Grim-Incubation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.53K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

14,236

Trades

21,393

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 08-07 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 1% -$1,528

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 310 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 10:50 UTC	7	$341	335	335	+0	Up	+$321	03-12 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:40 UTC	2	$264	259	259	+0	Up	+$248	03-12 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 04:15 UTC	3	$156	297	149	+149	Down	+$138	03-12 04:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 17:25 UTC	3	$154	304	152	+152	Down	+$147	03-25 17:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:50 UTC	2	$152	149	149	+0	Up	+$143	03-12 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:20 UTC	9	$152	149	149	+0	Down	+$143	03-12 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 00:40 UTC	2	$132	129	129	+0	Down	+$124	03-17 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	5	$124	237	118	+118	Up	+$110	03-17 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:35 UTC	3	$114	226	113	+113	Up	+$110	03-26 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 08:20 UTC	3	$101	200	100	+100	Up	+$97	03-27 08:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:05 UTC	5	$101	200	100	+100	Down	+$97	03-29 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:05 UTC	3	$101	200	100	+100	Up	+$97	03-27 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:20 UTC	3	$101	200	100	+100	Down	+$97	04-10 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:25 UTC	3	$101	200	100	+100	Up	+$97	04-10 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 01:55 UTC	3	$101	200	100	+100	Up	+$97	04-11 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 05:10 UTC	3	$101	200	100	+100	Down	+$97	03-24 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:00 UTC	3	$101	200	100	+100	Up	+$97	03-24 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 08:55 UTC	3	$101	200	100	+100	Down	+$97	03-24 09:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 09:30 UTC	3	$101	200	100	+100	Down	+$97	03-25 09:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:00 UTC	3	$101	200	100	+100	Up	+$97	03-28 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:15 UTC	4	$101	200	100	+100	Up	+$97	03-17 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:10 UTC	5	$101	200	100	+100	Up	+$97	03-27 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:30 UTC	13	$101	200	100	+100	Down	+$97	03-24 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 14:45 UTC	2	$100	100	100	+0	Down	+$98	03-17 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 11:35 UTC	2	$100	100	100	+0	Up	+$98	03-28 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 23:00 UTC	3	$100	200	100	+100	Down	+$96	03-04 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 00:00 UTC	2	$100	100	100	+0	Up	+$98	03-18 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:00 UTC	3	$88	167	84	+84	Down	+$78	03-11 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 04:35 UTC	3	$80	78	78	+0	Up	+$75	03-12 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:40 UTC	3	$74	142	71	+71	Down	+$66	03-11 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 04:14:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5b3b0b…
08-07 04:09:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x77c217…
08-07 04:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1867c3…
08-07 03:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x65a615…
08-07 03:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xef4875…
08-07 03:44:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x74821f…
08-07 03:34:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6a39fe…
08-07 03:29:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4d26f9…
08-07 03:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf49ccd…
08-07 03:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x73b864…
08-07 03:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x9d7014…
08-07 03:19:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7f56e4…
08-07 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xec3a69…
08-07 03:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa3c561…
08-07 03:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x201ae5…
08-07 02:59:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1f655e…
08-07 02:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x863e7c…
08-07 02:49:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x096231…
08-07 02:42:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x59a5f8…
08-07 02:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x958d88…
08-07 02:34:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb7e8e6…
08-07 02:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x04eae4…
08-07 02:22:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5597e3…
08-07 02:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc60f2e…
08-07 02:13:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5348e6…
08-07 02:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc04573…
08-07 02:04:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa9ed1a…
08-07 01:59:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc54712…
08-07 01:55:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x12b0a3…
08-07 01:49:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xfa1d4b…
08-07 01:45:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x38f07d…
08-07 01:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x291a16…
08-07 01:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf9ecb5…
08-07 01:28:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x36f1d1…
08-07 01:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xfefa3c…
08-07 01:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x736517…
08-07 01:14:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe90868…
08-07 01:09:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe43250…
08-07 01:02:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xdb641c…
08-07 01:02:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdfe11b…
08-07 01:02:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x3e21f1…
08-07 01:02:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6a47db…
08-07 00:59:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc90396…
08-07 00:53:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x12a43d…
08-07 00:48:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x960684…
08-07 00:43:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x49ec3d…
08-07 00:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xee8c6f…
08-07 00:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x857a03…
08-07 00:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa01192…
08-07 00:19:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe57d83…
08-07 00:13:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4408b2…
08-07 00:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xdd3cc0…
08-07 00:04:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xcd1594…
08-07 00:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8ab9dc…
08-06 23:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa02e59…
08-06 23:49:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa12ac5…
08-06 23:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x73b3bd…
08-06 23:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb2d99a…
08-06 23:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe20522…
08-06 23:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc921c7…
08-06 23:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc72fd1…
08-06 23:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe007eb…
08-06 23:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x86a90a…
08-06 23:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x57551e…
08-06 23:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0cb647…
08-06 23:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x3023e3…
08-06 23:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6200d9…
08-06 22:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xcd1694…
08-06 22:49:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x321ee3…
08-06 22:44:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4bc485…
08-06 22:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa339d8…
08-06 22:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x554e23…
08-06 22:34:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x33ce94…
08-06 22:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd8b7eb…
08-06 22:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x4c79d1…
08-06 22:23:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x24f253…
08-06 22:19:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb4a6d7…
08-06 22:14:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x0ebad2…
08-06 22:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xffd066…
08-06 22:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xb3835a…
08-06 22:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe0b6d1…
08-06 22:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc0a488…
08-06 22:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xac5973…
08-06 21:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x054ba4…
08-06 21:43:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa0ec42…
08-06 21:38:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xdd66c4…
08-06 21:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf945c7…
08-06 21:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1fc421…
08-06 21:24:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5efc23…
08-06 21:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4e3a08…
08-06 21:14:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd8c541…
08-06 21:08:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbbb8a7…
08-06 21:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x10e5ff…
08-06 21:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8fca05…
08-06 20:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x764017…
08-06 20:50:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xfead02…
08-06 20:44:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x575124…
08-06 20:40:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x366dd4…
08-06 20:34:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc70c3b…
08-06 20:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xfde503…