Arid-Leading — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

808

Trades

985

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 11-09 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$73	41	41	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$70	46	46	+0	Down	+$20	11-09 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$63	47	47	+0	Down	+$23	11-09 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$58	39	39	+0	Down	+$18	11-10 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$57	38	37	+1	Up	+$10	04-28 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$57	44	44	+0	Up	+$31	10-24 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:35 UTC	2	$55	38	38	+0	Down	+$17	08-20 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$55	44	42	+2	Up	+$16	04-27 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$54	36	36	+0	Up	+$14	11-09 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$54	37	36	+1	Up	+$15	04-28 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$54	38	38	+0	Down	+$14	04-28 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$52	33	33	+0	Down	+$15	04-30 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:55 UTC	1	$51	89	0	+89	Down	+$38	06-11 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$50	35	35	+0	Up	+$16	05-11 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$49	32	32	+0	Up	+$13	05-15 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:20 UTC	2	$49	35	35	+0	Down	+$21	06-11 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$49	32	32	+0	Up	+$13	05-07 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$47	31	31	+0	Down	+$15	06-01 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$47	28	28	+0	Down	+$7	05-17 10:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:40 UTC	2	$46	37	37	+0	Down	+$24	08-21 06:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 12:10 UTC	2	$45	31	31	+0	Up	+$15	06-11 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$45	31	31	+0	Up	+$15	11-09 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$45	31	31	+0	Up	+$13	04-30 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$44	30	30	+0	Down	+$14	11-09 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$44	40	40	+0	Down	+$24	05-10 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$44	38	38	+0	Down	+$24	05-17 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$44	30	30	+0	Up	+$12	06-01 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$43	30	30	+0	Up	+$11	05-16 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$43	28	28	+0	Down	+$13	04-29 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$43	31	31	+0	Up	+$15	05-02 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 04:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x74740c…
11-10 04:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x284099…
11-10 04:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xa344b2…
11-09 21:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0xb9df29…
11-09 21:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x87ee49…
11-09 19:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	28	89¢	$25	0x00901e…
11-09 19:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x5563ed…
11-09 19:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x0a9e60…
11-09 19:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x3ed05f…
11-09 19:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x105085…
11-09 18:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x4d5bbb…
11-09 18:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x3fa60e…
11-09 18:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x281c92…
11-09 17:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x5a5d2e…
11-09 17:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x0ee29c…
11-09 17:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xfb49f2…
11-09 17:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xba49ea…
11-09 16:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x88eda4…
11-09 16:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x01ebfb…
11-09 15:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x92a37a…
11-09 13:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0xa088d9…
11-09 12:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x1669ef…
11-09 12:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0x9b2c52…
11-09 12:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x4d5c15…
11-06 22:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xf03f50…
11-06 22:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x344f8c…
11-06 22:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x829565…
11-06 20:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x996b20…
10-25 05:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	56¢	$21	0xfe1629…
10-25 05:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x8436ad…
10-25 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xe64798…
10-24 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x509232…
10-24 21:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	44	29¢	$13	0x94115f…
10-24 20:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x7ed05c…
10-24 20:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x8230d9…
10-24 19:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5d5078…
10-24 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x53956e…
10-24 19:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xeb092b…
10-24 19:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x303c23…
10-24 19:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x4bd52d…
10-24 19:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x11a889…
10-24 19:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xc65d54…
10-24 18:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x087e6a…
09-07 06:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6cb83d…
09-07 06:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x900127…
08-21 07:15:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfb9661…
08-21 07:10:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x49ec63…
08-21 07:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x865ca4…
08-21 07:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x3dda6b…
08-21 06:55:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x500937…
08-21 06:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x086cbb…
08-21 06:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:40 UTC	Down	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x198b4d…
08-21 06:40:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0xce72ab…
08-21 06:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xef565c…
08-21 06:30:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x2e7d6f…
08-21 06:10:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x943d72…
08-21 06:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x5220dd…
08-21 05:55:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x91af7d…
08-21 05:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:40 UTC	Down	SELL	24	82¢	$20	0xe707ac…
08-21 05:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xb72446…
08-21 05:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf55eb4…
08-21 04:58:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:55 UTC	Down	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0xb33cbf…
08-21 04:55:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x357061…
08-21 04:39:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:35 UTC	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x5941db…
08-21 04:35:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x371dde…
08-20 21:10:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0xc4bf10…
08-20 20:48:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x9e8a9d…
08-20 20:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xa2f719…
08-20 20:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	32	74¢	$24	0xf96632…
08-20 20:40:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x89b821…
08-20 20:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:35 UTC	Down	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0xa2551b…
08-20 20:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x0c3700…
08-20 20:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x14143a…
06-16 14:20:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	67	58¢	$39	0x3c5756…
06-16 14:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x90cf21…
06-16 14:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf43a08…
06-16 14:08:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x58164b…
06-16 14:05:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xad063f…
06-16 13:50:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xdf9131…
06-16 13:45:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x092554…
06-16 13:40:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x151686…
06-16 13:35:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x023b18…
06-16 13:30:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x648ff9…
06-16 13:25:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x78a3c9…
06-16 12:30:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5709da…
06-16 12:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xedf7d4…
06-16 11:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8e5fb7…
06-16 11:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x406adc…
06-16 11:30:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x150f37…
06-16 11:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	16	86¢	$13	0x12b5e6…
06-16 11:25:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x20436b…
06-16 11:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x3c9636…
06-16 11:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8d37d4…
06-16 11:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x202873…
06-16 11:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x0590d9…
06-16 11:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x048e3e…
06-16 11:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2bf969…
06-16 10:29:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:25 UTC	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x75d3ea…
06-16 10:25:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x97d808…
06-16 10:22:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	78	4¢	$3	0x48a8a6…