m 1780563300	3	$151	177	0	+177	open	—	06-04 08:59
btc updown 5m 1780554300	8	$151	181	0	+181	open	—	06-04 06:30
btc updown 5m 1775974500	1	$150	158	0	+158	open	—	04-12 06:19
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	6	$150	100	90	+10	open	—	05-20 11:05
sol updown 5m 1780555200	4	$150	153	0	+153	open	—	06-04 06:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	8	$149	156	0	+156	open	—	05-20 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	7	$148	175	25	+150	Up	+$9	05-13 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	11	$147	287	48	+239	Up	$-117	05-11 02:39
btc updown 5m 1780543500	2	$146	187	0	+187	open	—	06-04 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	14	$146	152	79	+73	Down	$-17	05-08 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$142	203	0	+203	open	—	06-03 09:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 17:24:58	bnb updown 5m 1781630400	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x105a0d…
06-15 02:28:46	btc updown 5m 1781490300	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe518ce…
06-15 02:28:31	btc updown 5m 1781490300	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x1e36b2…
06-15 02:28:15	btc updown 5m 1781490300	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7441a1…
06-15 02:27:55	btc updown 5m 1781490300	Down	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x225ef8…
06-15 02:27:28	btc updown 5m 1781490300	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc58768…
06-15 02:27:04	btc updown 5m 1781490300	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x81654e…
06-15 02:18:43	btc updown 5m 1781489700	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfc9478…
06-15 02:11:12	btc updown 5m 1781489400	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x21d2f5…
06-15 02:06:33	btc updown 5m 1781489100	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc6c3d8…
06-14 10:50:00	bnb updown 5m 1781433900	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x196446…
06-14 10:49:58	bnb updown 5m 1781433900	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x958008…
06-14 10:45:00	bnb updown 5m 1781433600	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xdc2023…
06-14 10:44:58	bnb updown 5m 1781433600	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x18a5e5…
06-13 13:59:57	hype updown 5m 1781358900	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x7c4b2e…
06-13 08:59:57	hype updown 5m 1781340900	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x28e238…
06-13 06:59:58	hype updown 5m 1781333700	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x88b065…
06-13 03:30:01	bnb updown 5m 1781321100	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x857b37…
06-13 03:30:00	bnb updown 5m 1781321100	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x150874…
06-13 03:29:58	bnb updown 5m 1781321100	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd02e7c…
06-12 19:39:58	hype updown 5m 1781292900	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x01ee40…
06-12 14:39:58	hype updown 5m 1781274900	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xebb122…
06-12 14:39:58	hype updown 5m 1781274900	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xa026ef…
06-12 10:59:58	hype updown 5m 1781261700	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x492fab…
06-12 10:59:58	hype updown 5m 1781261700	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x436fdb…
06-12 10:59:58	hype updown 5m 1781261700	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x063584…
06-12 10:39:57	hype updown 5m 1781260500	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x4a84a4…
06-12 07:00:00	hype updown 5m 1781247300	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x3bc932…
06-12 07:00:00	hype updown 5m 1781247300	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x2aa161…
06-12 06:59:58	hype updown 5m 1781247300	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc95e04…
06-12 06:59:57	hype updown 5m 1781247300	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x0d3fd1…
06-12 02:00:00	hype updown 5m 1781229300	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x374716…
06-12 02:00:00	hype updown 5m 1781229300	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x0533fd…
06-11 19:44:58	hype updown 5m 1781206800	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x62e50a…
06-11 18:09:58	xrp updown 5m 1781201100	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2af30f…
06-11 16:54:57	xrp updown 5m 1781196600	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd8ff32…
06-11 12:35:00	xrp updown 5m 1781181000	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x716528…
06-11 06:00:00	btc updown 5m 1781157300	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbdc99f…
06-11 06:00:00	btc updown 5m 1781157300	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa37acf…
06-11 06:00:00	btc updown 5m 1781157300	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x46c46b…
06-11 05:59:58	btc updown 5m 1781157300	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x81e458…
06-11 05:59:58	btc updown 5m 1781157300	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5df2af…
06-11 03:19:58	xrp updown 5m 1781147700	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xd54059…
06-11 03:19:58	xrp updown 5m 1781147700	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa75b8c…
06-11 03:19:58	xrp updown 5m 1781147700	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6d7a4e…
06-10 17:35:00	xrp updown 5m 1781112600	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xff29d0…
