Bold-Shorts-Lecture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-10 03:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Sports

47% 0% $-1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14pt4m 14pt6m square kilometers	2	$1.2K	622	622	+0	open	—	03-29 09:15
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	2	$1.1K	601	601	+0	open	—	03-29 08:15
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$629	0	1,256	-1,256	open	—	03-29 08:39
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	2	$598	1,194	0	+1,194	No	$-1	03-30 13:41
btc updown 4h 1776988800	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-24 03:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-29 06:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-31 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-26 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	1	$13	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	05-10 02:57
doge updown 4h 1781049600	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	06-10 03:42
eth updown 15m 1774878300	2	$3	0	7	-7	open	—	03-30 13:43
btc updown 15m 1774879200	1	$3	0	6	-6	open	—	03-30 13:58
btc updown 15m 1774774800	1	$3	0	6	-6	open	—	03-29 09:00
eth updown 15m 1774773900	2	$3	0	6	-6	open	—	03-29 08:44
btc updown 15m 1774772100	2	$2	0	5	-5	open	—	03-29 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:42:09	doge updown 4h 1781049600	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x289ffd…
05-31 01:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf0b0ac…
05-10 02:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xdd6be4…
04-29 06:28:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0b8def…
04-26 03:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xec6ea7…
04-24 03:41:48	btc updown 4h 1776988800	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf2b70e…
03-30 13:58:45	btc updown 15m 1774879200	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xfe0f73…
03-30 13:43:43	eth updown 15m 1774878300	Down	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x48fbd4…
03-30 13:43:37	eth updown 15m 1774878300	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x929451…
03-30 13:41:57	Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	597	4¢	$25	0x56e759…
03-30 13:41:43	Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	597	96¢	$573	0x2f81b8…
03-29 09:15:30	will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14pt4m 14pt6m square kilometers	No	SELL	622	98¢	$611	0x31be19…
03-29 09:11:10	will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14pt4m 14pt6m square kilometers	No	BUY	622	98¢	$611	0x271cb6…
03-29 09:00:24	btc updown 15m 1774774800	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x4502ec…
03-29 08:44:50	eth updown 15m 1774773900	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xacbc36…
03-29 08:44:40	eth updown 15m 1774773900	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf87b28…
03-29 08:39:20	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	No	SELL	628	1¢	$7	0x4d6ef3…
03-29 08:26:04	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	SELL	628	99¢	$622	0xa8958c…
03-29 08:15:26	Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	601	94¢	$566	0x050a4b…
03-29 08:14:42	btc updown 15m 1774772100	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xd7b549…
03-29 08:14:42	btc updown 15m 1774772100	Up	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xa79477…
03-29 08:07:54	Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	601	94¢	$567	0xc78eb9…