Fortunate-Scimitar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$83

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-05 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 33% $-5

Other

27% — —

Politics

2% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$22	7,500	7,500	+0	open	—	05-04 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$15	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-01 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$11	103	103	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$10	5,500	0	+5,500	open	—	05-01 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$7	12	12	+0	Up	$-3	05-05 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	15	4	+11	open	—	05-01 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$5	947	0	+947	Down	$-5	05-04 23:34
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$4	400	400	+0	open	—	05-05 21:49
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	$-2	05-05 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:53:48	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x743820…
05-05 21:49:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0xc2abfe…
05-05 12:07:48	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x2a241c…
05-05 12:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x45a43d…
05-05 12:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4bd9ae…
05-05 12:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x861e8d…
05-05 12:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x34c196…
05-05 12:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x29cea1…
05-05 12:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x23f0d1…
05-04 23:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	947	1¢	$5	0x81ac7c…
05-04 23:31:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	7,500	0¢	$8	0x21c865…
05-01 15:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xae7ebf…
05-01 14:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x49eb74…
05-01 14:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xde346a…
05-01 13:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xd87a90…
05-01 13:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4ccbb6…
05-01 12:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0xdda0d9…
05-01 12:17:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$15	0xa7cc76…