Insistent-Envelope — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$5.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-18 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% $-26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	8	$633	498	498	+0	open	—	05-18 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$543	283	283	+0	open	—	05-17 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$279	173	173	+0	open	—	05-17 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$270	139	139	+0	open	—	05-17 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$260	156	156	+0	open	—	05-18 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$256	169	169	+0	open	—	05-17 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$244	123	123	+0	open	—	05-17 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$243	125	125	+0	open	—	05-17 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$242	122	122	+0	open	—	05-17 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$228	123	123	+0	open	—	05-17 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$227	250	250	+0	open	—	05-18 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$224	119	119	+0	open	—	05-17 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$224	113	113	+0	open	—	05-17 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$219	114	114	+0	open	—	05-17 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$205	109	109	+0	open	—	05-17 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$204	106	106	+0	open	—	05-17 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	05-17 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	8	$164	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$123	439	0	+439	open	—	05-18 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$115	128	0	+128	open	—	05-17 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	12	$62	37	37	+0	open	—	05-15 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	8	$51	28	28	+0	open	—	05-15 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	05-17 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	14	$35	27	27	+0	open	—	05-15 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	6	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-15 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	8	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$16	32	32	+0	Down	$-2	05-14 00:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 17:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	439	28¢	$123	0x6be787…
05-18 17:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	250	55¢	$137	0xd2e564…
05-18 17:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	36¢	$90	0x94cdf5…
05-18 17:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xede2a2…
05-18 17:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x853d82…
05-18 17:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xfc1c8e…
05-18 17:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xf39699…
05-18 17:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x56ba9e…
05-18 17:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x1dbbb1…
05-18 17:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x109551…
05-18 17:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xe67c77…
05-18 17:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	73	74¢	$54	0x5747d0…
05-18 17:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x71e26d…
05-18 17:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	86	82¢	$71	0xc8feec…
05-18 17:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x87a468…
05-18 17:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	160	34¢	$55	0xe1b17b…
05-18 17:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	160	72¢	$115	0x346454…
05-18 17:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	180	69¢	$124	0xb8589a…
05-18 17:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	180	64¢	$115	0xabfc13…
05-18 17:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	109	92¢	$101	0x95ed38…
05-18 17:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	47	44¢	$21	0x932ce5…
05-18 17:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	156	89¢	$139	0x17c1c5…
05-18 17:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6bebae…
05-18 17:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x54f768…
05-17 15:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	173	83¢	$144	0x549aae…
05-17 15:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	173	78¢	$135	0xcc357b…
05-17 15:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	139	99¢	$138	0xe93d30…
05-17 15:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0xa064d9…
05-17 15:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	144	94¢	$135	0xe0b592…
05-17 15:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	144	94¢	$135	0x351564…
05-17 15:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	139	99¢	$137	0x480904…
05-17 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	139	96¢	$133	0xa40522…
05-17 15:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	169	82¢	$138	0x5cb903…
05-17 15:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	169	70¢	$118	0x5f25a8…
05-17 15:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0x2828ef…
05-17 15:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xd3851c…
05-17 14:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x574162…
05-17 14:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x8e6300…
05-17 14:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0xd2c4a5…
05-17 14:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x999ffc…
05-17 14:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xd1c820…
05-17 14:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	125	98¢	$123	0xe695b7…
05-17 14:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0xc94d2e…
05-17 14:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	128	90¢	$115	0x3f0a39…
05-17 14:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	123	95¢	$117	0x23778b…
05-17 14:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	123	90¢	$111	0x04b4fc…
05-17 14:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0xb383cf…
05-17 14:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x4f6304…
05-17 14:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x962060…
05-17 14:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7ea24f…
05-17 14:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	119	95¢	$113	0xd8d6ee…
05-17 14:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	119	93¢	$111	0x2539e0…
05-17 13:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	114	98¢	$112	0x1500b7…
05-17 13:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	114	94¢	$107	0xc520ad…
05-17 13:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	109	97¢	$105	0xde539c…
05-17 13:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x079585…
05-17 13:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	106	98¢	$104	0x106094…
05-17 13:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x139e1d…
05-17 13:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xbfe754…
05-17 13:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa672d7…
05-15 11:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x137f9c…
05-15 11:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x907a21…
05-15 09:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x014c76…
05-15 09:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0bdc8c…
05-15 09:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5937b3…
05-15 09:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x790cfc…
05-15 09:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x3b25a6…
05-15 09:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xfbc284…
05-15 09:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xbd6e33…
05-15 09:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x093992…
05-15 09:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x9372d3…
05-15 09:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9ec2af…
05-15 09:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1a6067…
05-15 09:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0332dd…
05-15 09:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9aaef6…
05-15 09:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3864ce…
05-15 09:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b4cd9…
05-15 09:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdd9dcb…
05-15 09:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x749e64…
05-15 09:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc23fae…
05-15 09:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xbd2756…
05-15 09:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x97625d…
05-15 09:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xf7421a…
05-15 09:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf7d1df…
05-15 09:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xf495b3…
05-15 09:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdad505…
05-15 09:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8798c3…
05-15 09:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4b4946…
05-15 09:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xd077af…
05-15 09:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7806c4…
05-15 09:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x2d9932…
05-15 09:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf982e3…
05-15 09:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xacdf09…
05-15 09:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6332f7…
05-15 09:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x19a1df…
05-15 09:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xca76b8…
05-15 09:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0xd33d91…
05-15 09:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xaa7b0a…
05-15 09:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x486455…
05-15 09:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x905745…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	128	$36.4K	1,176	05-18 17:34
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	128	$29.8K	5,449	05-18 17:34
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	128	$29.2K	4,285	05-18 17:34
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	128	$28.9K	7,935	05-18 17:34
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	128	$26.7K	7,267	05-18 17:34
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	128	$25.4K	3,792	05-18 17:34
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	128	$15.6K	7,726	05-18 17:34
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	127	$99.1K	4,305	05-18 17:36