Insistent-Envelope — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

1,039

Trades

7,347

lifetime

Volume

$33.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-31 02:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 70% +$197

Other

2% 80% -$67

Politics

0% 0% -$6

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 2294 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	8	$633	498	498	+0	Up	-$27	05-18 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$543	283	283	+0	Up	+$3	05-17 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$279	173	173	+0	Down	+$9	05-17 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$270	139	139	+0	Down	+$4	05-17 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$260	156	156	+0	Up	-$18	05-18 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$256	169	169	+0	Down	+$20	05-17 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$244	123	123	+0	Up	+$0	05-17 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$243	125	125	+0	Up	+$3	05-17 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$242	122	122	+0	Down	+$0	05-17 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$237	128	128	+0	Up	+$7	05-17 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$228	123	123	+0	Down	+$6	05-17 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$227	250	250	+0	Up	+$47	05-18 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$224	119	119	+0	Down	+$2	05-17 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$224	113	113	+0	Up	+$0	05-17 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$219	114	114	+0	Down	+$5	05-17 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$205	109	109	+0	Down	+$5	05-17 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$204	106	106	+0	Up	+$4	05-17 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Down	+$2	05-17 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	29	$165	131	86	+46	Up	+$4	10-30 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	8	$164	100	100	+0	Down	+$26	05-18 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	25	$154	134	71	+64	Down	-$14	10-30 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	30	$150	143	73	+70	Down	-$5	10-31 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	23	$134	139	67	+72	Up	-$1	10-31 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	25	$133	125	71	+54	Down	+$11	10-30 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$123	439	0	+439	Down	-$123	05-18 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	44	$113	75	75	+0	Down	+$36	10-20 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	19	$106	101	56	+45	Down	+$6	10-30 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:10 UTC	46	$106	67	67	+0	Up	+$27	10-21 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	19	$104	96	52	+44	Down	-$1	10-30 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	21	$104	92	58	+34	Up	+$11	10-31 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 02:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf79d9a…
10-31 02:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3aa937…
10-31 02:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x1f7322…
10-31 02:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xd88e0f…
10-31 02:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x32aaea…
10-31 02:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x856c10…
10-31 02:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xe67366…
10-31 02:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xce7ed8…
10-31 02:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc8c066…
10-31 02:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x26e60c…
10-31 02:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0d14cc…
10-31 02:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x715d93…
10-31 02:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x116447…
10-31 02:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xbf76a1…
10-31 02:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x100e5e…
10-31 02:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x320fec…
10-31 02:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xe2f395…
10-31 02:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xea431e…
10-31 02:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x75189a…
10-31 02:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0f126f…
10-31 01:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd40144…
10-31 01:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6f62a4…
10-31 01:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6c6eac…
10-31 01:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x48f27e…
10-31 01:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1a8e30…
10-31 01:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2be796…
10-31 01:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x041c67…
10-31 01:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc742f2…
10-31 01:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5c0580…
10-31 01:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x76c93e…
10-31 01:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe9c6ca…
10-31 01:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xa357bd…
10-31 01:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7d92e8…
10-31 01:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7599ce…
10-31 01:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3578a1…
10-31 01:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd2998a…
10-31 01:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa2d964…
10-31 01:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x7f3d3a…
10-31 01:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x19d01b…
10-31 01:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x6e9ae1…
10-31 01:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x263a72…
10-31 01:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x86f571…
10-31 01:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb9a0ab…
10-31 01:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xd21572…
10-31 01:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xeeb632…
10-31 01:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf2395e…
10-31 01:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe703a4…
10-31 01:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf82449…
10-31 01:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf47088…
10-31 01:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x363b8c…
10-31 01:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2e787a…
10-31 01:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x187f47…
10-31 01:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x90cf25…
10-31 01:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb32148…
10-31 01:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x620a5f…
10-31 01:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	83¢	$8	0x7d2b15…
10-31 01:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x4c9a1d…
10-31 01:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xeb32b6…
10-31 01:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x73f963…
10-31 01:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$2	0xded229…
10-31 01:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x120b9b…
10-31 01:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9366f4…
10-31 01:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcb1ade…
10-31 01:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3073c0…
10-31 01:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x170ec6…
10-31 01:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xa431e7…
10-31 01:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xba03a0…
10-31 01:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x616645…
10-31 01:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf6b32d…
10-31 01:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2bb0be…
10-31 01:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xfb0d6f…
10-31 01:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0xb23961…
10-31 01:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x79492a…
10-31 01:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x637509…
10-31 01:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5aa45e…
10-31 01:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x04f4af…
10-31 01:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x049ef4…
10-31 01:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0329c8…
10-31 01:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x511e3b…
10-31 01:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xfec1e8…
10-31 01:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x97a326…
10-31 01:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9db1dd…
10-31 01:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x070352…
10-31 01:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x26b868…
10-31 01:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xc781d1…
10-31 01:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x4246e3…
10-31 01:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x130e06…
10-31 01:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xd0ed85…
10-31 01:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xb3cac9…
10-31 01:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0x6809c2…
10-31 01:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xdedbde…
10-31 01:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf8e968…
10-31 01:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xee667f…
10-31 01:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa36656…
10-31 01:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5a873d…
10-31 01:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4fd7f4…
10-31 01:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x32102d…
10-31 01:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x7f37a5…
10-31 01:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd48fde…
10-31 01:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x23d0af…