Terrible-Novel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,747

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-30 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$0

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:03:23	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e4a58…
06-30 18:01:01	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94c171…
06-30 10:12:47	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44a6b0…
06-30 04:26:02	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0ee54…
06-30 04:16:13	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x001fbe…
06-29 23:57:28	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa546ec…
06-29 22:43:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals jamal musiala gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47f095…
06-29 13:52:43	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x837da5…
06-28 21:18:22	mlb hou det 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	Houston Astros	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d8323…
06-28 16:47:28	cs2 berg sinqur 2026 06 28	Esport BERG	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a8dee…
06-28 12:40:19	kbo kt sam 2026 06 28	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc170d2…
06-28 04:12:32	will iran reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120760	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x431b1d…
06-28 04:05:46	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 5pt5	Jordan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a882e…
06-28 03:59:11	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x072c52…
06-28 03:00:52	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd08467…
06-27 23:43:58	cs2 fx keyd 2026 06 27 game2	Fluxo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x145745…
06-27 22:56:44	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x888214…
06-27 22:56:43	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26846f…
06-27 20:46:11	Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21729b…
06-27 18:05:50	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79241b…
06-27 16:43:59	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf21bf…
06-27 14:56:02	codmw tex g2m 2026 06 27	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x743d57…
06-27 02:29:55	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x303291…
06-27 01:32:26	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34f154…
06-26 18:15:25	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaeb402…
06-26 11:54:02	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97efee…
06-26 00:55:49	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32c65c…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a8f21…
06-25 02:00:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0d725c…
06-25 01:49:31	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb02e97…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf68bf0…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5fe6e3…
06-24 23:24:10	cs2 bca og1 2026 06 24 map handicap home 1pt5	Betclic Apogee Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x625293…
06-24 12:34:50	kbo kia kiw 2026 06 24	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ff084…
06-24 01:00:56	mlb tex mia 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ad5ed…
06-23 20:00:56	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68466e…
06-23 19:46:34	val fks1 mir 2026 06 23 game1	MIR	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55c685…
06-23 19:03:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6fcb3…
06-23 18:25:07	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x714272…
06-23 12:35:28	kbo sam lg 2026 06 23	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4e1be…
06-23 00:54:55	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97629c…
06-22 19:05:13	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts second half	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7213eb…
06-21 18:13:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1d5b0…
06-21 18:12:55	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ce94a…
06-21 01:56:29	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1c585…
06-20 20:06:29	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x450c87…
06-20 12:44:40	cs2 echo ice 2026 06 20 game1	ECHO	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7ef820…
06-20 12:44:17	cs2 echo ice 2026 06 20 game1	ECHO	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x01714d…
06-20 05:14:14	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea41bc…
06-20 03:40:17	2026 us open top5 jake knapp	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2afacc…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x282acd…
06-20 01:49:01	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe210e4…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ad5e9…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d832f…
06-18 20:56:58	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9840e6…
06-18 20:00:08	will aapl dip to 264 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4a50c…
06-17 19:26:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb8aff…
06-17 19:17:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1293d…
06-17 19:04:17	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62cede…
06-17 16:10:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf891f6…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9b8a8…
06-17 16:06:19	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52005d…
06-17 12:19:13	cs2 tdk nem 2026 06 17 game1	Team Nemesis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebe487…
06-17 06:16:41	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a846f…
06-17 00:03:32	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb17ed…
06-17 00:03:11	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b61a3…
06-16 14:06:22	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6aa2b…
06-16 03:15:28	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc94ed5…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb63c8…
06-15 20:59:19	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38b987…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa98352…
06-15 12:41:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53233c…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x019ce5…
06-14 19:23:12	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe65c2…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7301d…
06-14 03:29:45	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread away 11pt5	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95b49b…
06-13 11:31:36	cs2 mzp atp1 2026 06 13	Metizport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9cab12…
06-13 11:10:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0e5bd…
06-13 09:23:27	cs2 bmb gbl 2026 06 13 game2	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa10888…
06-13 01:54:58	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2596cc…
06-12 23:27:34	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b25e1…
06-12 20:26:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd38b78…
06-12 20:18:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0954be…
06-12 20:17:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2667b4…
06-12 13:30:07	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd6209…
06-11 22:13:40	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13f794…
06-11 21:15:19	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb311ca…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68eb4c…
06-11 16:03:31	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6e4c0…
06-10 20:16:58	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01a79e…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41a255…
06-10 12:09:03	atp boogaar wu 2026 06 08 set handicap away 1pt5	Boogaard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c6894…
06-09 14:59:39	pll out cha 2026 06 06	Carolina Chaos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cf5c4…
06-09 12:20:12	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77e1cc…
06-08 21:37:13	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2db220…
06-08 12:03:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3048c3…
06-08 04:48:48	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64d665…
06-08 04:48:39	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa55fd5…
06-08 03:04:57	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ed0a7…
06-07 23:59:18	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bafef…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-08 04:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Will Mikes Evans play for Tennessee Titans in 2026-27?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 06:11
spl ett qad 2026 04 05 spread away 1pt5	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 20:05
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 17:22
Will Mikes Evans play for New York Jets in 2026-27?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 06:11
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 21:12
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:25
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 15:07
atp schwaer samuel 2026 04 10 first set winner Schwaerzler vs Samuel	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 11:56
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 21:14
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
cbb mcnst sfaus 2026 03 11 spread away 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-11 23:24
euroleague munchen efes 2026 03 12	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-12 23:12
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 16:50