Hospitable-Tool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$90

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

388

lifetime

Volume

$54.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$141

Open exposure

$331

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-13 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 100% +$35

Other

32% 100% +$55

Crypto

18% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	No		+394	$339	84¢	$331	$-8	07-01 11:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$9.9K	12,452	4,452	+8,000	open	—	06-03 14:44
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be greater than 90m	34	$7.2K	4,060	4,060	+0	open	—	03-21 14:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	16	$4.8K	4,085	4,085	+0	open	—	04-17 20:02
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-04 23:07
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-10 18:21
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	12	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-27 13:53
will trump say alien during the 2026 state of the union address	9	$1.7K	2,120	0	+2,120	open	—	02-24 21:45
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 10	5	$1.6K	1,272	1,122	+150	open	—	02-11 00:45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$997	531	531	+0	open	—	04-07 17:58
will trump say sleepy joe this week march 15	8	$929	1,332	0	+1,332	open	—	03-11 18:37
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?	2	$910	1,042	0	+1,042	open	—	05-21 09:01
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$863	518	518	+0	open	—	05-17 12:40
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	2	$846	470	470	+0	No	+$55	03-16 21:23
Will Trump name "Kamala" in April?	1	$828	1,035	0	+1,035	open	—	04-04 17:19
will xai or x run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$791	976	0	+976	open	—	02-08 22:31
will trump say ai or artificial intelligence 2 times during the 2026 state of the union address 624 823	2	$755	500	500	+0	open	—	02-24 02:09
will m5 be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	2	$753	781	781	+0	open	—	03-04 15:17
will trump say radical left this week march 15	3	$705	857	0	+857	open	—	03-11 19:42
will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	19	$655	457	457	+0	open	—	04-14 00:35
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	8	$628	1,324	0	+1,324	open	—	04-18 11:15
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	4	$618	617	617	+0	open	—	07-13 18:31
will trump say affordability in corpus christi on friday 114 837	2	$582	841	0	+841	open	—	02-27 21:06
will trump say yemen or houthi during kentucky visit	3	$541	732	0	+732	open	—	03-11 15:27
will trump say kamala or harris this week march 15	5	$493	798	184	+613	open	—	03-11 19:51
will trump say drone this week march 15	1	$492	500	0	+500	open	—	03-10 01:09
will trump say g20 this week march 8	3	$482	596	0	+596	open	—	03-05 22:43
will trump say make america great again this week april 12	1	$475	500	0	+500	open	—	04-07 01:37
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	1	$453	509	0	+509	open	—	05-15 13:01
will trump say maga or make america great again in corpus christi on friday 339 827	4	$430	592	0	+592	open	—	02-27 20:20
will trump say barack hussein obama in march	5	$428	537	0	+537	open	—	02-28 19:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 18:31:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	617	74¢	$456	0x0f048a…
07-12 21:07:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	116	21¢	$24	0x25dd30…
07-12 18:32:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	466	28¢	$129	0x3e83c7…
07-12 17:38:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0xe77180…
07-07 15:26:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0x8d6107…
07-01 18:41:56	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	500	46¢	$230	0xa723b3…
07-01 17:20:31	will trump say six seven in july 20260629200910972	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x898d32…
07-01 16:06:08	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	373	34¢	$127	0x8e937d…
07-01 16:03:52	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc43471…
07-01 16:02:25	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	112	34¢	$38	0xf5be3b…
07-01 11:23:44	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	394	86¢	$339	0x16a870…
06-16 18:15:35	will trump say six seven this week 20260612151047659	Yes	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0xcc6b5e…
06-10 18:21:21	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,000	86¢	$860	0x5439aa…
06-10 18:07:30	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x4bb8aa…
06-03 14:44:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,000	100¢	$7,960	0x264e37…
06-01 18:12:23	Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week?	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x9240fa…
06-01 13:08:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,065	28¢	$589	0x9ee3fb…
06-01 12:45:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,065	21¢	$427	0x6c243e…
06-01 12:37:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	914	22¢	$200	0x7e5e3b…
06-01 12:37:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,473	22¢	$323	0x0c3290…
06-01 12:31:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x8601cc…
06-01 12:31:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	374	18¢	$67	0xcc94b5…
06-01 12:30:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	17¢	$344	0xf6b8b4…
05-24 15:04:51	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	SELL	540	62¢	$335	0x472059…
05-23 21:25:33	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9d41fc…
05-23 21:25:33	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x15638d…
05-23 21:24:00	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x785ec0…
05-21 17:38:43	Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	Yes	BUY	500	81¢	$406	0x173b67…
05-21 09:01:46	Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	87¢	$872	0x8906ce…
05-20 19:41:47	Will Trump praise Kash Patel by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfe5da5…
05-20 15:00:49	Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0xc180fe…
