Political-Napkin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

Trades

874

lifetime

Volume

$4.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 05-22 02:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 30% $-11

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$281	249	249	+0	open	—	05-17 17:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	11	$176	297	174	+124	open	—	05-18 15:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	8	$164	254	141	+113	open	—	05-22 02:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	9	$151	154	139	+15	open	—	05-18 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$133	264	164	+100	open	—	05-21 23:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	7	$91	310	106	+204	open	—	05-18 15:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	10	$90	167	51	+116	open	—	05-18 15:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	8	$88	268	52	+216	open	—	05-18 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	10	$88	132	92	+40	open	—	04-29 21:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$77	59	59	+0	open	—	04-27 01:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	7	$73	115	43	+73	open	—	05-18 15:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	6	$70	210	41	+169	open	—	05-21 23:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$67	144	0	+144	open	—	05-22 02:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	7	$55	108	33	+76	open	—	05-21 23:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	6	$53	177	34	+143	open	—	05-19 00:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$52	237	0	+237	open	—	05-18 15:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	7	$52	70	58	+12	open	—	05-22 02:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	7	$52	333	31	+302	open	—	05-18 15:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$51	151	0	+151	open	—	05-18 16:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	6	$51	198	16	+182	open	—	05-17 18:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$50	336	30	+305	open	—	05-18 16:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$46	405	0	+405	open	—	05-17 18:16
eth updown 5m 1776735600	4	$44	33	31	+1	open	—	04-21 01:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	8	$43	280	0	+280	open	—	05-18 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	5	$41	86	0	+86	open	—	05-17 18:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	8	$40	49	34	+15	open	—	04-27 03:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	7	$39	74	31	+43	Up	+$7	05-05 01:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	5	$38	89	22	+67	open	—	05-21 23:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	6	$37	123	11	+112	open	—	05-18 01:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$36	357	0	+357	open	—	05-18 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 02:52:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	43	52¢	$22	0xf263c2…
05-22 02:50:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x5ef119…
05-22 02:50:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x24e461…
05-22 02:50:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x245a64…
05-22 02:49:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf1223d…
05-22 02:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa5bb2a…
05-22 02:48:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x328210…
05-22 02:48:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	141	70¢	$98	0x0ce2c5…
05-22 02:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	41	14¢	$6	0x4c84c8…
05-22 02:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x367d32…
05-22 02:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x08044e…
05-22 02:45:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x8cd472…
05-22 02:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb00f12…
05-22 02:43:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x4e6c7c…
05-22 02:42:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x085869…
05-22 02:41:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5a3ff9…
05-22 02:41:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x666b61…
05-22 02:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x914a35…
05-22 02:39:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe913ed…
05-22 02:39:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	58	45¢	$26	0x866679…
05-22 02:39:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xea5b98…
05-22 02:38:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xff6c0f…
05-22 02:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x39b50c…
05-22 02:38:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x83b154…
05-22 02:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa1b778…
05-21 23:37:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xfebe80…
05-21 23:37:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xa0e717…
05-21 23:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0xd8b50c…
05-21 23:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x274085…
05-21 23:35:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x08e8ff…
05-21 23:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xdac1b6…
05-21 23:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x14d2b7…
05-21 23:28:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x763db1…
05-21 23:27:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x4ef937…
05-21 23:26:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xae3b94…
05-21 23:26:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0xa67fa4…
05-21 23:25:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0x37699d…
05-21 23:25:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x4cdaf4…
05-21 23:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4f7c9e…
05-21 23:22:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x780689…
05-21 23:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x10109d…
05-21 23:21:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x2e9eba…
05-21 23:20:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x7feb7f…
05-21 23:19:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	139	1¢	$2	0x0e89c3…
05-21 23:16:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x92f885…
05-21 23:16:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	64¢	$12	0x0f5835…
05-21 23:15:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x01ad4b…
05-21 23:15:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x38c92d…
05-21 23:13:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6349fb…
05-21 23:12:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x87e0df…
05-21 23:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x86b9c3…
05-21 23:10:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x5c0849…
05-21 23:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xbc3c1d…
05-21 23:08:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa926ce…
05-21 23:08:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x0e58f8…
05-21 23:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf04ddc…
05-21 23:06:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x78869a…
05-21 23:06:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd57b2c…
05-21 23:05:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xc30cd2…
05-21 23:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcf8699…
05-21 23:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	164	63¢	$103	0x056867…
05-21 23:02:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	67	21¢	$14	0xbf2914…
05-21 23:01:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	97	15¢	$15	0x90cd8b…
05-19 00:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x9b1fdf…
05-19 00:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x68dca4…
05-19 00:27:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf32221…
05-19 00:25:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xd6ed4e…
05-19 00:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	193	1¢	$1	0x1df005…
05-19 00:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	287	0¢	$1	0x58efb0…
05-19 00:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x58604a…
05-19 00:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbc8c2d…
05-19 00:21:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xac0e2c…
05-19 00:20:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7e3ec4…
05-19 00:19:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xcd845c…
05-19 00:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x79c716…
05-19 00:18:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x355e23…
05-19 00:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x48913c…
05-19 00:16:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	34	88¢	$29	0x68110e…
05-19 00:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	43¢	$14	0x5f7ea7…
05-18 16:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	61	34¢	$21	0xdc6081…
05-18 16:16:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	69	32¢	$22	0xb9f67d…
05-18 16:15:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xd8244b…
05-18 16:12:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xe4fb07…
05-18 16:11:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0x882a33…
05-18 16:11:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	186	8¢	$15	0x622db5…
05-18 16:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x1b5cfc…
05-18 16:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x21dbf0…
05-18 16:09:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	92	66¢	$61	0x6c24d4…
05-18 16:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x7cc5db…
05-18 16:08:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x152598…
05-18 16:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0x011d60…
05-18 16:07:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	23	59¢	$13	0x2f051d…
05-18 16:06:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xa5cc06…
05-18 16:06:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x21cddb…
05-18 16:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x8df694…
05-18 16:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	195	3¢	$5	0x050b9b…
05-18 16:03:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	102	15¢	$15	0x33a32b…
05-18 16:03:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x8170d9…
05-18 16:02:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0xd28b54…
05-18 15:49:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0xa67156…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	217	$16.6K	2,929	05-22 02:54
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	215	$50.5K	3,981	05-22 02:49
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	198	$14.3K	3,591	05-22 02:54
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	197	$10.3K	2,294	05-22 02:54
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	195	$23.3K	9,528	05-22 02:54
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	194	$36.5K	1,609	05-22 02:55
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	190	$16.1K	4,913	05-22 02:53
Multicolored-Myth 0x5927…666b	188	$2.17K	779	05-22 02:53