Terrible-Novel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,656

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-09 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

80% 96% +$0

Sports

15% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:59:39	pll out cha 2026 06 06	Carolina Chaos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cf5c4…
06-09 12:20:12	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77e1cc…
06-08 21:37:13	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2db220…
06-08 12:03:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3048c3…
06-08 04:48:48	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64d665…
06-08 04:48:39	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa55fd5…
06-08 03:04:57	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ed0a7…
06-07 23:59:18	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bafef…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x669373…
06-07 19:14:03	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1d5b6…
06-07 17:39:01	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1603e6…
06-07 16:59:30	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d3fdf…
06-07 13:09:45	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5793d7…
06-07 11:41:46	r6siege edg oc1 2026 06 07	EDward Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe53bd3…
06-06 23:09:45	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9fb4e1…
06-06 14:19:18	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ef9f2…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c70bb…
06-06 11:32:28	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2b85c…
06-05 16:59:43	will xauusd dip to 4350 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d3eb7…
06-05 01:17:45	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7b205…
06-03 21:32:37	DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ac7ec…
06-03 16:06:13	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdcbd13…
06-03 16:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x101f20…
06-03 04:48:35	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1a0389…
06-02 22:56:08	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb57fc0…
06-02 15:24:44	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x058138…
06-02 14:02:04	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe6eee…
06-01 09:07:12	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 3 Winner	NRG	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb022b3…
05-31 23:09:24	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e7fe8…
05-31 21:52:21	Mensik vs. Rublev: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37888c…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1241d4…
05-31 17:31:50	T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Durham	Nottinghamshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc45e01…
05-31 14:19:39	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe27e0f…
05-31 13:54:25	Montedio Yamagata vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0a857…
05-31 09:14:34	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x714c7e…
05-31 08:38:40	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24d0af…
05-31 08:18:25	Blaublitz Akita vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefa9d3…
05-31 01:09:14	Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf65f4e…
05-30 19:28:18	LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 3 Winner	Fluxo W7M	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5989a…
05-30 19:14:03	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x813e60…
05-30 17:59:00	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3b9c0…
05-30 14:25:14	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabfe24…
05-30 10:58:06	Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs against All authority - Map 1 Winner	INOX Division	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b196e…
05-30 10:57:06	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70beb6…
05-30 04:48:21	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x988861…
05-29 22:14:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b14d3…
05-29 21:58:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35cdb9…
05-29 21:06:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa3167…
05-29 21:01:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d4865…
05-29 17:27:45	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0499da…
05-29 14:28:43	Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)	Cirstea	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5206f…
05-29 13:57:03	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2230b6…
05-29 02:36:00	Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)	Cruzeiro EC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc63b63…
05-28 23:03:28	Matteo Arnaldi vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x667645…
05-28 20:08:40	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2de07…
05-28 16:52:19	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5fa1a…
05-28 12:33:00	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19c11d…
05-28 03:39:03	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86369f…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ad1f0…
05-28 00:14:40	Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)	CR Vasco da Gama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3d574…
05-27 19:37:41	Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3af00…
05-27 17:43:14	Anadolu Efes vs. Turk Telekom	Anadolu Efes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf78c80…
05-27 17:22:35	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9d6b55…
05-27 14:22:00	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x327f78…
05-27 09:47:07	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x580661…
05-26 21:29:21	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd904b8…
05-26 20:01:32	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa3b68…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4883f0…
05-26 13:17:56	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d6ee8…
05-26 09:00:53	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5301c…
05-25 20:56:02	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe3619…
05-25 20:31:56	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd40eea…
05-25 14:02:48	Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc0086…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad89c0…
05-25 04:48:22	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x101042…
05-25 01:24:37	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x197044…
05-24 22:57:07	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x318b20…
05-24 21:12:47	Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x863dfb…
05-24 20:51:42	Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)	Como 1907	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d4c4a…
05-24 19:24:12	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3fe71…
05-24 18:17:30	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc87d4f…
05-24 17:35:54	T20 Blast: Durham vs Leicestershire	Durham	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b5c98…
05-24 17:22:20	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x884e0e…
05-24 16:03:00	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbfd720…
05-24 16:03:00	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7f9e02…
05-24 16:03:00	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03ac4f…
05-24 15:57:38	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs	Tomas Machac	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2560c6…
05-24 15:29:56	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b4d12…
05-24 08:02:47	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x392098…
05-23 16:16:05	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22bea5…
05-23 14:29:04	ITF Bol: Andrey Chepelev vs Noa Vukadin	Noa Vukadin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27ffbb…
05-23 01:24:47	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18606d…
05-22 19:43:55	FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01d388…
05-22 11:51:14	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67de4d…
05-22 04:09:39	CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfff726…
05-21 20:15:45	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89abfe…
05-21 20:07:49	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb01cae…
05-21 14:24:56	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x757231…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfddd6c…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc92578…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-08 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
spl ett qad 2026 04 05 spread away 1pt5	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 20:05
Will Mikes Evans play for Tennessee Titans in 2026-27?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 06:11
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Will Mikes Evans play for New York Jets in 2026-27?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 06:11
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 17:22
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 21:12
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 02:54
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 21:14
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-08 21:37
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:25
cbb mcnst sfaus 2026 03 11 spread away 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-11 23:24
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 11c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 01:37
atp schwaer samuel 2026 04 10 first set winner Schwaerzler vs Samuel	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 11:56
euroleague munchen efes 2026 03 12	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-12 23:12
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 02:15
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 15:07