06-10 17:35:00	xrp updown 5m 1781112600	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe3ab77…
06-10 17:35:00	xrp updown 5m 1781112600	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe3a3a5…
06-10 17:35:00	xrp updown 5m 1781112600	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd15dd7…
06-10 17:35:00	xrp updown 5m 1781112600	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcf4f37…
06-10 17:35:00	xrp updown 5m 1781112600	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8a08f0…
06-10 17:35:00	xrp updown 5m 1781112600	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7398f1…
06-10 17:35:00	xrp updown 5m 1781112600	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6c96e8…
06-10 17:35:00	xrp updown 5m 1781112600	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x3db71b…
06-10 16:20:00	xrp updown 5m 1781108100	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x7f6dcb…
06-10 16:20:00	xrp updown 5m 1781108100	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3c6ac7…
06-10 16:19:58	xrp updown 5m 1781108100	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa6cf1f…
06-10 16:19:58	xrp updown 5m 1781108100	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3a303a…
06-10 15:15:00	btc updown 5m 1781104200	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xddde8d…
06-10 15:14:58	btc updown 5m 1781104200	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xff1eb2…
06-10 15:14:58	eth updown 5m 1781104200	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa37762…
06-10 15:05:01	eth updown 5m 1781103600	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x224119…
06-10 15:04:58	eth updown 5m 1781103600	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7d4ee1…
06-10 14:50:00	btc updown 5m 1781102700	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0x6c95b0…
06-10 14:50:00	btc updown 5m 1781102700	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x28e015…
06-10 05:15:01	btc updown 5m 1781068200	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9bd76f…
06-10 05:15:00	btc updown 5m 1781068200	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x719748…
06-10 05:15:00	btc updown 5m 1781068200	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1c4917…
06-09 16:04:58	xrp updown 5m 1781020800	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd593d0…
06-09 16:04:58	xrp updown 5m 1781020800	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbc7a33…
06-09 15:49:58	hype updown 5m 1781019900	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7b566a…
06-09 15:49:58	hype updown 5m 1781019900	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x312831…
06-09 15:34:58	sol updown 5m 1781019000	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xce9448…
06-09 15:34:58	sol updown 5m 1781019000	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x495029…
06-09 14:24:58	eth updown 5m 1781014800	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xdbfc56…
06-09 14:24:57	eth updown 5m 1781014800	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x5d0403…
06-09 13:59:58	sol updown 5m 1781013300	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe5a9c2…
06-09 13:59:57	sol updown 5m 1781013300	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x1159a3…
06-09 13:39:58	sol updown 5m 1781012100	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x05c6f6…
06-09 12:20:00	hype updown 5m 1781007300	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf87e9d…
06-09 12:20:00	hype updown 5m 1781007300	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x99ec83…
06-09 12:15:00	sol updown 5m 1781007000	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x65db1a…
06-09 11:24:57	eth updown 5m 1781004000	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xba1765…
06-09 11:24:57	eth updown 5m 1781004000	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x8052f5…
06-09 11:24:57	eth updown 5m 1781004000	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x33b9fc…
06-09 08:34:58	sol updown 5m 1780993800	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xf9cc07…
06-09 08:34:58	sol updown 5m 1780993800	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x1a777d…
06-09 08:05:54	btc updown 5m 1780992300	Down	SELL	29	87¢	$26	0x998d2f…
06-09 08:05:33	btc updown 5m 1780992300	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xd6c794…
06-09 06:39:57	hype updown 5m 1780986900	Down	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xe6cdfb…
06-09 06:09:57	sol updown 5m 1780985100	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0d5149…
06-09 04:19:58	btc updown 5m 1780978500	Down	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xca0b8c…
06-09 04:19:58	btc updown 5m 1780978500	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaf2847…
06-09 04:19:58	btc updown 5m 1780978500	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa2736f…
06-09 04:19:58	btc updown 5m 1780978500	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5d0ffa…
06-09 04:19:58	btc updown 5m 1780978500	Down	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x3374d8…
06-09 04:19:58	doge updown 5m 1780978500	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x28d460…
06-08 21:49:58	hype updown 5m 1780955100	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8ef208…
06-08 21:49:58	hype updown 5m 1780955100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7083a4…
06-08 21:24:58	doge updown 5m 1780953600	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5b6cf…