Fortunate-Scimitar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$100

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 06-14 04:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 12% -$36

Other

31% 0% -$15

Politics

9% 0% -$9

Sports

2% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$22	7,500	7,500	+0	No	-$8	05-04 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$15	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	-$15	05-01 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$11	103	103	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$10	5,500	0	+5,500	Down	-$10	05-01 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$7	12	12	+0	Up	-$3	05-05 12:06
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	2	$6	250	0	+250	No	-$6	06-14 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	15	4	+11	Down	-$5	05-01 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$5	947	0	+947	Down	-$5	05-04 23:34
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$4	400	400	+0	No	$0	05-05 21:49
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	1	$2	167	0	+167	No	-$2	06-13 19:47
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 9, 2026?	1	$2	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$2	05-05 21:46
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	05-05 21:53
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	39	0	+39	No	-$2	06-13 19:42
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 10, 2026?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	05-05 21:46
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 8, 2026?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	05-05 21:45
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	05-05 21:46
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	1	$1	250	0	+250	No	-$1	05-05 21:46
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 7, 2026?	1	$1	840	0	+840	No	-$1	05-05 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	05-01 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 04:48:54	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	167	2¢	$4	0x4934b2…
06-13 19:48:24	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x9d3fe0…
06-13 19:47:01	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x5ad4cc…
06-13 19:42:49	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xd5c845…
05-05 21:53:48	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x743820…
05-05 21:49:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0xc2abfe…
05-05 21:46:38	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb7303c…
05-05 21:46:26	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb0dd2d…
05-05 21:46:16	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc3f796…
05-05 21:46:04	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x06b0f2…
05-05 21:45:54	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x8955a6…
05-05 21:45:42	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	840	0¢	$1	0x71a13a…
05-05 12:07:48	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x2a241c…
05-05 12:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x45a43d…
05-05 12:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4bd9ae…
05-05 12:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x861e8d…
05-05 12:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x34c196…
05-05 12:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x29cea1…
05-05 12:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x23f0d1…
05-04 23:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	947	1¢	$5	0x81ac7c…
05-04 23:31:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	7,500	0¢	$8	0x21c865…
05-01 15:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xae7ebf…
05-01 14:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x49eb74…
05-01 14:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xde346a…
05-01 13:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xd87a90…
05-01 13:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4ccbb6…
05-01 12:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0xdda0d9…
05-01 12:17:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$15	0xa7cc76…