05-20 15:00:28	Will Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x3aa2fe…
05-17 12:40:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x272075…
05-17 12:39:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	511	98¢	$500	0x3cd5bb…
05-15 13:01:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	509	89¢	$453	0x3ff2f6…
05-15 00:56:28	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	36	65¢	$24	0x289331…
05-15 00:54:24	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4344cf…
05-15 00:54:07	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xfd51af…
05-15 00:48:52	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	286	65¢	$186	0xa2d5ac…
05-15 00:46:26	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x8c2cd9…
05-15 00:45:27	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x0c2d4d…
05-15 00:43:44	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xe89e4b…
05-15 00:39:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	518	69¢	$357	0xcb677b…
05-08 18:37:40	Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2fb6b0…
05-08 18:37:19	Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	No	BUY	71	77¢	$55	0x29addb…
05-04 15:41:14	Will Trump say "Ruckus" this week?	No	BUY	72	75¢	$54	0x02c687…
05-03 21:50:40	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	No	SELL	148	60¢	$89	0xc5631d…
05-03 21:21:28	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	No	BUY	135	62¢	$84	0x27c13e…
05-03 17:11:32	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	No	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xe200c2…
05-02 21:55:30	Will Bernie Sanders say "DHS" or "TSA" in Michigan?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x29ccc3…
05-02 19:40:34	Will Bernie Sanders say "DHS" or "TSA" in Michigan?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc04e6f…
05-01 13:34:48	Will Trump say "Lunatic" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	124	43¢	$54	0x608aa1…
04-27 13:53:00	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	66	86¢	$56	0x81ebe0…
04-27 13:30:30	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	123	86¢	$106	0x8d1e68…
04-27 12:31:50	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	61	87¢	$53	0x444cf5…
04-27 12:19:04	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	141	87¢	$123	0xeacdaa…
04-27 12:17:14	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0xedae40…
04-27 12:12:44	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	104	87¢	$90	0x8be9b4…
04-27 11:56:58	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x46ff11…
04-27 11:43:28	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	236	86¢	$203	0x1224e8…
04-27 10:52:06	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	64	87¢	$55	0x53149c…
04-26 18:33:18	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0xafe981…
04-26 18:30:02	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1c9dba…
04-26 18:29:56	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	498	90¢	$448	0xe5e182…
04-26 15:40:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	95¢	$126	0xa3ba1d…
04-18 11:15:44	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	Yes	BUY	42	17¢	$7	0x2d76ab…
04-17 20:02:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3,323	61¢	$2,027	0xd8dd47…
04-17 20:01:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	762	61¢	$465	0x20876e…
04-17 13:14:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	585	38¢	$222	0x7e274c…
04-17 12:58:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	117	45¢	$53	0x7879bb…
04-17 12:56:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf4d776…
04-17 12:56:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x51f459…
04-17 12:56:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	263	44¢	$116	0x07d0d9…
04-17 12:56:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe5ce74…
04-17 12:56:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xab27b1…
04-17 12:56:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3055bf…
04-17 12:56:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	226	44¢	$99	0x9ef486…
04-17 12:56:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0xc0ef2a…
04-17 12:55:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	175	43¢	$75	0xfe2cec…
04-17 12:55:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x95cf8d…
04-17 12:55:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	190	43¢	$81	0x1102b6…
04-15 19:49:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,000	74¢	$1,480	0x5a0bf8…
04-15 15:33:56	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during no tax on tips roundtable 353 666	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xd0f582…
04-14 00:35:33	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	SELL	457	74¢	$340	0x06088a…
04-13 15:02:11	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xf90f43…
04-13 13:56:13	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	Yes	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0x4d2706…
04-13 09:03:21	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xd56e74…
04-13 09:01:39	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	Yes	BUY	180	27¢	$49	0x7f4114…
04-12 18:10:13	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	BUY	123	69¢	$85	0xedc034…
04-12 18:10:07	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	BUY	97	69¢	$67	0x6c60d5…
04-12 17:01:15	will bernie or mamdani say bipartisan during nyc rally	No	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x203986…
04-12 15:29:37	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x078b12…
04-12 15:21:39	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb952ae…
04-12 13:56:05	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	BUY	81	69¢	$56	0xe01ac6…
04-12 09:46:53	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xbe99e7…
04-12 09:42:17	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x11c224…
04-12 09:32:41	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x3ee7ac…
04-12 09:17:27	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x550fd0…
04-12 09:17:27	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x523a3e…
04-12 09:17:27	will trump say sleepy joe this week april 19	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1f80b6…